Saturday, October 3, 2026

The Art of Doing Financial Engineering

AI infrastructure’s $6.3 trillion financing gap is driving structured debt and asset-backed solutions, starting with Meta’s planned 5GW Louisiana data center.

META $1.9TMS $285B

Net Interest Oct 3 5 clicks

Oct 2 LEN $17B

EXCLUSIVE: Lennar’s Big New Customer Is Its Own Spinoff, Millrose

Hunterbrook 2 clicks

Oct 2 META $1.9T

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/02/2026)

TSOH Investment Research 4 clicks

From X

@ActAccordingly Jul 22

PAA Research on X

I don't want to extrapolate from a single earnings report, but if you own a software stock than didn't trade materially higher as the $IGV bounced 25-30% from mid-April to early June, you might be in trouble. I guess there were signs with $PEGA...

@TheBenSchmark Jul 22 1 click

JabroniCoin.USD on X

Umm is SpaceX the high-margin customer of $SMCI that’s boosting their order book > $60 Bn? Short interest seems high https://t.co/BMrEvmCbQj

@convequity Jul 22

Convequity on X

32% short interest on $SPCX is crazy. Although some AI bulls are insane & unsophisticated as well, short sellers of SpaceX over the longer term is even more out of the rail. https://t.co/Ys2mb3B6oC

@ActAccordingly Jul 22

PAA Research on X

$CB with some pretty chilling, but not entirely commentary on pricing on commercial property lines as the market continues to soften: Pricing on new biz or renewals (-12%) Pricing on the biz they chose not to renew or rejected (-40%) YOY! Otherwise, $CB was brutally honest about the softening across the marketplace in casualty lines and E&S in general. With MGA's flooding the market, this isn't a dynamic that changes overnight. Probably not a great market environment for our friends at $KNSL. Do bulls understand what they own?

@RagingVentures Jul 21

Raging Capital Ventures on X

@gamesblazer06 I’m short $CAT and $GEV

@irbezek Jul 21 1 click

Ian Bezek on X

@EdwardR02184224 Posted on the newsletter about $ASR recently. Similar thoughts for $OMAB except Sureste has the catalysts with the new airport packages and improvements in Colombia... https://t.co/ZO0t5ghX40

@TimyanBankAlert Jul 21

Timyan Bank Alert on X

WaFd's $WAFD valuation limits M&A ambitions, CEO says | S&P Global Market Intelligence https://t.co/7BDy1GI1mj

@TimyanBankAlert Jul 21 1 click

Timyan Bank Alert on X

Finward Bancorp Acquisition $FFBC is a great partner for $FNWD- 6.4 x cost save earnings, 7 month payback and a dividend increase. Everything’s Archie! - https://t.co/qymOJS625L

Nike: The Defense Holds, the Offense Is Unproven

Nike targets EBIT margin recovery from 5.2% in FY2027 to 13% by FY2032 as revenue declines persist and wholesale, China and digital remain…

NKE $52B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 2 3 clicks

[scuttleslops] Cloudflare wants bots to pay; OpenAI’s ad ambitions; Memory chip competition; Muse is a proactive assistant; the Wintel of cars and robots; Atlassian as a coordinating layer

Cloudflare is building HTTP 402 payments for AI agents, using its web network to let publishers charge bots for content access.

NET $110B

scuttleblurb Oct 2 1 click

Nike, Part Two: The Deep Dive

Nike’s second Latticework program examines the company and the global athletic footwear and apparel industry for professional investors.

NKE $52B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 2 1 click

Nike, Part One: The Story

Nike grew from a $1,000 shoe-distribution venture in 1964 into the largest sports brand, using athlete endorsements, product innovation and…

NKE $52B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 2 2 clicks

ServiceNow: Still A 'Strong Buy' As AI Revenues Gain Traction

ServiceNow expects AI annual contract value to reach $1.5 billion by year-end, with assist-pack consumption pricing supporting growth…

NOW $145B

Jetstream Research Oct 2 1 click

Rocket Lab (NASDAQ: RKLB) Stock Rating: Accumulate After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings

Rocket Lab reported Q2 revenue up 62% to $234.1 million and backlog up 137% to $2.36 billion, while operating losses and cash burn…

RKLB $35BIRDM $4.9B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 2

Research & Analysis | AAR Corp. (NYSE: AIR): MRO Holdings Reshapes the Margin Profile

AAR’s $1.8 billion acquisition of a 65% stake in MRO Holdings adds widebody aircraft maintenance and targets a 19% to 20% EBITDA margin by…

AIR $3.9B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 2 4 clicks

American Healthcare REIT: A Dip Buy Driven By Senior-Care And Outpatient Tailwind

American Healthcare REIT’s senior-housing and outpatient portfolio is driving FFO growth and dividend safety, while a rich valuation limits…

AHR $12B

Albert Anthony Oct 2 1 click

The Trade Desk (NASDAQ: TTD) Stock Rating: Do Nothing After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings

The Trade Desk's Q2 revenue grew 3% to $715 million as Q3 guidance called for a year-over-year decline; TTD has fallen over 90% from its…

TTD $5.8B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 2 1 click

Belden Inc.: The Ruckus Debt Looks Scarier Than The Math

Belden targets net leverage of 2.9x by 2027 from 3.9x, using RUCKUS's 65%+ gross margins and free cash flow to reduce debt.

BDC $4.1B

Lee Bailey Oct 2

AEGXF · long

Aecon Group Inc.

Aecon Group’s long thesis targets 50-80% share-price upside over 6-12 months as the company shifts beyond a complex special situation.

AEGXF $2.4B

Value Investors Club Jul 5 3 clicks

Boeing F/A-XX Win: A Surprise Blow For Northrop

Boeing won the $20 billion Navy F/A-XX contract after securing the Air Force F-47, concentrating U.S.

BA $147BNOC $68B

Dhierin Bechai Oct 2

Crocs: Double-Digit Buyback Yield (Ticker: CROX)

Crocs has $2 billion of buyback authorization, more than a third of its market cap, as North American sales stabilize and HeyDude drags on…

CROX $6B

Emerging Moats Research Oct 2 4 clicks

Sleep Well Portfolio (Sept 2026) - New Pick coming up - SWI#25.

CrowdStrike faces a trim at a $270 billion valuation and 140x free cash flow, despite AI-driven cybersecurity demand and a $20 billion ARR…

CRWD $233B

Sleep Well Investments Oct 2 2 clicks

Mattel: M&A Buzz And A CEO Change Create Substantial Uncertainty

Mattel rose 19% on takeover speculation, but a potential $20-per-share bid, margin pressure and CEO transition leave its standalone…

MAT $4.8B

Seeking Profits Oct 1

Twilio (NYSE: TWLO) Stock Rating: Hold After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings - Distribute Below $260

Twilio posted Q2 revenue of $1.50 billion, up 22%, and guided 16% Q3 growth; the note rates TWLO Hold at $305, with a $260 risk line.

TWLO $43B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 1 1 click

The AI Bubble is Bleeding Cash, Part 2: Anthropic's Receipts | Ed Zitron

Anthropic spent $2.75 per revenue dollar in 2025 and committed $518 billion to compute, while AI debt at CoreWeave, Oracle and data-center…

AVGO $1.6T

The Monetary Matters Network Oct 1 2 clicks

Don’t Believe Your Lyin’ Eyes, GPU Depreciation & Useful Lives

Nvidia argues A100, H100 and B200 GPUs retain value beyond five-year depreciation schedules, reviving comparisons with the 1960s…

NVDA $5.2T

Cassandra Unchained Oct 1 8 clicks

Why Muse May Never Need Ads

Muse could sidestep ads by becoming a neutral commerce agent, while DoorDash and Airbnb build proprietary agents that steer users toward…

META $1.9TDASH $84B

MBI Deep Dives Oct 1

Chipotle: Takeover Talk Aside, The Margin Math Is Why I Still Say Buy

Chipotle's Q2 revenue rose 9.3% as traffic and market share grew; the case rests on pricing catching inflation to restore margins.

CMG $39B

The Alpha Analyst Oct 1

Saturday, October 3, 2026

PAA Research on X

JabroniCoin.USD on X

Convequity on X

PAA Research on X

Raging Capital Ventures on X

Ian Bezek on X

Timyan Bank Alert on X

Timyan Bank Alert on X

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