Expert Call | Lumentum & Marvell Deal
Marvell’s all-stock acquisition of Lumentum targets optical supply, DSP synergies and AI data-center demand, while adding fab integration, customer-retention and regulatory risks.
Thursday, November 12, 2026
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Deep Sail Capital on X
Scale across means linking data centers that are physically apart, so it requires switches and architecture that are extremely reliable and consistent. This becomes more important as training runs get bigger and inference spread out across distributed data centers. $ANET win in this market
Asif Suria on X
Maybe Jensen will mount a comeback the way @vishal_better did with $BETR It would be surprising if the board decides to oust him from $NVDA. What would this mean for the greater AI bubble with all the circular financing and such.
@DeepSailCapital Deep Sail Capital on X
I’m looking to short a lot of shitcos if they run here: $RGTI $IONQ $ACHR $QBTS just look at my Shortlist for names.
Deep Sail Capital on X
$QNT in Dec 1 Lockup. It trades at an insane valuation of 300 P/S as the market share count doesn’t count the economic interests currently not converted by Honeywell and Others.
@DeepSailCapital Deep Sail Capital on X
$SHLS & $ARRY Merger / Short Report Review
Investor Letters
All letters- Asset Value Investors Ltd October 2026 4347 $112M6727 $597M
- Sandon Capital — Activist Fund October 2026 FWD $134MSPSY $111M
- Minotaur Capital October 2026 CROX $7.3BHUT $7.5B
- Bell Asset Management October 2026 CRH $64BEXPGF $34B
- Lakehouse Capital Small Companies Fund October 2026 COGZF $429MFNCHF $530M
- Lakehouse Capital Global Growth Fund October 2026 ADYEY $31BNOW $107B
- Spheria — Global Smaller Companies Fund month ended 31 October 2026 SFM $4.5BSN $32B
- Forager Funds Management October 2026 OFX $71MPLT $95M
WaterBridge Q3 Update: Speed Ramp Powers Record Quarter and Datacenters on the Horizon
WaterBridge grew Q3 revenue 16.9% year over year as Speedway Phase I lifted produced-water volumes, while pursuing large-scale data center…
Lumen Technologies (NASDAQ: LUMN) Stock Rating: Upgrade To Accumulate After Q3 FY12/26 Earnings
Lumen was upgraded to Accumulate after Q3 revenue fell 12% to $2.7 billion, while strategic business revenue rose 10% and reached 55% of…
A Call with Cogent ($CCOI) CEO Dave Schaeffer: Data Centers, the $700M Refi and Life After T-Mobile
Cogent expects to replace roughly $100 million of T-Mobile payments ending in 2028 through cost cuts and high-margin on-net sales, while…
My largest position is now a healthcare stock with 195% upside to my target
An unnamed healthcare company became the portfolio’s largest position at 8%, with a $130 target implying 195% upside despite broken…
I Called the YB CFO. Here’s What I Learned.
Yuanbao’s CFO says China’s new online-insurance rules target abusive sales practices, while Beijing increasingly frames commercial health…
Village Farms Well Positioned For Entry Into Texas Cannabis Markets (Rating Upgrade)
Village Farms posted record quarterly cannabis revenue, driven by international sales and expanded capacity, while positioning for Texas…
Alan Sumler 1 click
[scuttleslops] FICO, PAYC, ABNB, TREX, Anthropic
FICO is licensing mortgage scores directly to resellers, seeking pricing control as VantageScore competition and regulatory scrutiny…
AI is Heading for a Massive Oversupply: Top Hedge Fund Manager’s Prediction | David Orr
David Orr argues AI compute capex will create a major oversupply, pressuring semiconductor trades, software moats and white-collar wages…
Cat-Scratch Fervo
Fervo Energy raised $2 billion in its May IPO, then fell nearly 70% below issue price after a Morpheus short report, despite targeting 1 GW…
Adobe: A Cash-Secured Put Turns AI Fear Into A Lower Entry Price
Adobe's compressed 10x non-GAAP EPS multiple reflects AI monetization and ARR-growth concerns; cash-secured puts at $210 or $200 target a…
Tim Travis 1 click
SILC · long Silicom LTD
Silicom (SILC) is pitched as inexpensive on its existing hardware business, with upside framed as a cheap call option.
Amdocs: The T-Mobile Shock Changes Everything (Rating Downgrade)
Amdocs cut FY27 guidance after a T-Mobile dispute, projecting a 7–11% revenue decline and backlog down nearly 10% to $3.5 billion.
Motti Sapir 2 clicks
The Buyback Shows Up (ESRT Q3 2026)
Empire State Realty Trust repurchased $85.8 million of shares at $4.56 each, using 1359 Broadway sale proceeds to fund buybacks and debt…
Warrior (HCC): Q3 2026 Earnings
Warrior Met Coal’s Blue Creek mine cut costs to about $93 a ton, offsetting a wider discount for High Vol A coking coal as US supply…
GPC Q3 2026: a quick North America Automotive update
GPC’s NAPA commercial sales grew 4% in Q3, trailing AutoZone and O’Reilly as freight, fuel and rent cut North American Automotive margins…
Research Note
Nine Mile Metals is the subject of a research note.
AMSC, Datadog will be fine, SiTime is worth a look
AMSC and Datadog will be fine, while SiTime is worth a closer look.
An Interview With Intuit CEO Sasan Goodarzi About Accounting and AI
Intuit CEO Sasan Goodarzi discusses using AI to turn accountants from customer-acquisition partners into customers, alongside QuickBooks,…
DigitalOcean (DOCN) Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review
DigitalOcean reported Q3 revenue up 40% to $321 million and lifted Q4 guidance above consensus, while GPU and data-center expansion cut…
New Ideas From The Road
Aurelion Research increased healthcare exposure and sees opportunities in banking and defense, alongside research on Alcoa, Nike, ONON and…
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