Saturday, November 14, 2026

BlackRock TCP Capital Corp: Deleveraged, For Sale Sign

TCPC $345M

Clark Street Value 14h ago 2 clicks

18h ago OTCM $626M

The SEC Rule That Could Transform Small-Cap Capital Raising | Cromwell Coulson

The Monetary Matters Network 4 clicks

18h ago NVDA $3.9T

Lessons from Jensen’s scandal, and a new in-depth report (NOTW #114)

Best Anchor Stocks 2 clicks

From X

@Adam_Wyden 8h ago

Adam D. Wyden on X

@ACapitalLP Funny thing is.. just removing the manager / reducing corp prob yields the highest value. CJS is showing 382 of ebitda in 27 w 7 mm of mgmt fee on top… 389. If corp was 15 and consolidated was 374…that’s 200 mm or 2.65 of FCF GROWING ALOT… maybe that’s a mid 40s stock? $CODI

@ACapitalLP 8h ago

A Capital on X

On a serious note, $CODI is one of the more glaring mispricings I’ve ever seen. People can argue whether NAV is $25 or $40/share, but I’m convinced that if you liquidated the entire company tomorrow, the assets would be worth at least 2x where the stock trades today. So why does this divergence exist? And more importantly, what closes the gap? Asset sales, replacing management, simplifying the structure, eliminating the governance discount? You don’t even need the stock to trade at 100% of NAV. What gets it to 80%? And at $12/share, how much downside are you really underwriting relative to the potential upside? That’s the asymmetry that interests me. I just don’t think there’s enough eyeballs on this given the size…

@Mr_Neutral_Man 9h ago

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

Taking my kids on an Anthony Bourdain style Queens food crawl Dinner at Astoria Seafood - grilled scallops, cuttlefish, gulf shrimp, halibut and fried calamari $186 Baklava at Al Sham -$13 Pastry at Cafe Noisette - $18 Pokemon cards $GME - $20 My kids’ smiles - Priceless

@Adam_Wyden 10h ago

Adam D. Wyden on X

@ACapitalLP $CODI nobody believes the company can be liberated. The gonnifs will rule the roost forever. Money will get siphoned in perpetuity and dilution will keep occurring… or will it?

@Adam_Wyden 10h ago

Adam D. Wyden on X

@ACapitalLP $CODI !!!!!

@ACapitalLP 11h ago

A Capital on X

- $OWL private credit apocalypse vs. sustainable franchise

@ACapitalLP 11h ago

A Capital on X

The biggest money in public markets is made when perception diverges dramatically from reality. Think of betting on sports on Kalshi/Polymarket. You’re not making a fortune betting on the #1 team to beat the #2 team. You’re making it betting on the 99-to-1 underdog when you realize the odds are completely wrong… A few situations that come to mind: - PSPs ($CIFR, $WULF, $APLD, $RIOT): Financing fears vs. the value of contracted power and development pipelines. - $TLN: PJM regulatory overhang vs. underlying FCF generation. - $FSLR: Fears of losing 45X credits vs. durable domestic manufacturing economics. What other situations fit this framework?

@StableBread 11h ago

Fajasy on X

In 2011, share-based compensation cost the 75 companies in the S&P 500's tech sector 2.2% of their revenue on average. By 2021, it cost them 4.1%, yet 45 of them excluded it from the adjusted profits they reported. At the end of 2022, Intuit $INTU traded at 28.4x the adjusted EPS analysts expected, versus 25x for Microsoft $MSFT. With share-based compensation included, Intuit traded at 43.9x, a 76% premium to Microsoft instead of 14%.

Q3 Earnings Updates

Q3 updates cover Crocs, Entravision and Fiserv beats, coal and oil weakness, and Xerox’s sharp decline, testing the underlying cases for…

CROX $7.5BEVC $874M

Hidden Rock Capital's Newsletter 19h ago 2 clicks

Cerebras: Timely Buying Opportunity After The Collapse (Rating Upgrade)

Cerebras Systems’ $26.1 billion backlog and Oracle Cloud and Microsoft wins support an upgrade after its valuation reset, though the case…

CBRS $26B

JR Research 19h ago 3 clicks

Zoetis: ~13x P/E, But Still in the Doghouse

Zoetis trades near 13x 2026 guidance after a 31% annual share decline, as Q3 revenue and earnings fell and competition from Elanco…

ZTS $34BELAN $13B

Librarian Capital's Research Library 24h ago 4 clicks

Peabody Energy: Delays With Centurion, But The Valuation Is Extremely Compelling

Peabody Energy trades at 2.7 to 2.9 times consensus EBITDA after Centurion delays cut Q4 guidance, with $434 million cash, $297 million…

BTU $2.1B

Bang For The Buck 26h ago 4 clicks

The AI Debate is No Longer Boom vs Bust: Why It’s Time to Go Back to Stock Picking | The Weekly Wrap

AI investing is shifting from boom-or-bust bets to stock picking as data center moratoriums and company results separate winners from…

CRWV $30BCHTR $25B

Steve Eisman 37h ago 6 clicks

The Spy Who Shagged The Market

Nvidia’s leadership scandal puts its AI-market role under scrutiny, with comparisons to AIG’s pre-GFC liquidity influence.

NVDA $3.9TAIG $43B

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” 40h ago 4 clicks

One Thing I Learned: Meta’s Ads Are About to Surpass Google Search

Meta's $63.1 billion ad revenue nearly matched Google Search's $63.4 billion as Meta grew 26% versus Search's 12%.

META $1.6T

Hayden Capital 37h ago 3 clicks

Is Nebius Fucked?

Nebius’ Q3 beat relied on $325 million of one-off partnership fees as it raised 2027 CapEx to $40–45 billion and may need $6–11 billion of…

NBIS $32B

Daniel Romero 39h ago 6 clicks

BGIN: a $34mm tax bill and $31mm of cash

BGIN holds $31.4 million of cash against $34.1 million in taxes payable as first-half revenue fell 85% and self-mining costs exceeded coin…

BGIN $439M

Guardian Research 39h ago 3 clicks

Arcos Dorados Q3: Same Golden Arches, A Fraction Of The Price

Arcos Dorados' Q3 comparable sales rose 15.5% on higher traffic, checks and market share; shares trade at 8.8 times forward earnings amid…

ARCO $1.5B

Kenio Fontes 40h ago 4 clicks

SYK · long

Stryker CORP

Stryker (SYK) trades near a 52-week low after a late-Q1 cyberattack disrupted revenue and earnings, framing a long-term compounder…

SYK $118B

Value Investors Club May 4 4 clicks

Adobe Stock Breakdown (Five Minute Money)

Adobe trades at 14x free cash flow after a 60% decline despite growth, with AI, its business-model transition and creative-software…

ADBE $95B

Speedwell Memos Feb 12

XPEL's Manufacturing Build-Out

XPEL plans to spend $75 million to $150 million on manufacturing, targeting 52-54% gross margins and high-20s EBIT margins by 2028.

XPEL $1B

Hidden Gems Investing Feb 10

Ferrari Exploratory Report

Ferrari sells about 13,000 vehicles annually, generating €7 billion of revenue and 28% operating margins; its shares trade at 32 times…

RACE $72B

Speedwell Memos Feb 10 1 click

Carvana, DriveTime, Hindenburg and Gotham City

Carvana’s DriveTime disclosures do not prove loan-loss shifting, but related-party dealings and gains on loan sales remain central concerns.

CVNA $107B

Brevarthan Research Feb 9

FDA vs. HIMS: Why the Oral “Wegovy Copy” Crackdown Changes the GLP-1 Game

FDA’s crackdown on HIMS’s $49 compounded oral Wegovy copy reshapes GLP-1 competition after Novo Nordisk forecast 2026 sales and profit…

NVO $184BHIMS $4.6B

Modern Value Investing Feb 8

Evolution: 4Q25 Business Update

Evolution's fourth-quarter revenue fell 4% as Asia cyber disruption and European channelization outweighed U.S.

EVVTY $16B

Speedwell Memos Feb 6 1 click

Adobe Inc (ADBE): slowly, then all at once

Adobe’s sub-20x forward GAAP P/E reflects AI disruption fears, with the investment case hinging on whether Digital Media’s creative…

ADBE $95B

Bristlemoon Capital Feb 6

2026: Radio silence, software setbacks and more from me in 2026

RELX and Sage have fallen 46% and 35% as markets label them AI losers, creating potential value opportunities alongside risks of genuine…

GOOGL $3.6T

The Curious Compounder Feb 5

My Biggest Position: A Monopoly Priced for Failure

A former value-investor darling, down 50%, pairs a monopoly with a recurring-revenue razor-and-blade business; debt paydown, margin…

PBI $2.1B

Treasure Hunting Feb 5 3 clicks

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Saturday, November 14, 2026

Adam D. Wyden on X

A Capital on X

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

Adam D. Wyden on X

Adam D. Wyden on X

A Capital on X

A Capital on X

Fajasy on X

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YouTube 4

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Seeking Alpha 87 of 294

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