Big Tech Off-Balance Sheet Concerns
Big Tech’s $3 trillion AI commitments are disclosed and largely long-dated, with nearly 60% of Amazon’s $650 billion commitments falling after 2030.
Latest
25h ago TTMI $12B TTM Technologies: Priced Like A Board Shop, Booked Like A Defense Prime
Jaden Mealy 28h ago GEN $17B Gen Digital: MoneyLion Opens A New Growth Channel At A Low Valuation
Manimala Misra From X
David Orr on X
@FixedIncQuant @nickgiva1 $IBIT has a $46 billion AUM.
BDC on X
Apple trades at 35 times earnings despite Services deceleration and slowing China revenue, with harder comparisons ahead and near-doubled market capitalization raising ownership risk.
BDC on X
A few mins to go, but this has been by far Andy Jassy's best call ever as CEO. Well done sir. $AMZN
BDC on X
$AMZN op margin of 13.7% is its highest quarterly margin ever by a pretty wide margin. ROIC showing itself.
BDC on X
In July the bubble moved over into $AAPL where it was hanging out during the semis blood bath. $AAPL with a so/so print is constructive since that there the bubble has been parked.
BDC on X
$AMZN incremental AWS margins are 57% and operating cash flow grew +40% against a much harder comp. These types of numbers show that ROIC is there on the capex.
BDC on X
I know I was poking some fun at $META last night but I think its a buy here in all seriousness. Not advice. But lots of ways to win in the end. Not advice, do own DD etc. I could be wrong.
Investor Letters
All letters- Royce Investment Partners year-to-date period ended 6/30/26 +33.9%
- Palm Harbour Capital second quarter of 2023
- Patient Capital Management 2Q25 +15.3%
- Patient Capital Management 3Q25 +14.1%
- Palm Harbour Capital fourth quarter
- Intrepid Capital 2Q 2026 +6.6%
- First Eagle Investments 3Q 2025 +9.2%
- Bireme Capital 2Q22 -1.4%
Stripe’s “Singularity” and the Divergence from Adyen
Stripe’s net revenue rose 41% in 1H 2026 versus Adyen’s 21% FX-adjusted growth, fueled by AI-native startups and acquisitions including…
HMY 2026-08-24 Harmony Gold Mining: A Copper Pioneer By Capitalizing On The Gold Tailwind (Reaffirming Buy)
Prakhar Agarwal, CFA 
Core Memory
Airbnb Experiences faces a supply bottleneck from manual approvals, while a farm host raised her price from $15 to $25 after stronger…
Shitcos, Griftcos, and alignment versus enrichment at $IREN
IREN awarded each co-CEO roughly 9 million RSUs, about 2.5% of shares and $400 million, in exchange for no further equity grants until…
$NU: is Nubank Capital One in 1994 or Capital One in 2006? | Vanshap Capital
Nubank's 140 million customers, 20% efficiency ratio and 30% ROE frame whether its high-teens P/E reflects a scalable fintech or a maturing…
The $1.5 Trillion of Hidden Debt Fueling the AI Boom | Robin Wigglesworth of FT Alphaville
Hyperscalers’ off-balance-sheet lease and purchase obligations rose from roughly $1 trillion to $1.5 trillion, turning the AI buildout into…
Will Hubspot go the way of the Dodo?
HubSpot trades near its 2020 share price despite quadrupled revenue and $750 million in free cash flow, with Breeze AI upside weighed…
AI’s Achilles’ Heel: Why Everything Hinges on Anthropic & OpenAI | The Weekly Wrap
Steve Eisman argues the AI boom hinges on Anthropic and OpenAI’s importance to hyperscalers, while weighing software, CoreWeave and Cisco…
[scuttleslops] ZTS, APO, FISV, TTD, RELY
Zoetis’s U.S. companion-animal revenue fell 6% as dermatology competition drove rebates and discounts, pushing full-year net pricing to…
The Impact of Autonomous Vehicles on Copart, A Timeline-Based Assessment - ($CPRT)
Copart faces a near-term lift from pricier AV repairs and total losses, but shrinking accident volumes could eventually force its…
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