Sunday, September 13, 2026

Preview of the Week Ahead: W/C September 14, 2026

The week of September 14 features the FOMC decision, retail sales and housing data after the S&P 500 fell 0.8%.

GOOGL $4.3T

SixSigmaCapital: Navigating the Financial Markets Sep 13 3 clicks

Sep 13 NFLX $511B

Owning the Seven PM Slot

Bearhold Research 1 click

Sep 13 BKNG $126B

Booking Holdings Deep Dive: An Attractive Setup

Capitalist Letters 4 clicks

From X

@negligible_cap Sep 13

Negligible Capital on X

The fact that I had to check the $HOOD app to make sure this was fake is a pretty good indicator of where we stand https://t.co/2f572Mthh7

@DeepSailCapital Sep 13

Deep Sail Capital on X

@SixSigmaCapital It’s kind of the standard AI stack, Chips than Memory than Optics. But a layer deeper is the question if inference is the biggest theme, than does everyone making their own custom silicon become more mainstream? In that case $MRVL probably is highest beta play there.

@MultiplesCap Sep 12

Multiples Capital on X

Not an AI expert by any stretch, but wonder if US labs actually coordinate to "pace the frontier," it could be a stealth negative for Nvidia’s top-line growth rate. Here’s why: Flattening the Frontier Race: If scaling massive base models is intentionally delayed for alignment, the panic to hoard the newest, most expensive contiguous GPU clusters cools down. Shift to Post-Training & RL: Progress shifts to squeezing intelligence out of existing models via synthetic data and self-play. This relies on inference-class rollout fleets rather than cutting-edge pre-training mega-clusters. The Verification Layer: Evaluating, sandboxing, and grading all that synthetic RL data requires massive CPU compute .... benefitting $INTC Less brute-force pre-training = extended hardware refresh cycles and a normalized upgrade curve for $NVDA. Markets much smarter on this than I, will wait into see how the stock prices react to this next week!

@Fierce__beast Sep 12

Fierce_beast on X

For $CASY, let's say it grows earnings roughly 6% on average for the next 20 years, then 3% terminally. Maybe its 9% for the next 5 years, but gradually moves toward something like maturity of 3%, average let's say is 6%. What multiple would you currently pay on that earnings stream? Personally, i would pay no more than 25x for this. Add other considerations to the business, maybe you think it will grow faster or longer, adjust your multiple as you prefer.

@negligible_cap Sep 12

Negligible Capital on X

“No one should be allowed to try and build better AI models than us” - Dario probably How come you never hear $META or $GOOG researchers crying wolf about the imminent dangers of AI? Or any open-sourced AI company? It’s seemingly always just Anthropic and OpenAI https://t.co/9UdFguBdPY

@negligible_cap Sep 12

Negligible Capital on X

“No one should be allowed to try and build better AI models than us” - Dario probably How come you never hear $META or $GOOG researchers crying wolf about the imminent dangers of AI? Or any open-sourced AI company? It’s always just Anthropic and OpenAI, which don’t have nearly the cashflow to support their operations like Meta or Alphabet or Alibaba. Let AI defend against AI, not regulation

@partners_road Sep 12

RiverRoadPartners on X

Stan gave the example of 2001. $CSCO had aggressively grown its backlog every yr through the Internet 1.0 buildout & the Street expected the same in 2001, but instead $CSCO’s backlog plunged. The build was over, & with that equipment demand evaporated. That will happen again. https://t.co/7yB6vDgcl8

@TidefallCapital Sep 12

Trevor Scott on X

my mistake $ADBE has a Nov year end. so it's 12x nov 2027, 14x nov 2026.

Nintendo: The Software Payoff Is Still Ahead

Nintendo expects software, digital sales and character licensing to drive growth, with FY2027 revenue forecast at ¥2.05 trillion and…

NTDOY $62B

LL Insights Sep 13

AI Terminator Fears Grow & Rates Breach 4.9% | The Weekly Wrap

Ten-year Treasury yields breach 4.9% as Steve Eisman discusses AI fears, OpenAI's price cut, Oracle's 30% revenue growth and Tesla's…

TSLA $1.4TNVDA $5.5T

Steve Eisman Sep 11 2 clicks

Lululemon: The 15-Minute Thesis

Lululemon’s North American sales, margins and legging demand are falling as Alo and Vuori gain share, leaving its brand moat and depressed…

LULU $11B

Hated Moats Sep 11 2 clicks

Chevron: $100 Oil Price Can Last Longer Than You Think

Chevron’s 2027 EPS could be underestimated by about $4.50 per share if U.S.-Iran conflict keeps oil near $100 rather than forecast $74 to…

CVX $403B

Envision Research Sep 11 1 click

Why “Affordable Luxury” Doesn't Compound

Lululemon’s growth stalled as affordable-luxury apparel brands face fading post-Covid demand, cheap social-media influence and China…

LULU $11BNKE $54B

MBI Deep Dives Sep 11 2 clicks

The Five Deals That Made Apollo

Apollo Global Management’s five defining deals, from Executive Life to Intel, built a $1 trillion asset manager spanning insurance and…

APO $74B

Net Interest Sep 11 1 click

In Conversation: NVIDIA

NVIDIA sees inference, agentic workloads and robotics broadening AI compute demand beyond hyperscalers, while high-speed memory shortages…

NVDA $5.5T

Aurelion Research Sep 11 1 click

Broadcom (NASDAQ: AVGO) Stock Rating: Upgrade To Accumulate From Do Nothing - Accumulation Zone And Stop Inside

Broadcom was upgraded to Accumulate at about $363 after Q3 revenue reached $29.6 billion, with AI semiconductor revenue up 221% to $16.7…

AVGO $1.7T

Cestrian Capital Research. Sep 11

TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/11/2026)

TSOH weekly roundup covers Meta’s child-safety settlement, Markel’s leadership transition, Peloton’s gym strategy and an upcoming Alarm.com…

META $1.7TMKL $22B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 11 2 clicks

Nucor Corporation: Steel Tariffs And Trade Spats

Nucor's growth and $250 fair value estimate hinge partly on the U.S.-Canada steel tariff dispute.

NUE $55B

Ray Merola Sep 11

ASTS · short

Ast Spacemobile INC

AST SpaceMobile is priced for a 2026 commercial launch despite no identified path to manufacture or launch its satellite deployment target.

ASTS $24B

Value Investors Club Apr 29 10 clicks

Why Nike ($NKE) Won't Make It Into the Bearhold Universe

Nike is excluded from Bearhold’s universe because cultural relevance and consumer taste drive demand, leaving its revenue model less…

NKE $54B

Bearhold Research Apr 5 1 click

Under the Hood, Copart ($CPRT)

Copart’s salvage-auction network pairs scarce storage land with global online bidding, supporting insurer returns and a durable moat…

CPRT $27B

Bearhold Research Apr 3 1 click

It Pays to be a Winner: Our ML model and social research layer just went 14-for-16 on Nike’s Q3 call. (Kalshi, Mentions)

First Strike Research’s ML and social-sentiment system correctly called 14 of 16 Nike Q3 Kalshi contracts, reporting 208¢ net P&L.

NKE $54BCRWD $256B

First Strike Research Apr 1

Nike Earnings Mentions Contracts: Our Analysis, and Fair Value Pricing Model.

First Strike prices Nike’s Q3 “Express Lane” mention at 20-25¢ versus Kalshi’s 66¢, citing the retired Mark Parker-era supply-chain program…

NKE $54B

First Strike Research Mar 29

Doubling Down on Iran and OXY

Occidental Petroleum is positioned for oil above $80, with a prolonged Iran conflict and Gulf supply shut-ins pushing prices into triple…

OXY $59B

Open Insights Mar 20

Single Stock Spotlight #4: Global Payments (GPN)

Global Payments trades below 6 times adjusted earnings and about 7 times free cash flow amid Worldpay, competition and debt concerns.

GPN $23B

Hidden Rock Capital's Newsletter Mar 13

We Dramatically Improved our Machine Learning Model to Price Kalshi Earnings Contracts. It Went 11/13.

A two-layer machine-learning model correctly called 11 of 13 CrowdStrike earnings-word contracts on Kalshi, using historical transcripts…

CRWD $256B

First Strike Research Mar 7

Kazakhstan, Japan, and Trimming a Winner

Kaspi.kz’s 850 KZT ADS dividend establishes a roughly 9% yield after Hepsiburada spending; Japanese buyback disclosures test whether 0.61x…

KSPI $18B

Cluseau Research Mar 2 2 clicks

Is the Airline Industry Really That Bad? – AerCap and A Case of Sandbagged Guidance

AerCap sells aircraft at 2x book value and repurchases stock near 1x book, cutting shares outstanding 31% in three years.

AER $22B

Bristlemoon Capital Mar 2 1 click

Sunday, September 13, 2026

Negligible Capital on X

Deep Sail Capital on X

Multiples Capital on X

Fierce_beast on X

Negligible Capital on X

Negligible Capital on X

RiverRoadPartners on X

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