Sunday, November 15, 2026

Lessons from Jensen’s scandal, and a new in-depth report (NOTW #114)

Nvidia’s alleged Jensen Huang scandal is framed as a lesson in avoiding emotional reliance on a CEO within an investment thesis.

NVDA $3.9T

Best Anchor Stocks 19h ago 3 clicks

19h ago CROX $7.5B

Q3 Earnings Updates

Hidden Rock Capital's Newsletter 3 clicks

24h ago ZTS $34B

Zoetis: ~13x P/E, But Still in the Doghouse

Librarian Capital's Research Library 5 clicks

From X

@aleabitoreddit 4h ago

Serenity on X

Western media coverage of $NVDA and Jensen Huang have reached a point Where it even gives Chinese people more pride in CCP state media. Very dark times for Western journalism.

@convequity 5h ago

Convequity on X

The direction is clear: mainstream meida are all pushing for a national security spy case through narratives with thin evidence. If this wokism persists and takes the lead in shaping the American AI strategy and the most important AI companies like $NVDA, the American tech leadership will be gone.

@Mr_Neutral_Man 9h ago

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

Taking my kids on an Anthony Bourdain style Queens food crawl Dinner at Astoria Seafood - grilled scallops, cuttlefish, gulf shrimp, halibut and fried calamari $186 Baklava at Al Sham -$13 Pastry at Cafe Noisette - $18 Pokemon cards $GME - $20 My kids’ smiles - Priceless

@ACapitalLP 11h ago

A Capital on X

- $OWL private credit apocalypse vs. sustainable franchise

@ACapitalLP 11h ago

A Capital on X

The biggest money in public markets is made when perception diverges dramatically from reality. Think of betting on sports on Kalshi/Polymarket. You’re not making a fortune betting on the #1 team to beat the #2 team. You’re making it betting on the 99-to-1 underdog when you realize the odds are completely wrong… A few situations that come to mind: - PSPs ($CIFR, $WULF, $APLD, $RIOT): Financing fears vs. the value of contracted power and development pipelines. - $TLN: PJM regulatory overhang vs. underlying FCF generation. - $FSLR: Fears of losing 45X credits vs. durable domestic manufacturing economics. What other situations fit this framework?

@StableBread 12h ago

Fajasy on X

In 2011, share-based compensation cost the 75 companies in the S&P 500's tech sector 2.2% of their revenue on average. By 2021, it cost them 4.1%, yet 45 of them excluded it from the adjusted profits they reported. At the end of 2022, Intuit $INTU traded at 28.4x the adjusted EPS analysts expected, versus 25x for Microsoft $MSFT. With share-based compensation included, Intuit traded at 43.9x, a 76% premium to Microsoft instead of 14%.

@gnoble79 12h ago

George Noble on X

$NVDA is Enron 2.0 @GavinSBaker @altcap @jason @chamath @DavidSacks @friedberg , What do you have to say for yourself? Asking for a friend. Your analytical malpractice and blindness to criminal activity is astounding. Shame on you for aiding this fraud. Live in your integrity, instead of pumping up this garbage. Do you have any ethics? Or is it always about the money? History will not be kind to you. Despicable, just despicable. Beware tech bro.

@gnoble79 12h ago

George Noble on X

$NVDA is Enron 2.0 @GavinSBaker @altcap @jason @chamath @DavidSacks @friedberg , What do you have to say for yourself? Asking for a friend. Your analytical malpractice is astounding. Shame on you for aiding this fraud. Live in your integrity, instead of pumping up this garbage. Do you have any ethics? Or is it always about the money? History will not be kind to you. Despicable, just despicable. Beware tech bro.

Peabody Energy: Delays With Centurion, But The Valuation Is Extremely Compelling

Peabody Energy trades at 2.7 to 2.9 times consensus EBITDA after Centurion delays cut Q4 guidance, with $434 million cash, $297 million…

BTU $2.1B

Bang For The Buck 26h ago 4 clicks

The AI Debate is No Longer Boom vs Bust: Why It’s Time to Go Back to Stock Picking | The Weekly Wrap

AI investing is shifting from boom-or-bust bets to stock picking as data center moratoriums and company results separate winners from…

CRWV $30BCHTR $25B

Steve Eisman 37h ago 6 clicks

The Spy Who Shagged The Market

Nvidia’s leadership scandal puts its AI-market role under scrutiny, with comparisons to AIG’s pre-GFC liquidity influence.

NVDA $3.9TAIG $43B

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” 40h ago 4 clicks

One Thing I Learned: Meta’s Ads Are About to Surpass Google Search

Meta's $63.1 billion ad revenue nearly matched Google Search's $63.4 billion as Meta grew 26% versus Search's 12%.

META $1.6T

Hayden Capital 37h ago 3 clicks

Is Nebius Fucked?

Nebius’ Q3 beat relied on $325 million of one-off partnership fees as it raised 2027 CapEx to $40–45 billion and may need $6–11 billion of…

NBIS $32B

Daniel Romero 39h ago 6 clicks

A No-Spin, No-Snark Take On Nebius Group (NASDAQ: NBIS)

Nebius spent $7.3bn in Q3 capital expenditure against $981m of revenue, including $325m in nonrecurring partnership sales, and guides to…

NBIS $32B

Cestrian Capital Research 40h ago 3 clicks

OXY’s Q3: 5 Reasons It’s Ripe for a Takeover

Occidental Petroleum reached its $10 billion debt target early and targets $6.4 billion to $6.5 billion of 2027 free cash flow at $65 WTI,…

OXY $59B

Open Insights 41h ago 4 clicks

Nvidia’s Future | My Question Marks

Nvidia’s future is framed around alleged China GPU diversion, tighter export controls and supply-chain risk after Jensen Huang’s claimed…

NVDA $3.9T

P Equity Research 42h ago 4 clicks

Qualcomm Custom ASICs?

Qualcomm’s Alphawave SerDes, CPU cores and HBC could support custom AI ASICs as hyperscalers build heterogeneous fleets beyond GPUs.

QCOM $185B

Chipstrat 42h ago 4 clicks

Applied Materials (NASDAQ: AMAT) Stock Rating: We Remain At “Stop" After Q4 FY10/26 Earnings

Applied Materials reported Q4 revenue of $10.4 billion, up 53%, and guided to $11.1 billion for January, but the rating remains Stop after…

AMAT $294B

Cestrian Capital Research 43h ago 3 clicks

BR · long

Broadridge Financial Solutns

Broadridge Financial Solutions is framed as a high and rising free-cash-flow generator at a depressed valuation, with insider buying…

BR $22B

Value Investors Club Aug 4

Expert Call | Optical Module Ramps, Lumentum vs. Coherent Momentum, Server CPU, and Advanced Packaging Constraints

AAOI, Lumentum and Coherent 800G ramps, NVIDIA Rubin timing, and AMD, Intel and Arm server CPU demand frame an expert call on AI…

LITE $54BCOHR $42B

P Equity Research Oct 31 2 clicks

FTAI 3Q26: Aero margins in focus

FTAI’s Aerospace Products margin rebounded to 31% as CFM56 module output rose, while Power deposits and contracted deliveries fund its 2027…

FTAI $18B

Stock Thoughts Oct 31 5 clicks

Microsoft's AI Boom Has A Cost

Microsoft’s Azure grew 48% as AI monetization accelerated, but doubled CapEx, largely for CPUs and GPUs, reduced quarterly free cash flow…

MSFT $3.9T

Yiannis Zourmpanos Oct 31 2 clicks

Life360 ($LIF): The Family App Wall Street Fell Out of Love With

Life360 has fallen 60% despite 40% revenue growth, 100 million monthly users and profitability, as its family-safety subscriptions and…

LIF $3.6B

Substack von Philipp Oct 31 5 clicks

Anthropic’s Growth is Slowing: Is AI Capex Next? | The Weekly Wrap

Anthropic’s revenue growth slowed from 147% in Q2 to 45% in Q3, raising questions about AI capital spending as Amazon holds capex flat.

AMZN $2.9T

Steve Eisman Oct 30 6 clicks

American Tower's Starlink Opportunity

American Tower could gain $1.13 to $3.54 in AFFO per share if Starlink accesses 80,000 U.S. cell sites and becomes a fourth major tenant.

AMT $89B

Dane Bowler Oct 30 4 clicks

CVX Earnings Review

Chevron’s Q3 revenue rose 35% to $65.2 billion and EBITDA 75% to $20.2 billion, while production trailed guidance and refining margins…

CVX $429B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 30 4 clicks

SNY Earnings Review

Sanofi raised FY26 guidance after Q3 sales grew 14.3% at constant currency, led by 34.8% Dupixent growth; vaccines declined 6.6%.

SNY $116B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 30 1 click

SK hynix: Despite Their Premium To The Korean Shares, The U.S. ADRs Are A Bargain

SK hynix's U.S. ADR trades at a valuation discount despite AI-driven memory demand, with 50% of 2027–2028 capacity under long-term…

SKHY $929B

Adam Schadt Oct 30 2 clicks

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Sunday, November 15, 2026

Serenity on X

Convequity on X

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

A Capital on X

A Capital on X

Fajasy on X

George Noble on X

George Noble on X

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