Wednesday, September 2, 2026

Notes from a Dasher Shift, and the Drone Delivery Future

DoorDash’s delivery economics rely on customer tips and flexible labor, while rising courier costs make autonomous delivery central to scaling GOV 4 to 5 times.

DASH $96B

MBI Deep Dives 44h ago 13 clicks

Sep 1 AMZN $2.8T

The Bid Shading Threat to Amazon Advertising

MBI Deep Dives 13 clicks

Aug 29 VEEV $46B

Veeva 2Q’26: “SaaSpocalypse” Cancelled

MBI Deep Dives 18 clicks

From X

@ChrisCamillo Aug 9 1 click

Chris Camillo on X

@JonathanSeller Didn’t miss it, very much long $NVDA

@ChrisCamillo Aug 9

Chris Camillo on X

I don’t have differentiated alpha on the memory bubble debate, but one important perspective: Sell side reports projecting the memory supply/demand imbalance to peak in the next few quarters are number crunchers modeling today’s known AI use cases. The problem is AI’s biggest use cases may not exist yet. I’d rather bet on AI creating unforeseen demand than on a spreadsheet correctly predicting its known memory needs two years from now. $SNDK $MU

@ChrisCamillo Aug 8 1 click

Chris Camillo on X

@Emotionallkrs I think in terms of information parity not price targets. Long $BE

@junkbondinvest Aug 7 1 click

junkbondinvestor on X

Strategy ($MSTR) has $15bn of preferreds, all yielding 10%+ Here's a quick summary of the situation > ~$22bn of debt + preferred vs. ~$54bn of BTC > Current interest/dividend obligation is now $1.75bn+ per year > $6bn+ of converts (1st tranche putable beginning in '27); all busted > Saylor beginning to sell $BTC and has a $4bn USD reserve which funds 2+ years of fixed obligations > Most junior preferred, $STRD, trading at 64 cents / 15.8% > Most senior preferred, $STRF, trading at 96 cents / 10.6% Is there a relative value trade here? My thoughts below

@TheBenSchmark Aug 7

JabroniCoin.USD on X

Kurian laid out the GCP margin expansion playbook a few years ago $GOOGL https://t.co/bsk7XfK4Ym

@BlueDuckCap Aug 7 1 click

BDC on X

The problem for $SNDK here is more setup than fundamentals. Longs were and are not playing for beats and inline guidance. They are in it for juice. The LTAs smooth out the revenues and mitigate the cycle severity (positive) but also take away a lot of the juice (negative) and its a name owned for juice.

@ActAccordingly Aug 6 1 click

PAA Research on X

I don't know what people expected for the $RKT print and guide. Always puts and takes, but this was a solid print in this environment. $UWMC just went through the windshield and my guess is that $RKT has some share gains to be had there. Gain on sale in the Pro channel was tight in the quarter so perhaps that reflects some of that.

@irbezek Aug 6 1 click

Ian Bezek on X

@Tintincapital @29374736ahshsv @flippyfloppy52 @smurfkonto1 Ha, no worries. There were some real concerns around resource nationalism in Chile recently, especially with $SQM so that's understandable.

Microsoft ($MSFT) - Deep Dive

Microsoft’s AI data-center buildout lifted annual CapEx from $5.5 billion in FY2014 to $115.9 billion in FY2026, resetting free-cash-flow…

MSFT $3.8T

Bearhold Research Aug 29 18 clicks

BE 2026-08-29

Bloom Energy: 5 Links That Cannot Break

BE $64B

Valuation Rewind Aug 29 6 clicks

Making sense of Sandisk’s long-term financial model

Sandisk’s FY28-FY30 model relies on long-term NAND agreements holding near-80% gross-margin floors despite pricing 26-28% below current…

SNDK $227B

Bristlemoon Capital Aug 28 19 clicks

CMCSA 2026-08-28

After A Decade Of Underperformance, Comcast Is Finally Ready To Rebound

CMCSA $95B

Max Greve Aug 28 3 clicks

[scuttleslops] AI Data Center Economics, ADI, INTU, IDXX

AWS AI campuses cost $40–$45 billion per gigawatt, with Trainium 3 expected to lift compute per megawatt and improve infrastructure returns.

AMZN $2.8T

scuttleblurb Aug 26 9 clicks

BREAKING: Modine's Anchor Multi-Billion-Dollar Customers Are Google and Amazon

Modine's undisclosed customer on a more than $4 billion agreement is Google, with potential data-center demand from AWS, Crusoe and others.

AMZN $2.8T

Hunterbrook Aug 21 1 click

GFS 2026-08-21

Recent Pullback Could Be An Appealing Entry Point For GlobalFoundries

GFS $24B

Jason Ditz Aug 21

Exclusive: Walter and TWG Global Likely Can’t Use CVNA for Liquidity. Citi Already Secured It.

TWG Global’s roughly $2 billion Carvana stake is already pledged to Citigroup, limiting Walter and TWG’s ability to use CVNA shares for…

CVNA $52BC $222B

Hunterbrook Aug 18

Shitcos, Griftcos, and alignment versus enrichment at $IREN

IREN awarded each co-CEO roughly 9 million RSUs, about 2.5% of shares and $400 million, in exchange for no further equity grants until…

IREN $15B

Yet Another Value Blog Aug 18 14 clicks

$NU: is Nubank Capital One in 1994 or Capital One in 2006? | Vanshap Capital

Nubank's 140 million customers, 20% efficiency ratio and 30% ROE frame whether its high-teens P/E reflects a scalable fintech or a maturing…

NU $70B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 17 11 clicks

Meta Buys Away its Distraction at Minimal Cost

Meta’s $18 billion teen-addiction settlement makes $5.3 billion contingent on YouTube and TikTok adopting matching restrictions, while…

META $1.5TRBLX $29B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 28 15 clicks

MU 2026-08-28

SK Hynix: Higher Revenue Than Micron, Cheaper Than Micron (Initiating Buy)

MU $1.1T

Prakhar Agarwal, CFA Aug 28 6 clicks

Nvidia Climbing the Wall of Worries

Nvidia guided FY2028 revenue toward $700 billion, roughly 70% growth, while supply constraints and neocloud demand face concerns over…

NVDA $5.4T

MBI Deep Dives Aug 27 9 clicks

MT 2026-08-27

ArcelorMittal: Regionalization Is Creating A Structurally Better Steel Company

MT $57B

Capital Connoisseur Aug 27 3 clicks

Nvidia’s Long-Term Margin Question

Nvidia faces questions over the durability of its long-term profit margins ahead of earnings.

NVDA $5.4T

MBI Deep Dives Aug 26 8 clicks

KMI 2026-08-26

Kinder Morgan: The Consolidation Is An Opportunity Before The Next Leg Higher

KMI $71B

Steven Fiorillo Aug 26 3 clicks

The $1.5 Trillion of Hidden Debt Fueling the AI Boom | Robin Wigglesworth of FT Alphaville

Hyperscalers’ off-balance-sheet lease and purchase obligations rose from roughly $1 trillion to $1.5 trillion, turning the AI buildout into…

GOOGL $4.1TMETA $1.5T

The Monetary Matters Network Aug 16 11 clicks

Will Hubspot go the way of the Dodo?

HubSpot trades near its 2020 share price despite quadrupled revenue and $750 million in free cash flow, with Breeze AI upside weighed…

HUBS $12B

The Oak Bloke Aug 16 10 clicks

AI’s Achilles’ Heel: Why Everything Hinges on Anthropic & OpenAI | The Weekly Wrap

Steve Eisman argues the AI boom hinges on Anthropic and OpenAI’s importance to hyperscalers, while weighing software, CoreWeave and Cisco…

MSFT $3.8TAMZN $2.8T

Steve Eisman Aug 14 10 clicks

BREAKING: Nebius Told Investors Vineland Data Center Was "On Track" Days After Undisclosed Stop Orders

Nebius omitted Vineland stop orders over unpermitted Bloom Energy fuel-cell and LNG-tank work while telling investors its data-center…

NBIS $54BBE $64B

Hunterbrook Aug 13 1 click

Wednesday, September 2, 2026

Notes from a Dasher Shift, and the Drone Delivery Future

The Bid Shading Threat to Amazon Advertising

Veeva 2Q’26: “SaaSpocalypse” Cancelled

From X

Chris Camillo on X

Chris Camillo on X

Chris Camillo on X

junkbondinvestor on X

JabroniCoin.USD on X

BDC on X

PAA Research on X

Ian Bezek on X

Investor Letters

Microsoft ($MSFT) - Deep Dive

Bloom Energy: 5 Links That Cannot Break

Making sense of Sandisk’s long-term financial model

After A Decade Of Underperformance, Comcast Is Finally Ready To Rebound

[scuttleslops] AI Data Center Economics, ADI, INTU, IDXX

BREAKING: Modine's Anchor Multi-Billion-Dollar Customers Are Google and Amazon

Recent Pullback Could Be An Appealing Entry Point For GlobalFoundries

Exclusive: Walter and TWG Global Likely Can’t Use CVNA for Liquidity. Citi Already Secured It.

Shitcos, Griftcos, and alignment versus enrichment at $IREN

$NU: is Nubank Capital One in 1994 or Capital One in 2006? | Vanshap Capital

Meta Buys Away its Distraction at Minimal Cost

SK Hynix: Higher Revenue Than Micron, Cheaper Than Micron (Initiating Buy)

Nvidia Climbing the Wall of Worries

ArcelorMittal: Regionalization Is Creating A Structurally Better Steel Company

Nvidia’s Long-Term Margin Question

Kinder Morgan: The Consolidation Is An Opportunity Before The Next Leg Higher

The $1.5 Trillion of Hidden Debt Fueling the AI Boom | Robin Wigglesworth of FT Alphaville

Will Hubspot go the way of the Dodo?

AI’s Achilles’ Heel: Why Everything Hinges on Anthropic & OpenAI | The Weekly Wrap

BREAKING: Nebius Told Investors Vineland Data Center Was "On Track" Days After Undisclosed Stop Orders

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