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Saturday, November 7, 2026

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@Mr_Neutral_Man 2 clicks

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

This is the main reason why we own 3 to 4 times as much of $CPT vs $MAA and $NXRT Blended leases up 1.0% in Q3 with new lease down 2% YOY vs new leases down 6% for MAA and down 4.5% for NXRT The renewal - new lease is too high for MAA for my liking. Much healthier for Camden Same store NOI -0.2% in Q3 vs -1.8% for MAA and -8.2% for NXRT (large chunky expenses that is not run rate for NXRT) @jayparsons
@calvinblissett 1 click

Calvin Blissett on X

That’s a good question Drew and I guess if it is certain there will be a payoff eventually with a good ROC adjusting for time value of money then no. I would lean to $MELI due to logistics being pretty certain in getting that payment, as to the TVM of money part of that equation I have no idea. I remember Wall Street got really mad at $COST due to basically this and that’s when Nomad invested. Maybe I am being too harsh. You’d do it better than me but I’ll do it if you won’t, analyzing $MELI from a Sleep Zakaria scale economies shared framework that they used on GEICO, $COST and $AMZN. I cherish your thoughts and insights so I would love those
@calvinblissett 1 click

Calvin Blissett on X

Honestly my English and prose is sometimes poor, leading to me missing things that are frankly really important. $ARKO was a good example see comments by NA. I read all the reports and calls on $TLK for weeks I started looking 10/20 during the initial crash. I dictated key points and audited it thoroughly for days, editing it how I saw fit and removing things I didn’t like. I can find messages with time stamps to prove this. Would love your thoughts on this in terms of using AI as someone who isn’t a Warren Buffett level writer to help with the English and prose/structuring style of things. All quotes and case studies are from me. I would say it’s a good writeup I wonder if you agree?
@StableBread 1 click

Fajasy on X

Two things I’m watching could change my read on the U.S. economy: → Fed’s December 8-9 meeting and core PCE: Another 0.25% hike with core PCE at 3.1%, or core PCE below 2.9% with the fed funds rate unchanged, pushes the real rate (the Fed’s policy rate minus core PCE inflation) above 1%, which Growth × Policy calls late cycle. That favors commodities, value stocks, emerging markets and banks over long-term Treasuries and growth stocks. Futures put the odds of a December hike at ~75%, and October’s core PCE comes out November 25. → Bank-held AI debt: In September, the Financial Times reported that ~$18B of bank loans for Project Jupiter, a data center $ORCL is leasing in New Mexico to serve OpenAI, were being quoted at 89-91 cents on the dollar, and the banks were stuck holding more of the debt than they had planned. At its October 28 Investor Day, $ORCL said its capex peaks in FY2027-2028 and steps down in FY2029 (years ending in May), when it expects at least $30B of free cash flow.

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ARM Q2 FY3/27 Earnings Review

Arm reported Q2 revenue of $1.443 billion, up 27%, as licensing rose 50% while royalties grew 8%; Q3 guidance calls for $1.54 billion.

ARM $181B
Cestrian Capital Research

AppLovin 3Q26: Business Update

AppLovin's 3Q26 revenue rose 55% year over year and margins reached 78.2%, driven by AXON model gains, while publisher bidding pressure…

APP $118B
Speedwell Memos 2 clicks

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