Thursday, October 1, 2026

$TPB: can Turning Point Brands be the third player in nicotine pouches? | Saberpoint Capital

Turning Point Brands' FRE and Alp nicotine pouches aim to become a third C-store brand behind ZYN and Velo as PMTA rules limit new entrants.

TPB $1.1B

Yet Another Value Podcast Oct 1 3 clicks

Oct 1 TWLO $45B

Twilio (NYSE: TWLO) Stock Rating: Hold After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings - Distribute Below $260

Cestrian Capital Research 1 click

Oct 1 AVGO $1.7T

The AI Bubble is Bleeding Cash, Part 2: Anthropic's Receipts | Ed Zitron

The Monetary Matters Network 4 clicks

From X

@P_Remarks 45h ago

Prepared Remarks on X

I cannot reconcile the significant insider buying at $celh w/Bloom’s scanner data, clear shelf space gains, & social momentum. Plus freight headwind Alani LTOs (witches brew) are doing well/slight accel but core CELH doesn’t have accel potential until Q1 Too much risk I think

@leevalueroach 46h ago 1 click

Lee Roach on X

On timber companies $RYN and $WY. If the long end keeps going up. 6-7% which I think is definitely possible. Then timber companies will get crushed. But my overall thesis remains and is happening in real time: energy-driven inflation, fiscal deterioration, failed treasury buybacks, the Fed losing the long end. Right now the market is repricing duration before it reprices scarcity. This gap can run for decades. Equities were destroyed in real terms through 1973 and 1974. But hard assets won the decade. I’m praying both of these timber companies keep going down. Land is my favorite asset to own. You can see it. You can touch it. You can hunt on it. You can fish on it. And you can grow productive timber on it. Huge swaths of land have massive optionality. Let’s hope Scott “I am the house” Bessent continues to lose the bond market. I want to see a bloodbath here.

@junkbondinvest 46h ago 1 click

junkbondinvestor on X

“Good news. We got you your full $PSKY allocation.” https://t.co/oKKwqUnBNn

@BarbarianCap Oct 1

Barbarian Capital on X

Keurig Dr Pepper Hires Kimberly-Clark President Torres to Helm Coffee Spinoff $KDP $KMB https://t.co/8CPQhRReM4

@BarbarianCap Oct 1

Barbarian Capital on X

McCormick Is Working to Win Over Value-Conscious Shoppers $MKC https://t.co/cNn2B5biRP

@BarbarianCap Oct 1

Barbarian Capital on X

Accenture Revenue Rises on Growth Across Geographies, Industries $ACN https://t.co/hKXPmc5ov2

@BarbarianCap Oct 1

Barbarian Capital on X

$HAS also moved up Barbie-Maker Mattel Draws Takeover Interest From Authentic Brands Group $MAT https://t.co/HZXNiDyOkj

@BarbarianCap Oct 1 1 click

Barbarian Capital on X

getting more interesting Nike Projects Sales Decline This Year After Lower First-Quarter Revenue $NKE https://t.co/pV51lJLbbK

Investor Letters

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Constellium: The Spread Between Feedstock And End Prices Keeps Widening

Constellium’s widening feedstock-to-end-price spread supports 2026 EBITDA guidance of $980M-$1.02B and free cash flow above $300M.

CSTM $3.3B

Andres Veurink Oct 1

Don’t Believe Your Lyin’ Eyes, GPU Depreciation & Useful Lives

Nvidia argues A100, H100 and B200 GPUs retain value beyond five-year depreciation schedules, reviving comparisons with the 1960s…

NVDA $5.5T

Cassandra Unchained Oct 1 7 clicks

Why Muse May Never Need Ads

Muse could sidestep ads by becoming a neutral commerce agent, while DoorDash and Airbnb build proprietary agents that steer users toward…

META $1.8TDASH $81B

MBI Deep Dives Oct 1

Autodesk (NASDAQ: ADSK) Stock Rating: Accumulate After Q2 FY1/27 Earnings - New Rating Bands, Stop And Price Targets Inside

Autodesk reported Q2 revenue growth of 16% to $2.05 billion, while RPO growth slowed to 2%; FY2027 guidance calls for $8.30 billion to…

ADSK $44B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 1

HOOY: A Hold For The YieldMax HOOD Option Income Strategy ETF

YieldMax HOOD Option Income Strategy ETF pays high weekly income from Robinhood volatility, but return-of-capital distributions and a 0.99%…

HOOD $107B

Ivan Gaddari Oct 1

How Ethos Sold Wall Street on AI While Powering an Analog Boiler Room

Ethos Technologies ($LIFE) sells AI-driven life insurance while relying heavily on multilevel marketing agencies using aggressive cold…

LIFE $2.2B

Hunterbrook Oct 1 1 click

Karman Holdings q2’26 Earnings Update

Karman Holdings reported 58% Q2 revenue growth, $1.3 billion backlog and margin expansion while replacing leadership and remediating…

KRMN $4.3B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 1

Innodata: The 45% Pullback Has Changed My View (Rating Upgrade)

Innodata's 45% pullback resets its valuation after two quarters of 50% revenue growth, though two customers still supply 71% of revenue and…

INOD $2.4B

Kurt Christensen Oct 1

[ROL – Rollins] The exterminator’s dilemma

Rollins’ shares have fallen more than 50% from their peak, resetting valuation as route density, reliable service and pricing support…

ROL $14B

scuttleblurb Oct 1

This Week in Special Situations: Pearson, CarMax, Talen Energy, KBR, Apollo Commercial Real Estate

Pearson, CarMax, Talen Energy, KBR and Apollo Commercial Real Estate lead a 33-company survey of activist campaigns, buybacks, M&A and…

KMX $7.8BTLN $15B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 1

SEER · long

Seer INC

SEER Inc became a founder-offer special situation just before publication.

SEER $124M

Value Investors Club Jul 2

Toll roads in the sky

Asia's elevator boom favors maintenance and modernization providers, with Otis deriving nearly 90% of operating profit from after-sales…

OTIS $24B

Asian Century Stocks Sep 29 1 click

Portfolio and performance update, September 2026

Portfolio returned 65.7% through September 28 versus the S&P 500’s 13.2%, while backing Tourmaline, EQT, Athabasca and SLB on gas demand…

EQT $31B

Guardian Research Sep 29 5 clicks

FTAI Aviation (FTAI US) – The Engine Shop That Owns the Engines

FTAI Aviation’s engine-exchange model swaps CFM56 engines in days rather than 200-day overhauls, driving Aerospace Products adjusted EBITDA…

FTAI $17B

Bristlemoon Capital Sep 29 2 clicks

The Case for Meta Enterprise Platform

Meta’s Enterprise Platform creates a third-party compute outlet, reducing the cost of overbuilding AI infrastructure while adding…

META $1.8T

MBI Deep Dives Sep 29 1 click

Joby Vs. Archer: The Race Is No Longer About Who Certifies First

Archer Aviation's Insitu, Wisk and SkyGrid acquisitions add military and drone revenue, cutting FAA-certification dependence and leaving…

ACHR $3.9BJOBY $6B

The Alpha Analyst Sep 29 2 clicks

Dark arts or infinite reload? $TTD’s CEO options and the repricing proxy

The Trade Desk’s CEO received a new 10-year option package targeting $105 per share as the company seeks shareholder approval to reprice…

TTD $5.8B

Yet Another Value Blog Sep 29 5 clicks

Group 1 Automotive (GPI) vs Alpha Metallurgical Resources (AMR)

Alpha Metallurgical Resources director Ken Courtis bought $10.5 million above $190 after a blackout lifted, while Conifer’s 12.7% Group 1…

GPI $2.9BAMR $2.2B

Cannibal Stocks Sep 29 3 clicks

Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXX

Monte Investments upgrades Karman Holdings to Buy with a $133 target after a 65% drawdown, citing 28.83x EV/aEBITDA and governance changes.

KRMN $4.3B

Monte Independent Investment Research Sep 29 1 click

Robinhood: The Market Is Pricing In A Lot, But Not Really Everything

Robinhood’s long-term value rests on retaining customer assets and becoming a primary financial platform beyond trading.

HOOD $107B

Thomas Veth Sep 29

Thursday, October 1, 2026

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Lee Roach on X

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