Wednesday, October 7, 2026

What I’ve Been Up To

Cogent Communications and AI data-center bottlenecks feature in a newsletter update on recruiting, financial media and conference takeaways.

CCOI $428M

Stock Thoughts Oct 7 3 clicks

Oct 7 LSAK $384M

Lesaka: Why He's Betting Big | Ali Mazanderani | Ep. 5

Mispriced Assets 2 clicks

Oct 7 BTI $121B

A Qualitative Primer on the Nicotine Pouch Space

Sylence Capital 4 clicks

From X

@leevalueroach Oct 7 2 clicks

Lee Roach on X

Point72 is buying E.W. Scripps $SSP https://t.co/8lbK8IuI2y

@ACapitalLP Oct 7 1 click

A Capital on X

Is the $NN trade completely over? https://t.co/wwSNNhdxl7

@stockgutter Oct 7 1 click

SG on X

don't listen to the clowns saying this should be ignored because its part of a long-standing diversification plan. If they bothered to read the Form 144 they would know that he put in a brand new sales plan in June 2026. Why? Q2 was when $DUOL posted declining y-o-y earnings.

@convequity Oct 7

Convequity on X

$NTSK began as a CASB vendor, governing how employees use SaaS applications at the point of use. Years of that work gave it application-specific knowledge of user behavior, data movement, and risk inside cloud apps. That knowledge carries over to AI. Netskope inspects prompts, responses, and file transfers inline and in real time, and it can respond with something more precise than a block: preventing a risky copy-and-paste, stepping up authentication for a sensitive interaction, or coaching the user as they work. The part that matters more comes after the prompt. AI adds autonomy and chaining, so a single human interaction can trigger many machine-executed actions across tools, data stores, and services, often outside one user session. If data is over-permissioned and tools are loosely scoped, an agent can stay inside its allowed permissions and still cause harm faster than a person can intervene. The context Netskope gathers at the interaction can be carried forward to constrain that downstream execution: who the user is, what data is involved, which action was taken, and how risky it looks. So Netskope's edge is that it already knows the user, the data and the action at the moment of the prompt, and it can use that context to limit what an agent does next. It is now building the agent side directly. Its Agentic Broker rates agent actions by risk before they run, and its AI posture management for agents built on AWS, Azure and GCP is still in preview. That is the part to watch.

@KEDM_COM Oct 7

KEDM.com on X

Both Up Fintech $TIGR and Futu $FUTU benefited from Asians YOLO-ing into 3x levered long MU and SPCX ETFs, with FUTU now up significantly since the regulatory crackdown in May. They only started throttling Mainland accounts in mid-June so the real impact won't be visible until next quarter. ~12x P/E ex-Mainland if you annualize Q2, although Q3 is bound to be a little weaker.

@stockgutter Oct 7

SG on X

Form 144 indicates that $DUOL CEO is dumping $16.3m worth of stock. that's a shit-ton in any language https://t.co/57BBYQsRo2

@orrdavid Oct 7

David Orr on X

$LULU just now https://t.co/CMBjD201I0

@P_Remarks Oct 7 1 click

Prepared Remarks on X

$24b in equity from the gulf funds cut Larry’s personal guarantee by 50%. Liontree, Redbird, and the non Larry Ellison family money cuts it further Another $orcl boogeyman story that’s a nothingburger https://t.co/QifC1wSxtE

Investor Letters

All letters

ezCater and the Other Half of Uber's FCF

Uber’s $2.3 billion cash purchase of ezCater extends its buy-versus-build strategy and raises questions about the price and capital…

UBER $146BDASH $84B

MBI Deep Dives Oct 7 1 click

L3Harris Technologies (NYSE: LHX) Upgraded Rating: Accumulate

L3Harris upgraded to Accumulate after a 38% stock decline, backed by 8% Q2 revenue growth, a $42 billion backlog and planned Missile…

LHX $44B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 7 1 click

Cerebras: OpenAI's Nvidia Move Doesn't Break The 750 MW Deal

Cerebras retains its 750 MW commitment despite OpenAI's Nvidia move, but TSMC supply, owned capacity and gross-margin recovery remain the…

CBRS $33BNVDA $5.2T

Deep Value Investing Oct 7

💥New Chapter 11 Bankruptcy Filing - And Go Concepts, LLC (Salad and Go)💥

Salad and Go filed Chapter 11 after its Texas and Oklahoma expansion failed, seeking to sell 65 leases to Dutch Bros for $105 million as 7…

BROS $5.2B

PETITION Oct 7 3 clicks

Research Roundup Vol. LV

OpenAI’s enterprise privacy push and Synopsys’s Factory 2 royalty model anchor a technology roundup, alongside oil above $100 and Bitcoin’s…

SNPS $96B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 7

Adobe (NASDAQ: ADBE) Stock Rating: Accumulate After Q3 FY11/26 Earnings

Adobe rates Accumulate at $189-$266 after Q3 FY26 revenue grew 12.9%, while management guided slower growth and RPO growth decelerated.

ADBE $98B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 7 2 clicks

BP p.l.c.: An Oil And Gas Play Primed For Outperformance

BP is investing $10 billion annually in oil and gas through 2027 as higher crude prices, LNG expansion and debt reduction support earnings,…

BP $127B

The Asian Investor Oct 7 6 clicks

Marvell 2026 Investor Day: Irrational Recap

Marvell’s 2026 investor day draws a skeptical review of its optical connectivity, DSP and AI infrastructure claims, while crediting its…

MRVL $208B

Irrational Analysis Oct 7 2 clicks

New Position (ONON): Game is On

On Holding (ONON) is gaining sportswear share, expanding store space and launching soccer with Kylian Mbappé as investors debate U.S.

ONON $12B

Aurelion Research Oct 6 4 clicks

Astronics: Marked Down After A Record Quarter - Buy

Astronics targets $1.02 to $1.04 billion in 2026 revenue after adjusted operating margin reached 20.3%, with Boeing representing 12% of…

ATRO $2.7B

Jordan Aquilina Oct 6

DASH · long

Doordash INC

DoorDash holds roughly 60% U.S. market share in on-demand restaurant logistics, underpinning a long thesis on its defensible delivery…

DASH $84B

Value Investors Club May 22 1 click

Nomad Foods - The Yield Machine

Nomad Foods combines leading European frozen-food brands with a high dividend yield, buybacks and decade-low valuation, while private-label…

NOMD $1.6B

D Invests Mar 24

Visa: The Investment Case Summary

Visa runs a global payments network, charging network fees of roughly 0.5% of transaction value.

V $731B

Global Outperformers Mar 23

Federal BEAD Billions to Fuel Demand for Westell Broadband Equipment

Westell’s high-margin segment is positioned to benefit from Verizon 5G upgrades and state broadband deployments funded by the $42.45…

WSTL $62M

Byron Street Research Mar 23

Call me crazy, I'm adding to a US apartment REIT

NexPoint Residential is being added despite weak multifamily performance, with insider ownership and a transaction-ready structure…

NXRT $825M

Nugget Capital Partner's Substack Mar 21

Solitron Devices (SODI)

Solitron Devices' $27.5 million backlog rose 124% year over year as its sole-source military semiconductors support AMRAAM and HIMARS,…

SODI $81M

Underlying Value Mar 20

Doubling Down on Iran and OXY

Occidental Petroleum is positioned for oil above $80, with a prolonged Iran conflict and Gulf supply shut-ins pushing prices into triple…

OXY $62B

Open Insights Mar 20

TIC Solutions: Thesis Check

TIC Solutions' NV5 merger lifted consulting and geospatial growth and margins, while its 52%-of-revenue inspection unit stayed flat after…

TIC $1.9B

Kairos Research Mar 19

NFE Bond Update

New Fortress Energy’s restructuring cancels its 12% 2029 notes for 94.3% of BrazilCo, $974 million of New NFE preferred and 25.8% of New…

NFE $22M

Triple S Special Situations Investing Mar 18 2 clicks

Shift4 Payments: A Fintech Compounder Trading Like a Melting Ice Cube

Shift4 Payments earns 50 to 60 basis points on SkyTab volume while acquiring merchant networks, driving 39% annual GRLNF growth since 2021…

FOUR $3B

Modern Value Investing Mar 15

Wednesday, October 7, 2026

Lee Roach on X

A Capital on X

SG on X

Convequity on X

KEDM.com on X

SG on X

David Orr on X

Prepared Remarks on X

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