Tuesday, September 15, 2026

Adobe 3Q26 Update

Adobe’s fiscal 3Q26 revenue grew 13%, while ARR growth slowed to 9.3% excluding Semrush. Freemium AI adoption is raising costs faster than subscription revenue and pressuring gross margins.

ADBE $99B

Speedwell Memos Sep 14 2 clicks

Sep 14 CPRT $27B

[scuttleslops] Amazon grocery, John Deere and AI, picks and pans in P&C Insurance, Copart earnings and the ACV acquisition

scuttleblurb 1 click

Sep 14 ADBE $99B

Adobe 3Q26 Update: Nothing Broken, Nothing Explained

Speedwell Research 1 click

From X

@RagingVentures Sep 15

Raging Capital Ventures on X

@BigIdeasCapital I agree with the logic and own both $CHTR and $CMCSA, but what if cell phones are stickier than broadband lines? $T’s fiber “loss leader” offering might be more attractive than cable’s cheap wireless service?

@ACapitalLP Sep 15

A Capital on X

@Pembrokestcap @NewcomerInvest Fine. Just mark the NAV off $BAM. At least that’s a liquid, observable mark. https://t.co/cAJsIPxM8x

@stockgutter Sep 15

SG on X

Goldman may have 99 ethical problems, but this isn't one of them. To everyone crapping on Goldman because its analyst is not on the same page as its traders re $SMCI -- that is a good thing. You want to see that wall within a bank. https://t.co/CEqJtDbIOU

@ACapitalLP Sep 15

A Capital on X

Do you see it? $COO https://t.co/QjyT0ZxX88

@leevalueroach Sep 15

Lee Roach on X

$10,000 invested in $TLT in March 2020 would be worth about $4,500 today. Bank of America: hold by beer https://t.co/3IsqaiXdpZ

@kab604 Sep 15

kab60 on X

$FIS mngmt trying to pump my bags (and theirs!) by sending out press releases, while the mkt keeps shitting on them: FIS Builds Core Banking Momentum Across New $100 Billion Bank and Five New Charters (only momentum is in cadence of press releases!): https://t.co/Kwb4jJ5dus https://t.co/UkjQDpt26v

@ACapitalLP Sep 15 1 click

A Capital on X

$QXO vs. $XHB 👀

@BrokenMoats Sep 15 1 click

Broken Moats on X

One of the many ways how the new market structure is so frustrating at times..... $EXPE moves higher both days this week despite a significant increase in both rates (credit cards) and oil (jet fuel) that directly makes their business more challenged moving forward (weakened consumer + high airfares), but the power of sector buying Software/ai disruption (where an its sits) as people push out of semi and forced to cover their paired shorts overwhelms the fundamentals. Headless flows dominate the market

Nintendo: The Software Payoff Is Still Ahead

Nintendo expects software, digital sales and character licensing to drive growth, with FY2027 revenue forecast at ¥2.05 trillion and…

NTDOY $62B

LL Insights Sep 13

Lululemon: The 15-Minute Thesis

Lululemon’s North American sales, margins and legging demand are falling as Alo and Vuori gain share, leaving its brand moat and depressed…

LULU $11B

Hated Moats Sep 11 2 clicks

Why “Affordable Luxury” Doesn't Compound

Lululemon’s growth stalled as affordable-luxury apparel brands face fading post-Covid demand, cheap social-media influence and China…

LULU $11BNKE $54B

MBI Deep Dives Sep 11 2 clicks

The Five Deals That Made Apollo

Apollo Global Management’s five defining deals, from Executive Life to Intel, built a $1 trillion asset manager spanning insurance and…

APO $74B

Net Interest Sep 11 1 click

TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/11/2026)

TSOH weekly roundup covers Meta’s child-safety settlement, Markel’s leadership transition, Peloton’s gym strategy and an upcoming Alarm.com…

MKL $22B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 11 2 clicks

TransDigm is still in it for the money

TransDigm’s sole-source aerospace parts generate roughly 70% aftermarket margins, with 90% of revenue tied to owned IP and 80% from…

TDG $61B

scuttleblurb Sep 10 1 click

Gaming And Leisure Properties: Guilty By Association With VICI

Gaming and Leisure Properties raised AFFO guidance and dividends after Q2, trading at 10.2 times forward AFFO with an 80% payout ratio and…

GLPI $12BVICI $26B

Dividend Collection Agency Sep 10

Quick Value #330 - Deckers Outdoor (DECK)

Deckers Outdoor has fallen about 60% from its late-2024 peak and trades at 11x earnings as HOKA growth slows.

DECK $11B

Value Don't Lie Sep 9 5 clicks

Intercontinental Exchange: AI-Driven Selloff Overdone, The Valuation Case Is Stronger (Rating Upgrade)

Intercontinental Exchange's valuation case rests on 5% Q2 revenue growth, a 61% adjusted margin and $100 million of MarketAxess synergies.

ICE $87B

Mike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT Sep 9

[scuttleslops] UNP-NSC merger, HEI, NVDA, AVGO, DG, DLTR

Union Pacific’s $85 billion Norfolk Southern merger pitch centers on a coast-to-coast rail network that cuts interchange delays and wins…

NSC $71B

scuttleblurb Sep 9 3 clicks

DASH · long

Doordash INC

DoorDash holds roughly 60% U.S. market share in on-demand restaurant logistics, underpinning a long thesis on its defensible delivery…

DASH $84B

Value Investors Club May 22 1 click

Defying the Surveys

PNC CEO Bill Demchak says consumer spending, savings, activity and loan growth contradict record-low University of Michigan consumer…

PNC $93B

Net Interest Apr 17

Mention Market Analysis: Truist Financial

Truist Financial’s April 17 call is forecast to feature “tailwind” in NIM and asset-repricing discussions, with the 51-cent Kalshi contract…

TFC $59B

First Strike Research Apr 14

Capitulation in packaged food consumer staples?

Conagra’s CEO change and 9% yield intensified a packaged-food selloff, while General Mills trades near historical valuation lows despite…

GIS $19B

Nugget Capital Partner's Substack Apr 13

First Takes on GFL's Acquisition of Secure

GFL Environmental is buying Secure Waste at 11x 2026E EBITDA before synergies, adding high-margin produced-water and waste assets with $25…

GFL $15B

310 Value’s Newsletter Apr 13 1 click

Under The Hood, ResMed ($RMD)

ResMed’s 30 million connected sleep-apnea patients, recurring masks and software support a data-driven healthcare platform; 11.9% annual…

RMD $33B

Bearhold Research Apr 8 1 click

Why Nike ($NKE) Won't Make It Into the Bearhold Universe

Nike is excluded from Bearhold’s universe because cultural relevance and consumer taste drive demand, leaving its revenue model less…

NKE $54B

Bearhold Research Apr 5 1 click

Under the Hood, Copart ($CPRT)

Copart’s salvage-auction network pairs scarce storage land with global online bidding, supporting insurer returns and a durable moat…

CPRT $27B

Bearhold Research Apr 3 1 click

It Pays to be a Winner: Our ML model and social research layer just went 14-for-16 on Nike’s Q3 call. (Kalshi, Mentions)

First Strike Research’s ML and social-sentiment system correctly called 14 of 16 Nike Q3 Kalshi contracts, reporting 208¢ net P&L.

NKE $54B

First Strike Research Apr 1

Nike Earnings Mentions Contracts: Our Analysis, and Fair Value Pricing Model.

First Strike prices Nike’s Q3 “Express Lane” mention at 20-25¢ versus Kalshi’s 66¢, citing the retired Mark Parker-era supply-chain program…

NKE $54B

First Strike Research Mar 29

Tuesday, September 15, 2026

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