Expert Call | Lumentum & Marvell Deal
Marvell’s all-stock acquisition of Lumentum targets optical supply, DSP synergies and AI data-center demand, while adding fab integration, customer-retention and regulatory risks.
Thursday, November 12, 2026
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Deep Sail Capital on X
Scale across means linking data centers that are physically apart, so it requires switches and architecture that are extremely reliable and consistent. This becomes more important as training runs get bigger and inference spread out across distributed data centers. $ANET win in this market
@DeepSailCapital Deep Sail Capital on X
I’m looking to short a lot of shitcos if they run here: $RGTI $IONQ $ACHR $QBTS just look at my Shortlist for names.
Trevor Scott on X
@Alpha_Fox11 $COST is trading at 58x FCF and growing at 9%.
Investor Letters
All letters- Minotaur Capital October 2026 CROX $7.3BHUT $7.5B
- Bell Asset Management October 2026 CRH $64BEXPGF $34B
- Lakehouse Capital Small Companies Fund October 2026 PNI $2.7B
- Lakehouse Capital Global Growth Fund October 2026 ADYEY $31BNOW $107B
- Spheria — Global Smaller Companies Fund month ended 31 October 2026 SFM $4.5BSN $32B
- Rathbones October 2026 SBGSF $158BSIEGY $235B
- FCL Capital October 2026 ANPDF $28BBKNG $119B
- Protean Funds October 2026 AAK $4.8BLFABF $13B
My largest position is now a healthcare stock with 195% upside to my target
An unnamed healthcare company became the portfolio’s largest position at 8%, with a $130 target implying 195% upside despite broken…
TransMedics: 2027 Setting Up To Be A Pivotal Year
TransMedics targets multi-organ transplant growth through 2027 trials, OCS Kidney and European expansion after Q3 revenue rose 41% to $203…
Conviction Queue 
[scuttleslops] FICO, PAYC, ABNB, TREX, Anthropic
FICO is licensing mortgage scores directly to resellers, seeking pricing control as VantageScore competition and regulatory scrutiny…
Cat-Scratch Fervo
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Adobe: A Cash-Secured Put Turns AI Fear Into A Lower Entry Price
Adobe's compressed 10x non-GAAP EPS multiple reflects AI monetization and ARR-growth concerns; cash-secured puts at $210 or $200 target a…
Tim Travis 1 click
Sea Ltd Earnings Update: Q3 2026
Sea Ltd reported Q3 2026 revenue of $8.6 billion, up 43.4% year over year, while net income rose 34.0%.
CoreWeave (NASDAQ: CRWV) Stock Rating: Do Nothing After Q3 FY12/26 Earnings
CoreWeave reported 168% revenue growth to $3.66 billion, but $20.4 billion of trailing free cash outflow and $42.7 billion in net debt keep…
Irreplaceable Assets, Explosive Growth, On Sale: LandBridge Q3 2026 Update
LandBridge’s Q3 revenue rose 39%, while newly acquired pore space could lift pro forma EBITDA and cut its 2027 EV/EBITDA multiple from…
Constellation Software 3Q26 Recap: When 2% is Good
Constellation Software’s 3Q26 organic revenue grew 2%, while $609 million of acquisitions and improving acquired-business margins supported…
CoreWeave: This still doesn’t look like a good business
CoreWeave's Q3 report leaves its data-center business looking structurally unattractive despite major changes since the prior earnings…
SAP · long Sap Se
SAP shares are down 45% since February 2025 as AI disruption fears create a long thesis on its risk-reward.
My Last GFL Update - Hopefully
GFL’s take-private structure hinges on BC Partners rolling 60% of its stake to preserve debt portability under the 40% permitted-holder…
Expert Call | Lumentum Optical Chip Capacity, EML/SiPh Outlook & Industry Pricing
Lumentum’s 2027 optical-chip expansion, 200G EML and CW capacity, silicon-photonics roadmap, pricing and 3.2T module prospects face…
Novartis (NYSE: NVS) Stock Rating: Do Nothing After Q3 FY12/26 Earnings
Novartis grew Q3 sales 4% to $14.5bn and raised profit guidance, but pipeline failures triggered a $1.9bn impairment as net debt reached…
AppFolio 3Q26 Business Recap: AI Agents Support Growth
AppFolio grew third-quarter revenue 19% as Realm-X AI agents gained adoption, lifting guidance to $1.122 billion to $1.127 billion.
Boeing (NYSE: BA) Stock Rating: Do Nothing After Q3 FY12/26 Earnings
Boeing posted $24.2 billion in Q3 revenue and $1.5 billion in operating cash flow, but commercial aircraft lost $697 million as production…
TTM Technologies: The Market Already Caught On To Peak Numbers
TTM Technologies’ record Q3 and data-center exposure drove a 27.7% stock drop as investors questioned debt-funded growth, leverage and the…
Nicolas Bolsinger 1 click
Are Neoclouds Dead?
Neoclouds face tighter debt financing as AI infrastructure capex outruns cash flow, leaving cash-burning GPU providers more exposed than…
Reddit: Deep Dive Analysis
Reddit generated $805 million in Q2 2026 revenue, 95% from ads, but slowing Google search referrals expose AI-driven traffic and…
Qualcomm Inc. (QCOM)
Qualcomm supplies chips for on-device AI agents and data center inference, with Meta and AWS agreements expanding its role across both…
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