Saturday, November 14, 2026

Lessons from Jensen’s scandal, and a new in-depth report (NOTW #114)

Nvidia’s alleged Jensen Huang scandal is framed as a lesson in avoiding emotional reliance on a CEO within an investment thesis.

NVDA $3.9T

Best Anchor Stocks 16h ago 2 clicks

17h ago CROX $7.5B

Q3 Earnings Updates

Hidden Rock Capital's Newsletter 2 clicks

21h ago ZTS $34B

Zoetis: ~13x P/E, But Still in the Doghouse

Librarian Capital's Research Library 4 clicks

From X

@Mr_Neutral_Man 7h ago

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

Taking my kids on an Anthony Bourdain style Queens food crawl Dinner at Astoria Seafood - grilled scallops, cuttlefish, gulf shrimp, halibut and fried calamari $186 Baklava at Al Sham -$13 Pastry at Cafe Noisette - $18 Pokemon cards $GME - $20 My kids’ smiles - Priceless

@ACapitalLP 9h ago

A Capital on X

- $OWL private credit apocalypse vs. sustainable franchise

@ACapitalLP 9h ago

A Capital on X

The biggest money in public markets is made when perception diverges dramatically from reality. Think of betting on sports on Kalshi/Polymarket. You’re not making a fortune betting on the #1 team to beat the #2 team. You’re making it betting on the 99-to-1 underdog when you realize the odds are completely wrong… A few situations that come to mind: - PSPs ($CIFR, $WULF, $APLD, $RIOT): Financing fears vs. the value of contracted power and development pipelines. - $TLN: PJM regulatory overhang vs. underlying FCF generation. - $FSLR: Fears of losing 45X credits vs. durable domestic manufacturing economics. What other situations fit this framework?

@StableBread 9h ago

Fajasy on X

In 2011, share-based compensation cost the 75 companies in the S&P 500's tech sector 2.2% of their revenue on average. By 2021, it cost them 4.1%, yet 45 of them excluded it from the adjusted profits they reported. At the end of 2022, Intuit $INTU traded at 28.4x the adjusted EPS analysts expected, versus 25x for Microsoft $MSFT. With share-based compensation included, Intuit traded at 43.9x, a 76% premium to Microsoft instead of 14%.

@gnoble79 9h ago

George Noble on X

$NVDA is Enron 2.0 @GavinSBaker @altcap @jason @chamath @DavidSacks @friedberg , What do you have to say for yourself? Asking for a friend. Your analytical malpractice and blindness to criminal activity is astounding. Shame on you for aiding this fraud. Live in your integrity, instead of pumping up this garbage. Do you have any ethics? Or is it always about the money? History will not be kind to you. Despicable, just despicable. Beware tech bro.

@gnoble79 9h ago

George Noble on X

$NVDA is Enron 2.0 @GavinSBaker @altcap @jason @chamath @DavidSacks @friedberg , What do you have to say for yourself? Asking for a friend. Your analytical malpractice is astounding. Shame on you for aiding this fraud. Live in your integrity, instead of pumping up this garbage. Do you have any ethics? Or is it always about the money? History will not be kind to you. Despicable, just despicable. Beware tech bro.

@StableBread 10h ago

Fajasy on X

If you want to see the most notable changes (new, updated, removed) for any S&P 500 company every quarter, this page I built keeps track of that automatically. My SEC reading tool diff's each filing against the previous one, identifies exactly what changed w/in the filing and tables (footnotes included), and then uses the AI I've trained to flag the most notable changes. Those most notable changes are what's shown on this page. Not every single change (most are not worth highlighting; like legal language or something small). Click on any of them and it'll show you that exactly (image shows example for $FDX). Then you can click on any of the changes to jump to the exact location on the filing itself. Or simply open and read the latest 10-Q or 10-K on SECSift for free (no account required). See it here:

@AsifSuria 11h ago

Asif Suria on X

@RAMCOCAPITAL We haven't seen much in terms of insider buying at $FICO despite the huge drop in recent months. It was Prospect Capital:

Peabody Energy: Delays With Centurion, But The Valuation Is Extremely Compelling

Peabody Energy trades at 2.7 to 2.9 times consensus EBITDA after Centurion delays cut Q4 guidance, with $434 million cash, $297 million…

BTU $2.1B

Bang For The Buck 24h ago 4 clicks

The AI Debate is No Longer Boom vs Bust: Why It’s Time to Go Back to Stock Picking | The Weekly Wrap

AI investing is shifting from boom-or-bust bets to stock picking as data center moratoriums and company results separate winners from…

CRWV $30BCHTR $25B

Steve Eisman 35h ago 6 clicks

The Spy Who Shagged The Market

Nvidia’s leadership scandal puts its AI-market role under scrutiny, with comparisons to AIG’s pre-GFC liquidity influence.

NVDA $3.9TAIG $43B

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” 38h ago 4 clicks

One Thing I Learned: Meta’s Ads Are About to Surpass Google Search

Meta's $63.1 billion ad revenue nearly matched Google Search's $63.4 billion as Meta grew 26% versus Search's 12%.

META $1.6T

Hayden Capital 35h ago 3 clicks

Is Nebius Fucked?

Nebius’ Q3 beat relied on $325 million of one-off partnership fees as it raised 2027 CapEx to $40–45 billion and may need $6–11 billion of…

NBIS $32B

Daniel Romero 36h ago 6 clicks

A No-Spin, No-Snark Take On Nebius Group (NASDAQ: NBIS)

Nebius spent $7.3bn in Q3 capital expenditure against $981m of revenue, including $325m in nonrecurring partnership sales, and guides to…

NBIS $32B

Cestrian Capital Research 38h ago 3 clicks

OXY’s Q3: 5 Reasons It’s Ripe for a Takeover

Occidental Petroleum reached its $10 billion debt target early and targets $6.4 billion to $6.5 billion of 2027 free cash flow at $65 WTI,…

OXY $59B

Open Insights 39h ago 4 clicks

Nvidia’s Future | My Question Marks

Nvidia’s future is framed around alleged China GPU diversion, tighter export controls and supply-chain risk after Jensen Huang’s claimed…

NVDA $3.9T

P Equity Research 39h ago 4 clicks

Qualcomm Custom ASICs?

Qualcomm’s Alphawave SerDes, CPU cores and HBC could support custom AI ASICs as hyperscalers build heterogeneous fleets beyond GPUs.

QCOM $185B

Chipstrat 39h ago 4 clicks

Applied Materials (NASDAQ: AMAT) Stock Rating: We Remain At “Stop" After Q4 FY10/26 Earnings

Applied Materials reported Q4 revenue of $10.4 billion, up 53%, and guided to $11.1 billion for January, but the rating remains Stop after…

AMAT $294B

Cestrian Capital Research 40h ago 3 clicks

Buffett & Munger Unscripted

Buffett & Munger Unscripted organizes decades of Berkshire meetings, tracing their views on governance, executive options and GEICO’s shift…

BRK.A $1.3T

The Rational Walk Mar 14

[P] HSY: Re-Molding Hershey

Hershey’s recent company filings are reassessed as the confectioner reshapes its business.

HSY $35B

Nongaap Investing Mar 13

An Unnoticed Filing Shows This Company is Preparing for a Sale

Phinia revised executive contracts to raise CEO severance to $5.25 million and guarantee full equity vesting in a sale after its spin-off…

PHIN $2.6B

Easy Value Mar 6

Warren Buffett on Berkshire’s Valuation

Berkshire Hathaway’s 2014 letter warned that buying near 2x book value could turn a sound investment into speculation, despite its…

BRK.A $1.3T

The Rational Walk Mar 3

Hayden Capital - Quarterly Letter (2024 Q4)

Hayden Capital returned 19.4% in Q4 and 14.1% annualized since inception, driven by Sea’s Southeast Asian ecommerce position and AppLovin’s…

SE $46BAPP $136B

Hayden Capital Feb 26

Berkshire Hathaway’s 2024 Annual Report

Berkshire Hathaway ended 2024 with $318 billion in adjusted cash and $47.4 billion of operating earnings, driven by insurance underwriting…

BRK.A $1.3T

The Rational Walk Feb 26

[P] TENB: Tenable Governance

Tenable faces CEO succession under difficult circumstances, putting its governance and leadership transition in focus.

TENB $4.3B

Nongaap Investing Feb 24

[P] SPHR: Sphere-Priced Incentives

Sphere Entertainment’s incentives are priced around Sphere.

SPHR $4.6B

Nongaap Investing Feb 23 1 click

Key Takeaways from NVRs Deep Dive

NVR’s lot options and build-to-order homes limit land and inventory risk, driving capital efficiency, 20% to 40% ROE and resilience through…

NVR $15B

Ezra's Notes Feb 11

UGI Corporation (Symbol: UGI). One Hour Analysis: Weak Performance at AmeriGas Division Obscures Strong Performance of Natural Gas Utility and Midstream Assets.

UGI's AmeriGas EBITDA fell from $584 million in 2019 to $320 million in 2024, masking growth at its gas utility and midstream divisions.

UGI $8.1B

Investing 501 Jan 17

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Saturday, November 14, 2026

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

A Capital on X

A Capital on X

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George Noble on X

Fajasy on X

Asif Suria on X

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