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Wednesday, November 11, 2026

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@BrokenMoats 1 click

Broken Moats on X

$PEGA numbers begin the software back to earth story....expect sick to be down significantly tomorrow (it never trades true until the open). The backlog is down QoQ and we are talking 6% ACV now versus guide for 15% at the start of the year. Without a total break from recent trends they will need an absolute monstrous Q4 (comping against a very strong Q4 number yoy coming up) otherwise the backlog number will drop out and that will move from an inflated 15% yoy (from the Q4 25') probably to low single digits or worse..... Big portions of software is in trouble, this is the very beginning
@AsifSuria

Asif Suria on X

On the public company side, I have been looking into the boring company Mueller Water Products $MWA that makes things like fire hydrants. Yes, there is a data center angle but that part of their business is currently small. It showed up on my radar because of insider buying by an independent board member though a 10b5-1 plan. This director previously spent nearly 24 years at Morgan Stanley rising up to the position of Managing Director and Co-Head of Mergers & Acquisitions (Americas). Has an MBA from @UChicago and currently teaches at University of Virginia.

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Cat-Scratch Fervo

Fervo Energy raised $2 billion in its May IPO, then fell nearly 70% below issue price after a Morpheus short report, despite targeting 1 GW…

FRVO $2.3B
Doomberg 4 clicks

Sea Ltd Earnings Update: Q3 2026

Sea Ltd reported Q3 2026 revenue of $8.6 billion, up 43.4% year over year, while net income rose 34.0%.

SE $48B
SixSigmaCapital: Navigating the Financial Markets 4 clicks
OSW · short

One Spa World

OneSpaWorld (OSW) faces about 37% downside as its valuation requires unattainable growth in average revenue per customer after major-market…

OSW $3.1B
Value Investors Club

Airbnb 3Q26: Business Update

Airbnb’s 3Q26 revenue rose 19% to $4.9 billion as nights and seats grew 16%, with app bookings up 29% and Reserve Now Pay Later adding…

ABNB $111B
Speedwell Memos 2 clicks

Research update

S&P Global research will assess Platts, Kensho and ratings growth; Benefit Systems’ 72% YTD rally changed its valuation, while Netflix and…

SPGI $136BICE $96B
Global Outperformers 3 clicks

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