Looking Back at Another Successful Thesis
DoubleU Games raised its all-cash tender offer for DoubleDown Interactive minority holders to $16.25 per ADS from $11.25 after net cash made the earlier bid untenable.
Thursday, November 12, 2026
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From X
Raging Capital Ventures on X
This does not read well $NVDA
George Noble on X
The collapse of $NVDA and the AI ecosystem will be truly epic. @GavinSBaker @chamath @Jason @darioperkins @DarioCpx @JG_Nuke @MichaelMOTTCM @biancoresearch
Raging Capital Ventures on X
Does the crash of Jensen’s “Bank of $NVDA” lead to a nuclear funding winter for underfunded AI neoclouds and startups?
Barbarian Capital on X
Yeti Cuts Year Outlook on Consumer Caution $YETI
Investor Letters
All letters- 103 Advisory Group October 2026 AMZN $2.9TGOOGL $3.6T
- Asset Value Investors Ltd October 2026 6727 $597M9742 $318M
- Minotaur Capital October 2026 META $1.6TAVGO $1.6T
- Bell Asset Management October 2026 CRH $64BEXPGF $34B
- Lakehouse Capital Small Companies Fund October 2026 COGZF $411MFNCHF $530M
- Lakehouse Capital Global Growth Fund October 2026 ADYEY $31BNOW $107B
- Spheria — Global Smaller Companies Fund month ended 31 October 2026 SFM $4.7BSN $32B
- Forager Funds Management October 2026 TUA $576M
Nvidia and the World Without Jensen
Nvidia’s Jensen Huang resignation leaves a flat organization built around his direct control as China GPU restrictions tighten.
This Week in Special Situations: Coursera, eToro, Fluor, Trade Desk
Coursera trades at roughly $150 million enterprise value after Pale Fire Capital took 14.7%, with cash and Treasuries covering 83% of its…
Qure Anniversary Update
UniQure’s Huntington’s disease BLA has a May 1, 2027 priority-review date, with an FDA advisory committee expected in late first quarter.
Floor & Decor 3Q’26: Déjà Vu, But Priced For A Lost Decade
Floor & Decor cut its 2026 outlook again, with EBITDA guidance falling to $535-550 million and 2027 openings slowing to 10-15 as housing…
Big Short: Fidelity & Guaranty
F&G’s main insurer held $66.5 billion of assets against $1.38 billion of statutory capital, while private credit, reinsurance dependence…
AutoNation (AN): The CEO Takes a Driving Test
AutoNation’s new CEO Mike Manley brings Jeep and Fiat Chrysler experience after the dealer chain cycled through three leaders in 30 months.
Quanta Services (PWR): Backlog Up 63% While Shares Fall 30%
Quanta Services' backlog rose 63% year over year to $64 billion as shares fell 30%, with AI and power-infrastructure demand driving revenue…
Jensen Huang Resigns. Who Should Replace Him to Keep Nvidia Successful?
A hypothetical Nvidia succession scenario names Colette Kress interim CEO and favors Arm's Rene Haas or Nvidia's Ian Buck as permanent…
Petrobras: Record Earnings, Shrinking Dividends, And The Lula IV Problem
Petrobras posted record 3Q26 production and earnings, but higher investment needs are shrinking dividends as a possible Lula IV government…
Bernard Zambonin 6 clicks
Top Rebound Stocks for Nov’26
Texas Pacific Land's 50% selloff reflects faded data-center expectations, while its Permian royalty business generated $498 million of 2025…
HGV · long Hilton Grand Vacations
Hilton Grand Vacations faces an inflection point in profitability growth and free cash flow generation.
Netflix: DCF Valuation
Netflix’s updated DCF values shares at $88.50 versus $69, with slower revenue growth offset by higher margins and revised…
Too Big to Succeed
JPMorgan’s $5 trillion balance sheet and $63.7 trillion derivatives book make Jamie Dimon’s eventual successor one of banking’s hardest…
China's Kimi K3 AI Model May Trigger a DeepSeek Moment. Expect a Lot of FUD.
Moonshot’s 2.8 trillion-parameter Kimi K3 is a China AI challenger that requires high-memory Nvidia servers and heavy inference compute.
ASML 2Q'26: Time to Flex Pricing Power
ASML’s 2Q’26 commentary signals a shift from measured pricing toward flexing its chip-equipment pricing power.
Rotork Acquired for a Huge Premium
ABB agreed to buy Rotork for 503 pence a share, a 73% premium, valuing the U.K.
Nothing Beats a Jet2....investment?
Jet2’s £4.5bn A321neo fleet renewal will constrain free cash flow through 2032, despite strong package-holiday growth, cash reserves and…
[scuttleslops] CDNS, SNPS, TREX, WISE, Class I Rails, China
Synopsys and Cadence retain EDA pricing power through entrenched design flows, foundry relationships and high switching costs; AI-driven…
Thinking Notes
AI capex rests on coding-centric benchmarks, cheap-model commoditization and circular financing: OpenAI’s $60 billion annual Oracle…
Groupon Built a Brain
Groupon is building an AI “Brain” to personalize its app for each user, turning its turnaround plan into a product initiative.
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