Wednesday, November 11, 2026

Expert Call | Lumentum & Marvell Deal

Marvell’s all-stock acquisition of Lumentum targets optical supply, DSP synergies and AI data-center demand, while adding fab integration, customer-retention and regulatory risks.

MRVL $152BLITE $48B

P Equity Research 4h ago 2 clicks

5h ago LSAK $309M

Quick note on LSAK and GRPN

Mispriced Assets 2 clicks

6h ago DASH $79B

DoorDash’s FBA Moment

MBI Deep Dives 1 click

From X

@StableBread 6m ago

Fajasy on X

To tell if a stock is overvalued, Buffett compares a share's next 10 years of earnings with what its price would earn in bonds, a test Mary Buffett describes in The New Buffettology. In 1998, a share of Coca-Cola $KO at $88 would earn $24.88 over 10 years. The same $88 in 6% corporate bonds would earn $52.80, more than twice as much.

@StableBread 1h ago

Fajasy on X

I checked Root’s $ROOT Q3 against the base and bear cases from my August update, after the car insurer fell 24.1% in two days. $ROOT bought back 290,694 shares in Q3 at an average of $53.15/share ($15.5M), leaving $38.8M on the authorization, ~6% of today’s market cap. At $43.37/share, the market cap is $659M on 15.2M shares, or 2.0x the $327.0M book value as of September 30. Net of the $261.6M held outside the insurance subsidiaries, you’re paying $397M for the insurance operations, or 3.9x nine-month net income annualized (Q4 is the seasonally weak quarter). In August, my base case was $55-80/share (2.5-3.5x book on an 18-22% ROE), and my bear case $35-45 (1.5-2.0x book, with ROE compressing to 12-15%). Q3’s annualized ROE was ~18%, the bottom of the base case, while the stock now trades at the top of the bear case’s multiple.

@calvinblissett 1h ago

Calvin Blissett on X

Munger misses things, Malone is worth learning from and anyone would’ve been lucky to hitch their wagon along to the TCI ride. He also missed $CACC. He did call Valeant though using the same framework. He’s been much more right than wrong which is what matters

@stockgutter 1h ago

SG on X

record pawn loans...an early sign of financial distress for lower-income Americans? $EZPW

@blondesnmoney 2h ago

Cluseau Investments on X

$MRX has some form of financial bipolar disorder. Up or down $4 regularly with zero news

@gnoble79 2h ago

George Noble on X

I am also seriously thinking about increasing my $CRWV position here. One slight difference. You are getting destroyed as a long while I am short from $107!

@stockgutter 2h ago

SG on X

if you have any interest in $EVC (I'm long), Dylan is a must follow 👇

@stockgutter 2h ago

SG on X

Apparel is very strong, and I am involved on the long side in a lot of names like Jerash, PVH, VF Corp. But I'm fading this rise in recent IPO Reformation $REF. It seems faddish and trades more richly than peers. Starting a short call position in May27.

WaterBridge Q3 Update: Speed Ramp Powers Record Quarter and Datacenters on the Horizon

WaterBridge grew Q3 revenue 16.9% year over year as Speedway Phase I lifted produced-water volumes, while pursuing large-scale data center…

WBI $1.4B

310 Value’s Newsletter 6h ago 2 clicks

Lumen Technologies (NASDAQ: LUMN) Stock Rating: Upgrade To Accumulate After Q3 FY12/26 Earnings

Lumen was upgraded to Accumulate after Q3 revenue fell 12% to $2.7 billion, while strategic business revenue rose 10% and reached 55% of…

LUMN $4.5B

Cestrian Capital Research 7h ago 1 click

My largest position is now a healthcare stock with 195% upside to my target

An unnamed healthcare company became the portfolio’s largest position at 8%, with a $130 target implying 195% upside despite broken…

CVS $113B

Guardian Research 7h ago 3 clicks

I Called the YB CFO. Here’s What I Learned.

Yuanbao’s CFO says China’s new online-insurance rules target abusive sales practices, while Beijing increasingly frames commercial health…

YB $476M

Calvin Blissett 9h ago 2 clicks

Village Farms Well Positioned For Entry Into Texas Cannabis Markets (Rating Upgrade)

Village Farms posted record quarterly cannabis revenue, driven by international sales and expanded capacity, while positioning for Texas…

VFF $358M

Alan Sumler 10h ago 1 click

[scuttleslops] FICO, PAYC, ABNB, TREX, Anthropic

FICO is licensing mortgage scores directly to resellers, seeking pricing control as VantageScore competition and regulatory scrutiny…

FICO $15BPAYC $11B

scuttleblurb 10h ago 3 clicks

Cat-Scratch Fervo

Fervo Energy raised $2 billion in its May IPO, then fell nearly 70% below issue price after a Morpheus short report, despite targeting 1 GW…

FRVO $2.3B

Doomberg 13h ago 4 clicks

Adobe: A Cash-Secured Put Turns AI Fear Into A Lower Entry Price

Adobe's compressed 10x non-GAAP EPS multiple reflects AI monetization and ARR-growth concerns; cash-secured puts at $210 or $200 target a…

ADBE $93B

Tim Travis 15h ago 1 click

Another High-Premium, Multi-Billion-Dollar Canadian Oil Deal

Strathcona Resources will acquire Greenfire Resources for C$2.8 billion including debt, valuing the Canadian heavy-oil producer at up to a…

GFR $1.4B

Bison Insights 33h ago 2 clicks

Super Micro Computer: The Story Is Getting Better And Better (Rating Upgrade)

SMCI $18B

Louis Gerard 19h ago 1 click

LZ · long

Legalzoom.com INC

LegalZoom trades near all-time lows as AI adoption is positioned to accelerate growth.

LZ $999M

Value Investors Club Jun 9

Watches of Switzerland's Investor Day (WOSG), Earnings at Judges Scientific (JDG) and Douglas Dynamics (PLOW)

Watches of Switzerland says Roberto Coin, e-commerce and pre-owned watches generate 24% of revenue, as private equity interest follows its…

PLOW $850M

Hidden Gems Investing Aug 4

“The tip of the iceberg.”

Stevanato's 8% organic Q2 growth and 21% adjusted EBITDA growth came with a modest FY 2026 guidance lift after the Balda divestiture.

STVN $3.6B

Best Anchor Stocks Aug 4

[scuttleslops] BLDR, RYAN, APG, GFL, FND

Builders FirstSource reported Q2 2026 sales down 9% to $3.9 billion as weak housing demand and aggressive competitor pricing cut EBITDA…

BLDR $6.7B

scuttleblurb Aug 3 8 clicks

BAT: Two Steps Forward, Many Steps Back

British American Tobacco’s H1 growth came largely from U.S. modern oral products and inventory benefits, while weakening regulation, rising…

BTI $132B

Librarian Capital's Research Library Aug 3

WD #352: Situational Awareness, Warsh, ICE/MKTX, Overvalued EM Currencies

ICE's purchase of MarketAxess spotlights takeout risk for value stocks, while the Situational Awareness blow-up, Kevin Warsh's FOMC presser…

ICE $96BMKTX $5.8B

Ian’s Insider Corner Aug 2

Earnings Week in the Graveyard

Empire State Realty Trust cut Observatory NOI guidance to $55 million from $87 to $92 million after Q2 NOI fell roughly 50%, reducing Core…

ESRT $1.3B

Orphan REITs Aug 2

Floor & Decor 2Q'26: Tentative Green Shoots

Floor & Decor held 2026 guidance after a 2Q beat, with comps improving through June; tariff refunds lifted margins and may fund pricing…

FND $5.6B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 2 4 clicks

Interview with Roderick van Zuylen

Roderick van Zuylen discusses Night Watch’s value strategy, catalyst-driven screening and positions in Asian equities including Dream…

FUTU $14B

Asian Century Stocks Aug 2

British American Tobacco: Narrowed

British American Tobacco targets 2 to 2.5x leverage by year-end as U.S. Vuse sales grow double digits and modern oral volumes rise 57.5% in…

BTI $132B

Invariant Aug 2

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Wednesday, November 11, 2026

Fajasy on X

Fajasy on X

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SG on X

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