Friday, November 13, 2026

The AI Debate is No Longer Boom vs Bust: Why It’s Time to Go Back to Stock Picking | The Weekly Wrap

AI investing is shifting from boom-or-bust bets to stock picking as data center moratoriums and company results separate winners from losers.

CRWV $31BCHTR $24B

Steve Eisman 9h ago 4 clicks

12h ago AIG $43B

The Spy Who Shagged The Market

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” 4 clicks

10h ago NBIS $35B

Is Nebius Fucked?

Daniel Romero 6 clicks

From X

@valuedontlie Oct 13

Colin King on X

Tempted to buy some $CMCSA Jan 2029 calls... Spin coming mid-2027 so these would expire ~18 months later... plenty of time for spinco/remainco to play out a bit

@convequity Oct 13

Convequity on X

Almost every software company ships AI features. Very few do real work on the models behind them. We compared $PLTR, $PANW, $DDOG, $NET and $MNDY on what each one trains itself and what it rents from the labs. From our SaaS Survival Scorecard.

@stockgutter Oct 13

SG on X

let's see how much this reads through to $MRNA. Unfortunately, its yet another confirmation that while mRNA cancer vax is promising the path will be choppy and we have many years if not decades to go.

@stockgutter Oct 13

SG on X

Apparel manufacturing is having a great month $VFC $JRSH $PVH (I own all three)

@aleabitoreddit Oct 13

Serenity on X

Samsung has LTAs covering 70% of memory capacity spanning until 2031. $LITE is completely sold out into 2029 and with customers starting to lock in orders for 2030. There's the actual demand. Then there's short term media narratives that cause people to sell. There's been many scares over the past few years over $NVDA GPUs from Deepseek to macro but in the end fundamentals matter more.

@AsifSuria Oct 13

Asif Suria on X

@RecoveryTrade @compound248 Even with the current lax antitrust environment, I think it would be difficult to get a $MTCH and $BMBL deal past the FTC or DOJ.

@finphysnerd Oct 13

Myles on X

$FIZZ seems like an attractive short. Classic staple juicing price into slowing volumes, meanwhile they're getting attacked by competition. They trade at around 17x earnings for some reason when a lot of better looking staples trade at low teens.

@aleabitoreddit Oct 12

Serenity on X

What oversupply? Even in the lower end ranges that they're focusing on, Chinese pluggable makers like Innolight are still bottlenecked for 70-100mW ranges from ECOC channel checks. Cambridge wouldn't be going out financing suppliers with convertible loans for scarce laser capacity. Suppliers wouldn't be raising ASPs if there was overcapacity. Also not all CW lasers are the same. China is a ways away from from scaling UHP lasers needed for CPO, which is why there's still premiums given to $LITE, $COHR, $SIVE. $LITE lasers are sold out into 2029 and they're starting negotiations into 2030. I don't think anyone genuinely believes that China will flood the laser markets medium term, even both $LITE / $AAOI CEO said there was a difference between comments made and what they're actually seeing. From AOI on China: "of them, they are working maybe 70 mW or very few can really do 100 mW. For 300 mW laser, especially DWDM spec, we don't see that." "Not in the next two, three years, especially the demand is so big. Okay? Even combined AOI, Lumentum, Coherent, Broadcom all together, it's still very tough to meet the customer demand in the next few years" From Lumentum last month: "At least at the moment, we see no impact from any Chinese laser supply." But whenever markets want a correction people just blindly point to China with memory or optics while ignoring what's actually occurring with demand imbalances + LTAs spanning many years and constantly extending.

A No-Spin, No-Snark Take On Nebius Group (NASDAQ: NBIS)

Nebius spent $7.3bn in Q3 capital expenditure against $981m of revenue, including $325m in nonrecurring partnership sales, and guides to…

NBIS $35B

Cestrian Capital Research 12h ago 3 clicks

OXY’s Q3: 5 Reasons It’s Ripe for a Takeover

Occidental Petroleum reached its $10 billion debt target early and targets $6.4 billion to $6.5 billion of 2027 free cash flow at $65 WTI,…

OXY $58B

Open Insights 13h ago 4 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (11/13/2026)

Tripadvisor’s CEO and CFO will depart after weak Q3 results, while Roblox’s CEO discusses AI and Berkshire repurchases $9.6 billion of…

RBLX $37B

TSOH Investment Research 14h ago 3 clicks

Klaviyo: Reduced Risk, Better-Than-Expected Growth And Gross Margin (Rating Upgrade)

Klaviyo's deeper Shopify partnership, international and enterprise growth, and 75% Q3 non-GAAP gross margin support a Buy upgrade and $34…

KVYO $6B

Research and Value 15h ago 3 clicks

Infineon Technologies (OTC: IFNNY) Stock Rating: Initiating Coverage At Accumulate After Q4 FY9/26 Earnings

Infineon’s AI data-center power-chip revenue more than doubled to €1.7bn, supporting fiscal 2027 guidance for about €20bn in revenue and…

IFNNY $75B

Cestrian Capital Research 16h ago 3 clicks

Research & Analysis: CoreWeave (NASDAQ: CRWV)

CoreWeave targets 2 GW of active compute capacity, backed by high GPU rental rates, fast paybacks and a growing backlog despite a…

CRWV $31B

Monte Independent Investment Research 18h ago 5 clicks

Sprouts Farmers Market: I Should Have Waited For The Discount

Sprouts Farmers Market is rated a buy at $50 after a 40% decline, contingent on maintaining store economics as same-store sales and margins…

SFM $4.7B

Louis Liu, Esq 18h ago 3 clicks

Industry Primer: Alternative Asset Managers

Alternative asset managers earn durable fees on committed capital, but 2026 losses followed retail-credit redemptions, lender-fraud…

BN $93B

Latticework by MOI Global 20h ago 3 clicks

Remitly Global: Scaling The Wall Of Worry (Ticker: RELY)

Remitly’s Q3 keeps its remittance growth thesis intact as spending cards, memberships and credit products target $1 billion in annual…

RELY $4.9B

Emerging Moats Research 22h ago 4 clicks

Bloom Energy: Voters Want Data Centers Off Their Bill, Buy

Bloom Energy’s fuel cells offer data centers grid independence as Q3 operating income rose 518% on 138% revenue growth.

BE $60B

Ignacio Planas Gonzalez 26h ago 2 clicks

QXO Inc Earnings Update: Q3 2026

QXO's Q3 sales rose 79% to $4.9 billion after TopBuild and Kodiak acquisitions, while acquisition debt lifted interest expense to $163…

QXO $13B

SixSigmaCapital: Navigating the Financial Markets 27h ago 3 clicks

Cerrado Gold: Research Note

Cerrado Gold will acquire Argentina’s Manantial Espejo mine from Pan American Silver for $20 million and targets a 2027 restart funded by…

PAAS $16B

Atrium Research - Equity Research 30h ago 2 clicks

Cerebras surges, Applied and Cisco are doing fine but stocks are muted

Nvidia CEO Colette Kress signals a pullback from the financial schemes pursued under Jensen Huang.

CBRS $24B

The Technology Letter 30h ago 3 clicks

Trading Post November 12, 2026: Enough is Enough, NVIDIA, SMH vs SOXX, Earnings Quality

NVIDIA faces DOJ antitrust probes alongside inquiries into Megaspeed and Super Micro, after charges over $2.5 billion of GPUs allegedly…

SMCI $18B

Cassandra Unchained 34h ago 4 clicks

Floor & Decor 3Q’26: Déjà Vu, But Priced For A Lost Decade

Floor & Decor cut its 2026 outlook again, with EBITDA guidance falling to $535-550 million and 2027 openings slowing to 10-15 as housing…

FND $5.3BMHK $8.5B

MBI Deep Dives 37h ago 3 clicks

Big Short: Fidelity & Guaranty

F&G’s main insurer held $66.5 billion of assets against $1.38 billion of statutory capital, while private credit, reinsurance dependence…

FG $3.1B

Mispriced Assets 38h ago 5 clicks

AutoNation (AN): The CEO Takes a Driving Test

AutoNation’s new CEO Mike Manley brings Jeep and Fiat Chrysler experience after the dealer chain cycled through three leaders in 30 months.

AN $5.8B

Cannibal Stocks 38h ago 3 clicks

Quanta Services (PWR): Backlog Up 63% While Shares Fall 30%

Quanta Services' backlog rose 63% year over year to $64 billion as shares fell 30%, with AI and power-infrastructure demand driving revenue…

PWR $91B

Monte Independent Investment Research 39h ago 6 clicks

Top Rebound Stocks for Nov’26

Texas Pacific Land's 50% selloff reflects faded data-center expectations, while its Permian royalty business generated $498 million of 2025…

TPL $19B

Rebound Capital 41h ago 4 clicks

Peloton: Beyond The Bike

Peloton’s connected-fitness subscribers fell 9% year over year to 2.475 million, with another high-single-digit holiday decline forecast as…

PTON $2.5B

TSOH Investment Research 43h ago 4 clicks

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Friday, November 13, 2026

Colin King on X

Convequity on X

SG on X

SG on X

Serenity on X

Asif Suria on X

Myles on X

Serenity on X

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