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Wednesday, November 11, 2026

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@ActAccordingly

PAA Research on X

As the headlines and memes arrive fast and furious on this feed regarding the latest revelations on Jensen, one name from yesteryear keeps coming to mind: Hank Greenberg. Is Jensen the Hank Greenberg of this cycle? The circumstances of their departures are quite different, but the implications could have meaningful parallels. $AIG had its tendrils in EVERYTHING at the peak of Hank's powers, just as $NVDA is in every nook and cranny of the AI trade today. Both companies ascended to an endemic status in their respective industries because of their leader's guile, will, aggressive use of capital, and other "financing arrangements". We know what happened with $AIG and the financial system in the post Hank-era, what's in store for $NVDA and all of the AI ecosystem players that rely on Jensen's backstops and other forms of circularity?
@StableBread

Fajasy on X

I checked Root’s $ROOT Q3 against the base and bear cases from my August update, after the car insurer fell 24.1% in two days. $ROOT bought back 290,694 shares in Q3 at an average of $53.15/share ($15.5M), leaving $38.8M on the authorization, ~6% of today’s market cap. At $43.37/share, the market cap is $659M on 15.2M shares, or 2.0x the $327.0M book value as of September 30. Net of the $261.6M held outside the insurance subsidiaries, you’re paying $397M for the insurance operations, or 3.9x nine-month net income annualized (Q4 is the seasonally weak quarter). In August, my base case was $55-80/share (2.5-3.5x book on an 18-22% ROE), and my bear case $35-45 (1.5-2.0x book, with ROE compressing to 12-15%). Q3’s annualized ROE was ~18%, the bottom of the base case, while the stock now trades at the top of the bear case’s multiple.

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Cat-Scratch Fervo

Fervo Energy raised $2 billion in its May IPO, then fell nearly 70% below issue price after a Morpheus short report, despite targeting 1 GW…

FRVO $2.3B
Doomberg 4 clicks
QTWO · long

Q2 Holdings INC (qtwo)

Q2 Holdings sells banking software to more than 1,200 financial institutions and 27.8 million registered users, after selling off with…

QTWO $4.7B
Value Investors Club

On Holdings: Maintaining Pace

On Holdings expects roughly CHF 3.5 billion in FY26 revenue as running shoes drive growth, while APAC exceeds 20% of sales and apparel…

ONON $11B
TSOH Investment Research

The Black Patch Tobacco Wars

The Black Patch Tobacco Wars show how American Tobacco’s buying power drove Kentucky and Tennessee farmers to organize against below-cost…

BTI $132B
Invariant

Clear the DEC?

Diversified Energy (DEC) has paid $21.84 per share in dividends since June 2017 and trades at $13.35 amid a bullish U.S.

DEC $900M
The Oak Bloke 3 clicks

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