Wednesday, October 14, 2026

My 2028 numbers

ASML’s €11.7 billion quarter benefited from €3.3 billion in installed-base sales and operating leverage, while the MATCH Act threatens…

Visa: Unpacking The 7 Powers And Forward Valuation Ahead Of Q4 Earnings

Visa’s network economics support long-term compounding, but a 1.7–1.8 forward PEG and risks to high-margin payment revenues limit near-term…

V $731B

SA C Jessen Oct 14 35 clicks

Deep Dive: Applied Materials ($AMAT)

Applied Materials leads wafer-fab deposition and ranks third in etch, positioning it for tougher 3D chip manufacturing as investors weigh a…

First Tracks Biotherapeutics: Teva Validated The Pathway, ANB033 May Own The Receptor

First Tracks Biotherapeutics’ ANB033 posted stronger Phase 1b celiac efficacy than Teva’s IL-15 inhibitor, with $168 million funding…

TEVA $48B

SA Equity Eagle Oct 14 7 clicks

Research Roundup Vol. LVI

Howmet Aerospace is framed as a beneficiary of turbine and aircraft-engine demand, while J.B.

Lennar: The Misstep Is Temporary, the Operating Machine Is Not

Lennar cut build times to 116 days and adopted an asset-light land model, while gross margin fell to 15.8% from 27.5% as land costs rose.

Lennar, Part One: The Story

Lennar grew from a Miami builder into one of America’s two largest homebuilders, controlling land largely through options and land banks…

Lennar, Part Two: The Deep Dive

Lennar’s second audio program examines the homebuilder’s business for professional investors and housing analysts.

ASML Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

ASML reported Q3 sales of €11.7 billion, up 55% year over year, and guided Q4 sales to €14.2 billion to €15.2 billion amid capacity…

Eaton: Strong Backlog And Margin Recovery Support The Buy Case

Eaton’s backlog, data-center, grid and aerospace demand, plus a 450–500 bp H2 2026 Electrical Americas margin recovery, support the growth…

ETN $156B

SA Value Capital Research Oct 14 6 clicks

WDAY · long

Workday INC

Workday shares have declined since February 2024 as the market has turned against SaaS stocks.

Amazon’s AI Economics

Amazon combines AWS AI infrastructure, model-company stakes and retail automation, with AWS targeting $1 trillion in annual revenue over…

When Anyone Can Make a Movie, Netflix Still Wins

Netflix’s roughly $20 billion content budget can become an editorial advantage as generative AI cuts production costs and floods viewers…

Bypassing RevenueBench to Buy the Feedback Loop

Meta’s free model strategy lifted OpenCode token share from 25% to 40%, building coding-data feedback loops and reducing reliance on…

Innodata: Expensive Today But The Growth Story Is Getting Stronger (Rating Upgrade)

Innodata's Q2 2026 revenue rose 58% to $92.1 million as AI datasets lifted margins, though two clients still supplied 71% of sales.

INOD $2B

SA Investor Overview Sep 5 1 click

Is OpenAI the Achilles’ Heel of the US Economy? | The Weekly Wrap

OpenAI's potential failure could expose the US economy's growing dependence on AI capital spending, according to Steve Eisman.

The Fed Is Going to Lose the Bond Market and I Found the Asset That Gets Paid When It Does

Rayonier’s 4.0 million acres are valued at $393 an acre after other assets, versus $1,200 to $1,800 cutover-land sales, framing the timber…

Looking For A 2027 Defense Play: Honeywell Fits The Bill

HONA $50B

SA Petri Dish Reports Sep 4 4 clicks

Spare a Thought for Broadcom Shareholders

Broadcom’s FY2028 revenue estimate rose from $162 billion to about $270 billion and EPS from $17.60 to $30, while the stock remained flat…

Equinor: Positive Fundamentals Could Be Stifled By EU Emergency Measures (Rating Downgrade)

Equinor’s H1 2026 net income doubled to $7.94 billion as European gas prices rose, but EU energy-crisis measures could curb profitability.

EQNR $108B

SA Zoltan Ban Sep 4 4 clicks