Aggressive Portfolio Trades: Buy Vail Resorts, Buy ORR, Short GEO
Vail Resorts, down 60% since 2022, is pitched for an El Niño-driven ski-season rebound; the portfolio also buys ORR and shorts GEO.
Sunday, September 20, 2026
Back to today 
From X
Deep Sail Capital on X
@marketplunger1 A majority of them are in Japan or Korea $OUST - LiDAR leader. $NOVT - Drives, motion, medical. M&A strategy in robotics end market. It’s really expensive though.
marginofdanger on X
Fundamental issue with $HHH is there is no return of capital to shareholders and no consistent base of earnings either. I strongly preferred the company as a real estate only situation. He massively overpaid for Vantage too. Will trade cheap to NAV until it’s truly shareholder friendly.
Bill Ackman on X
An excellent and insightful report on $HHH. https://t.co/cvFpfHoAkP
Barbarian Capital on X
Chevron plans drilling spree as it overhauls oil and gas search $CVX https://t.co/aZV7kguxYR
Ian Bezek on X
@Tintincapital @valuehurts Has already happened, no? The $WING and $CAVA style restaurant growth stories have collapsed. Or look at something like Vail Resorts, down 65% off the 2022 peak.
Barbarian Capital on X
Hot Honey no, thanks good buzz for $HRL tho https://t.co/ythkEhbNVK
Chris Camillo on X
@Liquidn8w @KULOLO808 I don’t have a big enough position in $U to warrant a deep research dive, so not much more to say rn.
Trevor Scott on X
@accrued_int @AndrewRangeley Halfway through but I'm really enjoying your $NTDOY bear points.
Investor Letters
All letters- Pendelhaven Asset Management B.V. Q3 2026 ALM $4.1BJXN $8.8B
- Akre Capital Management, LLC Q3 2026 AMT $82BMA $497B
- Bristlemoon Capital Q3 2026 SNDK $236B
- Protean Funds August 2026 BVNKF $2.4B
- Janus Henderson Investors July 2026 KLAC $219BMCK $103B
- Asset Value Investors Ltd July 2026 9301 $3.4B
- Lindsell Train Limited July RMVEY $3.7B
- Kernow Asset Management July 2026 CKNHF $2BCMCX $2.6B
Thoughts on GFL’s Take Private - Is Dovigi Indifferent?
GFL’s take-private process has drawn KKR, Blackstone, Brookfield and IFM, while CEO Patrick Dovigi signals he will accept only the right…
Brookfield of Dreams
Brookfield is recasting itself from an industrial owner into a $1.3 trillion asset manager and insurer, betting AI infrastructure can…
Karman: Why I'm Upgrading To Buy After A 68% Drop
Karman Holdings (KRMN) is upgraded after a 68% drop, with 24% organic growth, a $1.3 billion backlog and higher 2026 guidance offset by…
Dhierin Bechai 1 click
Why Dario Amodei and Sam Altman Are Faking the AI Doomsday Crisis | The Weekly Wrap
Steve Eisman argues AI extinction warnings from Dario Amodei and Sam Altman seek regulation that creates pricing moats.
$NTDOY: is Nintendo's flywheel actually there? | Accrued Interest
Nintendo's Switch 2 attach rate, flat Switch Online accounts and rising memory costs fuel a bear case, while Spotify and Netflix margins…
Groceries, Aggregators, and Agents
DoorDash's grocery push targets a shift from weekly stock-up trips to frequent online fill-in orders, though smaller baskets complicate…
Planet's Next Constellation Is Bigger Than Just An Upgrade
Planet Labs’ $116.1 million second-quarter revenue, 70% defense mix and planned Owl constellation position satellite imagery and AI data as…
Petri Dish Reports 2 clicks
TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/18/2026)
TSOH Weekly Roundup covers organized retail crime, Home Depot’s centralized operating missteps under Bob Nardelli, and research updates on…
QNT: The 100× Question
Quantinuum's improving logical-qubit error correction, 1,504 successful-circuit benchmark score and paid deployments at RIKEN, BMW and…
Generac: Amazon Gives The Story More Credibility
Generac’s $2.4 billion Amazon generator agreement for 2027-28 anchors its data-center growth thesis, with 30% projected revenue growth in…
Fernanda Galvez Jalil 
WDAY · long Workday INC
Workday shares have declined since February 2024 as the market has turned against SaaS stocks.
Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXVI
Synopsys reported 8% EDA growth and 11% Design IP growth in Q3 2026, betting Multiphysics Fusion and Intel 14A adoption will lift revenue…
Black Hills: A 439 MW Utility With A Three GW Data Center Pipeline
Black Hills has 600 MW of Microsoft and Meta data-center load in its plan, with a 2.5 GW prospective pipeline led by a 1.8 GW hyperscale…
SiliconBytes Insights 
WD #356: Software/AI, Estee Lauder, Various Brazilian Stocks
LLM adoption is rising but may not generate returns sufficient to justify current AI investment; the aggressive portfolio exits Estee…
[WAY – Waystar] Healthcare is a very complicated invoice
Waystar sells revenue-cycle software for a US claims process where roughly 18% of submitted claims are initially denied and healthcare…
Palantir Q2 - We Move To “Distribute” Rating For 48hrs, Then To “Do Nothing”.
Palantir shares at $183 exceed Cestrian’s $177 target after Q2 revenue grew 93%, prompting a 48-hour Distribute rating as Q3 growth…
Dollar Tree: Weathering The Storm
Dollar Tree’s $1.25 opening price and multi-price assortment supported 10% two-year comparable-sales growth, outpacing Walmart U.S.
PayPal: Stripe Reportedly Walks Away; Here Are 2 Fallback Options
PayPal's failed Stripe and Advent bid leaves a Venmo spin-off or aggressive buybacks as value-unlocking options amid slowing growth and a…
The Asian Investor 4 clicks
Salesforce Q2 - Hold - Destination Unknown - STP<$165
Salesforce trades at 14x trailing unlevered pretax free cash flow after Q2, with 10.8% revenue growth and unproven agentic AI adoption.
Tower Semiconductor: Silicon Photonics Inflection, Buy The Drawdown
Tower Semiconductor generated nearly half its revenue from AI optical content as Q2 2026 revenue reached a record $460 million and…
Miletus Research 3 clicksPublications we follow
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