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WD #360: New Trade, Recent Market Action, Brazil/Inter Update

Atlassian is sold after a 130% gain, while iShares MSCI Indonesia ETF is added following the market plunge; the update also assesses the AI-stock selloff and CoreWeave’s collapse.

TEAM $52B

Ian’s Insider Corner 6h ago 6 clicks

10h ago NOC $68B

Northrop Grumman (NYSE: NOC) Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Preview - Accumulate Rating, Zones And Stop Inside

Cestrian Capital Research 3 clicks

12h ago APP $88B

AppLovin Deep Dive

Speedwell Memos 13 clicks

From X

@pennycheck Sep 29

⚽️📡 on X

$ADEA New CEO hire is exactly what you want to see. She spent last 8 years at $ARM turning semi conducter IP into massive growth + recurring revenue honestly surprised stock is down given how the previous CEO exit had been weighing on the stock https://t.co/m34bD0nn3l https://t.co/JXuFHAsKJj

@blondesnmoney Sep 29

Cluseau Investments on X

$ASIC has significantly outperformed its more loftily valued peer, Kinsale, by 42% YTD. With Excess and Surplus activity continuing to slow, however, I think Ategrity is no longer the value setup it once was and I've taken profits on the ASIC leg of the trade. https://t.co/X0GyGmL414 https://t.co/IngDuCC0H8

@convequity Sep 29

Convequity on X

Batch size sets the trade-off between speed and cost in AI inference. An AI server answers many users at once by bundling their requests into one batch. Our $CBRS note compares this to running a bus. There are two ways to run it, and each gives something up. 1. Fill the bus. Put as many passengers as possible on every run. More stops slow each passenger's trip, but the cost of the run is spread across more people, so the cost per passenger falls. Larger batches do the same: each user's answer is slower, and the cost per token falls because the system produces more tokens from the same hardware. 2. Carry fewer passengers and stop less. Each trip is faster, but fewer seats mean the cost of the run is spread less well, so the cost per passenger rises. Smaller batches are fast for one user and raise the cost per token. So in the analogy, speed for each user is how fast each passenger arrives. Cost per token is cost per passenger. A system set up for one gives up some of the other. When someone compares two inference systems, check the batch size behind each number. A speed figure or a cost-per-token figure quoted without it cannot be compared fairly.

@KEDM_COM Sep 29

KEDM.com on X

ProQR Therapeutics $PRQR CEO Daniel de Boer bought $513K across two separate purchases on July 7 and July 9, and a company director bought another $229.5K in late June (real money for a Dutch CEO). PRQR is a small-cap RNA-editing biotech backed by a major pharma partner: Eli Lilly. Their collaboration, running since 2021 and expanded in 2022, could pay ProQR up to $3.75 billion in milestones plus royalties, real validation for a company this size. The balance sheet just got stronger too: ProQR raised roughly $59 million in late June 2026, with Lilly buying in alongside the public offering to keep its stake intact, a vote of confidence from the partner who knows their science best.

@AsifSuria Sep 29

Asif Suria on X

@SmallCapVal Was excited to see an insider purchase at $CME filed yesterday but it turned out to be a dividend reinvestment as most of the purchases at $CME tend to be. https://t.co/E7mlsW02I3

@junkbondinvest Sep 29 2 clicks

junkbondinvestor on X

Paramount's $52bn $WBD debt package is FINALLY in the market. Here's the package: $32bn of IG-rated 1L bonds, the 5th-largest US high-grade sale EVER. Plus $7.5bn of loans and $12.4bn of 2L HY bonds. Paramount's existing unsecured bonds? Primed. Back of the line. Good luck and thanks for playing. Where in the cap stack are you playing? $PSKY $PARA

@AsifSuria Sep 29

Asif Suria on X

@accrued_int Yes indeed! Tons of buying In $DKS since August. Retail has generally been a difficult sector for me and so I am approaching this cautiously. https://t.co/sQw6OWE2zl

@finphysnerd Sep 29 1 click

Myles on X

Selling low vol international stuff and buying risk and rate exposure today (with some hedging using $ANGL, $SMH and $QQQ). Purely a sentiment and positioning thesis. Historically I've been too cautious in these sorts of dislocations so im trying something new.

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Meta’s GEM, Part 2: Finding the Scaling Law

Meta’s GEM trains smaller ad-ranking models across its platforms, with Kunlun showing performance scaling predictably as compute rises.

META $1.8T

MBI Deep Dives 14h ago 4 clicks

LXS.DE: a 2028 sale it can force

Lanxess can force Advent to buy at least half its Envalior stake in April 2028, potentially raising about €745 million to reduce net debt.

LPTH $525M

Trade Ideas Flow 17h ago 11 clicks

Sell Eagle Point Credit Now - Match The Loss With Portfolio Gains To Lower Income Taxes

Eagle Point Credit's NAV is down 25% YTD and shares nearly 50%, while its expense ratio climbed to 9.21% despite a 25% yield.

ECC $379M

Anthony Cataldo 19h ago 2 clicks

The Agentic AI Roadmap for SaaS

SaaS companies including Salesforce, ServiceNow, CrowdStrike, Synopsys and Veeva are ranked by agentic AI progress, from pilots to…

CRM $197BCRWD $233B

Jimmy's Journal 19h ago 5 clicks

Build-A-Bear: A Narrower Path

Build-A-Bear's push into prestuffed toys and broader retail distribution tests brand stretchability, but recent results warrant caution.

BBW $317M

TSOH Investment Research 19h ago 7 clicks

The Monday Morning Briefing: Meta, Tesla, Netflix, P&G on Deck

Lennar’s land-bank costs pressure homebuilding margins, while Flowers Foods weighs a Tastykake sale after falling branded-bread share,…

LEN $18BFLO $1.3B

Latticework by MOI Global 21h ago 10 clicks

LendingTree (NASDAQ: $TREE) – A Cyclical Comeback Story Priced as if the Cycle Never Turns

LendingTree derives roughly two-thirds of revenue from insurance and trades near 4 times expected adjusted earnings despite record revenue,…

TREE $362M

Substack von Philipp 22h ago 5 clicks

Exelon: Shelter From The Storm And Nice Yield As Utilities Catch A Bid

EXC $45B

Michael Fitzsimmons 23h ago 4 clicks

Our Q3 2026 Update: Our Companies (OXY, RIG, VAL)

Occidental Petroleum’s debt should fall further after Q3 oil prices averaged $85 per barrel WTI and $91 Brent.

OXY $62BRIG $6.2B

Open Insights 23h ago 7 clicks

Zscaler CEO and CFO: We have the opportunity of a lifetime

Zscaler CEO Jay Chaudhry and CFO Kevin Rubin discuss the cybersecurity company’s growth prospects and valuation.

ZS $34B

The Technology Letter 30h ago 1 click

SKIN · long

Skinhealth Systems INC

SkinHealth Systems owns a dominant professional skincare consumables franchise but trades at roughly $115 million market cap and $255…

SKIN $73M

Value Investors Club Jul 21

Do You Trust Apple?

Apple’s HomeView strategy ties Siri, privacy and smart-home control to consumer trust in its vision for the home.

AAPL $5T

Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. 30h ago 2 clicks

What Lies Beneath: The Developer Building a Data Center on a Former Army Dump Laced With Munitions and Carcinogens

Digital Realty paid $120 million for Atlanta-area parcels including a former Army dump with buried carcinogens and military ordnance.

DLR $60B

Hunterbrook 34h ago 22 clicks

Wells Fargo Earnings Aren't Inspiring Enough, But A 7% Income Opportunity Is

Wells Fargo’s Q3 EPS beat and $12.5 billion net interest income failed to move shares, while WFC.PZ preferreds yield 7.10%.

WFC $254B

Jeremy LaKosh 40h ago 6 clicks

Semtech Analyst Day Review

Semtech raised Q3 guidance and targets $3.2 billion of fiscal 2030 revenue, excluding upside from its AI data-center optical and copper…

SMTC $16B

CV's Substack Oct 17 13 clicks

DigitalOcean CEO: ‘We are not going to be extraordinarily leveraged like some others’

DigitalOcean’s CEO says the cloud company will not take on extraordinary leverage to fund its AI push.

DOCN $13B

The Technology Letter Oct 17 22 clicks

Expert Call | Q3 2026 Optical Components Market Dynamics, Vendor Market Share, & 2027 Growth Outlook

Optical-component vendor call covers 800G and 1.6T demand, AI cluster optical density, market share, pricing and 2027 growth for Coherent,…

COHR $52BLITE $77B

P Equity Research Oct 17 14 clicks

PayPal: Market's Extreme Mispricing Is Starting To Unwind

PayPal’s 10.3x forward earnings multiple and more than $6 billion in free cash flow frame a turnaround driven by cost cuts, Venmo and BNPL…

PYPL $48B

JR Research Oct 17 12 clicks

SiriusXM: Dirt Cheap, Looming Catalysts, Short Squeeze Candidate

SiriusXM trades at 6.5 times free cash flow, a 15% yield, with high short interest and catalysts that could drive a short squeeze.

SIRI $9B

Eagle Point Capital Oct 17 55 clicks

Meritage Homes: Cheaper On Book Than Any Year-End In A Decade

MTH $3.8B

Tim Travis Oct 17 10 clicks

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Sunday, October 18 32 stock ideas

What Lies Beneath: The Developer Building a Data Center on a Former Army Dump Laced With Munitions and Carcinogens Hunterbrook
DigitalOcean CEO: ‘We are not going to be extraordinarily leveraged like some others’ The Technology Letter

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