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WD #360: New Trade, Recent Market Action, Brazil/Inter Update

Atlassian is sold after a 130% gain, while iShares MSCI Indonesia ETF is added following the market plunge; the update also assesses the AI-stock selloff and CoreWeave’s collapse.

TEAM $52B

Ian’s Insider Corner 21m ago 1 click

4h ago NOC $68B

Northrop Grumman (NYSE: NOC) Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Preview - Accumulate Rating, Zones And Stop Inside

Cestrian Capital Research 2 clicks

6h ago APP $88B

AppLovin Deep Dive

Speedwell Memos 12 clicks

From X

@negligible_cap Sep 30 2 clicks

Negligible Capital on X

Aterio flagging that they see a material risk that $ORCL misses their 2H 2027 delivery guidance on their 1.3 GW Wisco datacenter, with meaningful load now unlikely before mid-2028 https://t.co/Rywn1UhoOC https://t.co/zmgGeRZ7eR

@DOMOCAPITAL Sep 30

DOMO Capital Management, LLC on X

$PBI https://t.co/MFR4Wes8aM

@valuedontlie Sep 30

Colin King on X

And here's another CVR from $SSTI buyout... Stock trading at $8.20 with $8 cash + $3 CVR https://t.co/yxJvpDQX67 https://t.co/Ikq0lfpTq3

@negligible_cap Sep 30 1 click

Negligible Capital on X

I’m not saying I think $AAPL is worth 35x earnings but I do think Ternus is going to go on a generational heater. Hardware guy that wants more product releases and wants to cut fat https://t.co/8nGQpm9GgP

@convequity Sep 30

Convequity on X

Judging Tower Semiconductor ($TSEM) by how advanced its chip process is misses what its chips are for. Skeptics often set Tower's older 65 nm process against the more advanced processes at TSMC ($TSM). That yardstick suits logic chips, which are judged on transistor density. It does not suit the analog chips Tower makes for optics. 1. In an optical engine, the analog front-end is the circuitry that drives the laser and reads the returning light. It needs speed, linearity and power efficiency, not maximum transistor density. 2. Tower's strength is its silicon-germanium BiCMOS processes. They have long dominated the merchant market for these laser-driver and receiver chips because they deliver high performance without the most advanced CMOS logic. 3. A less noticed strength is hybrid bonding. Co-packaged optics needs an electronic chip bonded reliably onto a photonic one. Tower already runs mature, high-yield hybrid bonding for stacked image sensors in high-end phones, where a signal-processing chip is bonded onto a light-sensing chip. A close technical parallel, already at volume. The limit: if the electronic chip has to take on more complex signal processing, such as clock recovery or adaptive equalization, TSMC's advanced FinFET processes do offer real advantages in power and integration. Different foundries may end up making different parts of the system. So Tower's position in optics rests on silicon-germanium and photonic process expertise, not on advanced logic.

@valuedontlie Sep 30

Colin King on X

$LFCR finally getting bought out... $6.28 cash + CVR with potential for another $3.39 per share based on post-close revenue performance Stock trading around $6.60 so paying ~30c for the optionality today https://t.co/wnVDBD8jXK

@irbezek Sep 30

Ian Bezek on X

Since multiple people have pinged me this. Cancun is not Tulum. They are 100km apart. The prior socialist government built the Tulum airport in part to screw with us $ASR Cancun concession holders. We want Tulum to fail. Cancun hotel occupancy remains in the mid-50s. https://t.co/4hb7GRGGZO

@ACapitalLP Sep 30 1 click

A Capital on X

@alexandr_wang This kids meme game is strong. Might have to look at $META from a special situations angle now.

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Read past recaps

Meta’s GEM, Part 2: Finding the Scaling Law

Meta’s GEM trains smaller ad-ranking models across its platforms, with Kunlun showing performance scaling predictably as compute rises.

META $1.9T

MBI Deep Dives 8h ago 4 clicks

LXS.DE: a 2028 sale it can force

Lanxess can force Advent to buy at least half its Envalior stake in April 2028, potentially raising about €745 million to reduce net debt.

LPTH $562M

Trade Ideas Flow 11h ago 11 clicks

Sell Eagle Point Credit Now - Match The Loss With Portfolio Gains To Lower Income Taxes

Eagle Point Credit's NAV is down 25% YTD and shares nearly 50%, while its expense ratio climbed to 9.21% despite a 25% yield.

ECC $379M

Anthony Cataldo 13h ago 1 click

The Agentic AI Roadmap for SaaS

SaaS companies including Salesforce, ServiceNow, CrowdStrike, Synopsys and Veeva are ranked by agentic AI progress, from pilots to…

CRM $197BCRWD $233B

Jimmy's Journal 13h ago 5 clicks

Build-A-Bear: A Narrower Path

Build-A-Bear's push into prestuffed toys and broader retail distribution tests brand stretchability, but recent results warrant caution.

BBW $317M

TSOH Investment Research 13h ago 7 clicks

The Monday Morning Briefing: Meta, Tesla, Netflix, P&G on Deck

Lennar’s land-bank costs pressure homebuilding margins, while Flowers Foods weighs a Tastykake sale after falling branded-bread share,…

LEN $17BFLO $1.3B

Latticework by MOI Global 15h ago 10 clicks

LendingTree (NASDAQ: $TREE) – A Cyclical Comeback Story Priced as if the Cycle Never Turns

LendingTree derives roughly two-thirds of revenue from insurance and trades near 4 times expected adjusted earnings despite record revenue,…

TREE $362M

Substack von Philipp 16h ago 5 clicks

Our Q3 2026 Update: Our Companies (OXY, RIG, VAL)

Occidental Petroleum’s debt should fall further after Q3 oil prices averaged $85 per barrel WTI and $91 Brent.

OXY $62BRIG $6.2B

Open Insights 17h ago 6 clicks

Undercovered Dozen: Hess Midstream, Iovance Biotherapeutics, Netlist, And More

Hess Midstream, Iovance Biotherapeutics, Netlist and nine other lesser-covered stocks make this week’s Undercovered Dozen.

HESM $6.3BIOVA $6.7B

The Undercovered Dozen 23h ago 10 clicks

Do You Trust Apple?

Apple’s HomeView strategy ties Siri, privacy and smart-home control to consumer trust in its vision for the home.

AAPL $5T

Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. 24h ago 2 clicks

SKIN · long

Skinhealth Systems INC

SkinHealth Systems owns a dominant professional skincare consumables franchise but trades at roughly $115 million market cap and $255…

SKIN $73M

Value Investors Club Jul 21

What Lies Beneath: The Developer Building a Data Center on a Former Army Dump Laced With Munitions and Carcinogens

Digital Realty paid $120 million for Atlanta-area parcels including a former Army dump with buried carcinogens and military ordnance.

DLR $60B

Hunterbrook 28h ago 22 clicks

Semtech Analyst Day Review

Semtech raised Q3 guidance and targets $3.2 billion of fiscal 2030 revenue, excluding upside from its AI data-center optical and copper…

SMTC $16B

CV's Substack 45h ago 13 clicks

DigitalOcean CEO: ‘We are not going to be extraordinarily leveraged like some others’

DigitalOcean’s CEO says the cloud company will not take on extraordinary leverage to fund its AI push.

DOCN $13B

The Technology Letter Oct 17 22 clicks

Expert Call | Q3 2026 Optical Components Market Dynamics, Vendor Market Share, & 2027 Growth Outlook

Optical-component vendor call covers 800G and 1.6T demand, AI cluster optical density, market share, pricing and 2027 growth for Coherent,…

COHR $52BLITE $77B

P Equity Research Oct 17 14 clicks

PayPal: Market's Extreme Mispricing Is Starting To Unwind

PayPal’s 10.3x forward earnings multiple and more than $6 billion in free cash flow frame a turnaround driven by cost cuts, Venmo and BNPL…

PYPL $48B

JR Research Oct 17 12 clicks

SiriusXM: Dirt Cheap, Looming Catalysts, Short Squeeze Candidate

SiriusXM trades at 6.5 times free cash flow, a 15% yield, with high short interest and catalysts that could drive a short squeeze.

SIRI $9B

Eagle Point Capital Oct 17 55 clicks

Meritage Homes: Cheaper On Book Than Any Year-End In A Decade

MTH $3.7B

Tim Travis Oct 17 10 clicks

Market Cracks Under AI Debt Burden | The Weekly Wrap

Steve Eisman examines AI data-center debt, CoreWeave's tech correction and agentic AI's effect on banks as earnings season begins.

CRWV $34BBAC $377B

Steve Eisman Oct 16 22 clicks

RELX: The Risk Segment Makes This Buy Less Risky

RELX’s 13-petabyte fraud and identity data moat supports its high-margin Risk segment as its valuation falls to roughly half its peak P/E.

RELX $64B

LA Capital Oct 16 8 clicks

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