Sunday, November 15, 2026

Lessons from Jensen’s scandal, and a new in-depth report (NOTW #114)

Nvidia’s alleged Jensen Huang scandal is framed as a lesson in avoiding emotional reliance on a CEO within an investment thesis.

NVDA $3.9T

Best Anchor Stocks 20h ago 4 clicks

26h ago ZTS $34B

Zoetis: ~13x P/E, But Still in the Doghouse

Librarian Capital's Research Library 5 clicks

39h ago CRWV $30B

The AI Debate is No Longer Boom vs Bust: Why It’s Time to Go Back to Stock Picking | The Weekly Wrap

Steve Eisman 6 clicks

From X

@aleabitoreddit 2h ago

Serenity on X

The most interesting lesson Jensen Huang taught me And gave PTSD to Google executives over from his leadership at $NVDA: Was that if a critical material can be bought out for spare change eg. ~$400m (FY2028 Photonics-SOI revenue forecast for $SOI) And trigger tens of billions in economic impact to competitors for not securing supply: We're going to see game theory bottleneck supply procurement actually accelerate upstream through 2027, with or without him. I see Morgan Stanley's list highlighting CCL, ABF, PCBs, optical module components as interesting. However; I'd put it through my own narrower lens, especially focusing on smaller component cost chokepoints + bottlenecks that doesn't cost much to secure capacity over. Deleveraging/negative sentiment is indiscriminately moving the theme up and down together, so hard to argue individual fundamentals at this point. Reflecting on 2026, I also prob need to be more selective of companies entering 2027: But there's going to be a lot of outsized opportunities in bottlenecks... as new architectures like NPO/CPO emerge across the ecosystem.

@aleabitoreddit 6h ago

Serenity on X

Western media coverage of $NVDA and Jensen Huang have reached a point Where it even gives Chinese people more pride in CCP state media. Very dark times for Western journalism.

@convequity 7h ago

Convequity on X

The direction is clear: mainstream meida are all pushing for a national security spy case through narratives with thin evidence. If this wokism persists and takes the lead in shaping the American AI strategy and the most important AI companies like $NVDA, the American tech leadership will be gone.

@Mr_Neutral_Man 11h ago

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

Taking my kids on an Anthony Bourdain style Queens food crawl Dinner at Astoria Seafood - grilled scallops, cuttlefish, gulf shrimp, halibut and fried calamari $186 Baklava at Al Sham -$13 Pastry at Cafe Noisette - $18 Pokemon cards $GME - $20 My kids’ smiles - Priceless

@ACapitalLP 13h ago

A Capital on X

- $OWL private credit apocalypse vs. sustainable franchise

@ACapitalLP 13h ago

A Capital on X

The biggest money in public markets is made when perception diverges dramatically from reality. Think of betting on sports on Kalshi/Polymarket. You’re not making a fortune betting on the #1 team to beat the #2 team. You’re making it betting on the 99-to-1 underdog when you realize the odds are completely wrong… A few situations that come to mind: - PSPs ($CIFR, $WULF, $APLD, $RIOT): Financing fears vs. the value of contracted power and development pipelines. - $TLN: PJM regulatory overhang vs. underlying FCF generation. - $FSLR: Fears of losing 45X credits vs. durable domestic manufacturing economics. What other situations fit this framework?

@StableBread 13h ago

Fajasy on X

In 2011, share-based compensation cost the 75 companies in the S&P 500's tech sector 2.2% of their revenue on average. By 2021, it cost them 4.1%, yet 45 of them excluded it from the adjusted profits they reported. At the end of 2022, Intuit $INTU traded at 28.4x the adjusted EPS analysts expected, versus 25x for Microsoft $MSFT. With share-based compensation included, Intuit traded at 43.9x, a 76% premium to Microsoft instead of 14%.

@gnoble79 13h ago

George Noble on X

$NVDA is Enron 2.0 @GavinSBaker @altcap @jason @chamath @DavidSacks @friedberg , What do you have to say for yourself? Asking for a friend. Your analytical malpractice and blindness to criminal activity is astounding. Shame on you for aiding this fraud. Live in your integrity, instead of pumping up this garbage. Do you have any ethics? Or is it always about the money? History will not be kind to you. Despicable, just despicable. Beware tech bro.

The Spy Who Shagged The Market

Nvidia’s leadership scandal puts its AI-market role under scrutiny, with comparisons to AIG’s pre-GFC liquidity influence.

NVDA $3.9TAIG $43B

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” 42h ago 4 clicks

One Thing I Learned: Meta’s Ads Are About to Surpass Google Search

Meta's $63.1 billion ad revenue nearly matched Google Search's $63.4 billion as Meta grew 26% versus Search's 12%.

META $1.6T

Hayden Capital 39h ago 3 clicks

Is Nebius Fucked?

Nebius’ Q3 beat relied on $325 million of one-off partnership fees as it raised 2027 CapEx to $40–45 billion and may need $6–11 billion of…

NBIS $32B

Daniel Romero 41h ago 6 clicks

A No-Spin, No-Snark Take On Nebius Group (NASDAQ: NBIS)

Nebius spent $7.3bn in Q3 capital expenditure against $981m of revenue, including $325m in nonrecurring partnership sales, and guides to…

NBIS $32B

Cestrian Capital Research 42h ago 3 clicks

OXY’s Q3: 5 Reasons It’s Ripe for a Takeover

Occidental Petroleum reached its $10 billion debt target early and targets $6.4 billion to $6.5 billion of 2027 free cash flow at $65 WTI,…

OXY $59B

Open Insights 43h ago 4 clicks

Nvidia’s Future | My Question Marks

Nvidia’s future is framed around alleged China GPU diversion, tighter export controls and supply-chain risk after Jensen Huang’s claimed…

NVDA $3.9T

P Equity Research 43h ago 4 clicks

Qualcomm Custom ASICs?

Qualcomm’s Alphawave SerDes, CPU cores and HBC could support custom AI ASICs as hyperscalers build heterogeneous fleets beyond GPUs.

QCOM $185B

Chipstrat 44h ago 4 clicks

Applied Materials (NASDAQ: AMAT) Stock Rating: We Remain At “Stop" After Q4 FY10/26 Earnings

Applied Materials reported Q4 revenue of $10.4 billion, up 53%, and guided to $11.1 billion for January, but the rating remains Stop after…

AMAT $294B

Cestrian Capital Research 44h ago 3 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (11/13/2026)

Tripadvisor’s CEO and CFO will depart after weak Q3 results, while Roblox’s CEO discusses AI and Berkshire repurchases $9.6 billion of…

RBLX $36B

TSOH Investment Research 44h ago 3 clicks

Infineon Technologies (OTC: IFNNY) Stock Rating: Initiating Coverage At Accumulate After Q4 FY9/26 Earnings

Infineon’s AI data-center power-chip revenue more than doubled to €1.7bn, supporting fiscal 2027 guidance for about €20bn in revenue and…

IFNNY $71B

Cestrian Capital Research 46h ago 3 clicks

Northrop Grumman (NYSE: NOC) Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Update - Accumulate, Record Backlog, Zones And Stop Inside

Northrop Grumman posted 7% Q3 sales growth to $11.1 billion, lifted profit guidance and reached a record $109.6 billion backlog, led by…

NOC $78B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 20 4 clicks

Disney: Century-Old Franchises at 14x Forward Earnings

Disney trades at 14x FY27 consensus EPS of $7.50 as parks, merchandise and streaming rebuild its franchise flywheel.

DIS $205B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 20 10 clicks

[scuttleslops] AMZN, MTCH, SPOT, Open vs. closed models

Amazon’s fulfillment network and customer-review base limit autonomous AI shopping agents, whose referrals generate under 0.5% of major…

AMZN $2.9T

scuttleblurb Oct 20 11 clicks

Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXXII

CoreWeave and neocloud peers face financing pressure, but sold-out GPU capacity and rising H100 and B200 rental rates support continued AI…

CRWV $30B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 20 8 clicks

Goldman Sachs: Undervalued Growth With A Buy Rating

Goldman Sachs carries a $1,116 price target, based on $82.69 estimated 2027 EPS and growing recurring revenue from investment banking,…

GS $264B

The Curious Analyst Oct 20 4 clicks

Copper Fox Metals: Research Flash

Copper Fox’s C$9.1 million Schaft Creek program advances metallurgical, tailings, water and road studies toward a pre-feasibility study,…

TECK $30B

Atrium Research - Equity Research Oct 19 6 clicks

Muse Spark Open, Meta + Apple, Thin and Thick

Meta and Apple are partnering to run Meta’s open-source Muse Spark model locally on Apple devices.

META $1.6TAAPL $5.2T

Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. Oct 19 11 clicks

WD #360: New Trade, Recent Market Action, Brazil/Inter Update

Atlassian is sold after a 130% gain, while iShares MSCI Indonesia ETF is added following the market plunge; the update also assesses the…

TEAM $39B

Ian’s Insider Corner Oct 19 14 clicks

Northrop Grumman (NYSE: NOC) Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Preview - Accumulate Rating, Zones And Stop Inside

Northrop Grumman reports Q3 2026 on October 20 with a $105 billion backlog, up 16% year over year, and trades at 23 times trailing…

NOC $78B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 19 4 clicks

Nebius: The Pullback Strengthens The Case For An AI Infrastructure Champion

Nebius reported Q2 revenue growth of 454% and $3 billion ARR, targeting 5GW of AI capacity by 2030 after a Palantir partnership.

NBIS $32B

Salix Research Oct 19 16 clicks

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Sunday, November 15, 2026

Serenity on X

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