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Wednesday, November 11, 2026

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@calvinblissett

Calvin Blissett on X

The Value Investor's SpaceX ($SPCX) : A Korean Preferred at 0.3x Book. Indrect exposure to SpaceX=~68% of price, Management Says It Wants the Gap Closed. 4% dividend, 4x conservative earnings. Brand advantage in a commodity indsutry. Fundamental Business does not earn from Space X at all 𝘈𝘭𝘴𝘰 𝘒𝘰𝘳𝘦𝘢𝘯 𝘱𝘳𝘦𝘧𝘦𝘳𝘳𝘦𝘥’𝘴 𝘐 𝘱𝘢𝘴𝘴𝘦𝘥 𝘰𝘯 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘸𝘩𝘺, 𝘧𝘰𝘳 𝘧𝘳𝘦𝘦! 𝘈𝘴 𝘸𝘦𝘭𝘭 𝘢𝘴 𝘸𝘩𝘢𝘵 𝘐'𝘮 𝘸𝘢𝘵𝘤𝘩𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘳𝘦𝘨𝘢𝘳𝘥𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘵𝘩𝘰𝘴𝘦 2.
@aleabitoreddit

Serenity on X

You heard 10x demand for compute > supply from $CRWV today. Hearing from $TSM today on Nikkei Forum: "The demand on our leading node [most advanced] silicon is insatiable" Customers "want to get [their] hands around any compute capability they can have. It's truly an insatiable environment." Q: Whether AI demand was slowing? A: "we did not see any sign of slowdown" Q: How demand compared with TSMC’s ability to supply A: "the demand actually is still far above our capability today to supply." TSMC identified power and substrates as bottlenecks customers were encountering. On the mid-to-high-50s annualized growth estimate for AI accelerator revenue from 2024 to 2029. Wei said "it probably will be higher." Describing things as "insatiable" from a traditionally conservative company... doesn't quite look like any collapse in AI demand.
@aleabitoreddit

Serenity on X

$CRWV ER and read through for $NBIS and other Neoclouds: “We have 10x as much qualified demand as available capacity”. - interest in 2028 capacity already amounts to several times what CoreWeave has available - CoreWeave raised prices by 25% in July, +10% later in Q3, and more to come in Q4 - Ampere and Hopper rental pricing rose 30–50% quarter over quarter (older GPUs) - better financing conditions (higher prepayments, lower interest 7–7.5% for new loans) - positive adjusted net income in the first half of 2028. So we’re seeing higher pricing esp. for older GPUs…better financing mechanics, and extreme demand imbalance where you have 10x demand > supply. Same issues are there for this company in specific with interest rates, but I’d argue other Neoclouds are in a better spot. But it’s wild to witness AI infrastructure names crash while demand keeps growing

Investor Letters

All letters

Airbnb 3Q26: Business Update

Airbnb’s 3Q26 revenue rose 19% to $4.9 billion as nights and seats grew 16%, with app bookings up 29% and Reserve Now Pay Later adding…

ABNB $111B
Speedwell Memos 2 clicks

Research update

S&P Global research will assess Platts, Kensho and ratings growth; Benefit Systems’ 72% YTD rally changed its valuation, while Netflix and…

SPGI $136BICE $96B
Global Outperformers 3 clicks

Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXXV

Quanta Services’ backlog rose 63% year over year to $64 billion as shares fell 30%, while AI power and data-center construction demand…

PWR $77B
Monte Independent Investment Research 2 clicks

No title

SpaceX’s $24 billion Starbase power plant, Microsoft’s Oracle capacity cuts, Riot’s $72 billion AI lease and Quanta’s sell-off frame…

PWR $77BORCL $363B
Monte Independent Investment Research 3 clicks
MA · long

Mastercard

Mastercard trades near $495, about 18% below its $602 52-week high, framing a favorable long risk-reward case.

MA $586B
Value Investors Club 1 click

Keep It Simple

Apple’s 2013 valuation discount and buyback catalyst illustrate how a simple investment thesis can anchor investors through market noise.

AAPL $5T
The Owner's Memo

GameStop Is Extreme Deep Value

GameStop's collectibles mix rose to 45% of sales as gross margin reached 44%, supporting a deep-value case built on cash and store…

GME $13B
The Value Road 10 clicks

A2Gold: Research Note

A2Gold’s first Taylor drill holes returned 20.96 g/t AuEq over 1.5m and 209.4 g/t silver over 10.7m, alongside 141.10 g/t gold at…

KGC $25B
Atrium Research - Equity Research 3 clicks

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