Thursday, November 5, 2026

Uber: The Robotaxi Discount Has Truly Gone Too Far (Earnings Review)

UBER $147B

SA Luca Socci Nov 5 4 clicks

The hyperscalers (almost) always win

Amazon’s AWS grew 39.3% with roughly 39% margins, while retail unit growth and lower cost to serve expand its delivery network’s reach.

Intel: The CPU Comeback, Discounted

Intel's Q3 2026 results were hit by memory costs and an Israel shutdown, but enterprise AI inference could lift CPU demand as server…

Telkom Indonesia (TLKM/TLK): 9x P/E, 11% dividend, separable assets ≈80–95% of market cap, stub at ~2x EBITDA. Industry went from 11 operators to 3, a new rule kills the price war, and MSCI is forcing the sellers.

Telkom Indonesia trades at 9x earnings and an 11% yield as MSCI-driven selling obscures telecom consolidation, price increases and…

Thursday Tailwinds #13: Nov 5, 2026

Florida marinas are 92% full as boat counts rise and permits constrain new supply, creating pricing power for existing operators such as…

Delta Air Lines Is Worth Buying Despite Near-Term Pressure

Delta Air Lines' premium, loyalty and ancillary businesses generate 61% of revenue as cash flow supports debt reduction despite fuel and…

DAL $57B

SA Motti Sapir Nov 5

Microsoft: A “Blue Chip” Again, New All-Time High >$550

Microsoft rose 6.7% to a $555.80 record after Q1 FY27, with profitable growth and free cash flow reinforcing investor confidence in its AI…

Moderna Earnings Preview: The Melanoma Breakthrough Is Real, But $221 Is Way Too Much

MRNA $103B

SA Lee Bailey Nov 5 1 click

GPC Q3 2026: a quick North America Automotive update

GPC’s NAPA commercial sales grew 4% in Q3, trailing AutoZone and O’Reilly as freight, fuel and rent cut North American Automotive margins…

AMSC, Datadog will be fine, SiTime is worth a look

AMSC and Datadog will be fine, while SiTime is worth a closer look.

Under The Hood, ResMed ($RMD)

ResMed’s 30 million connected sleep-apnea patients, recurring masks and software support a data-driven healthcare platform; 11.9% annual…

Small FPGAs, Big Problems: The Looming Identity Crisis for Lattice ($LSCC)

Lattice Semiconductor faces an identity crisis in small FPGAs, with a short thesis on $LSCC.

Performance & Portfolio Update: Q1 2026

Portfolio update reports a 20.5% Q1 loss, led by WeightWatchers’ 61% decline, while adding Bumble, Oscar and Shift4.

Why Nike ($NKE) Won't Make It Into the Bearhold Universe

Nike is excluded from Bearhold’s universe because cultural relevance and consumer taste drive demand, leaving its revenue model less…

Future-proofing A Portfolio (An Excerpt From Our Recent Letter)

Eagle Point favors McKesson, AutoZone and other physical-network businesses with durable demand, scale moats and lower disruption risk than…

Under the Hood, Copart ($CPRT)

Copart’s salvage-auction network pairs scarce storage land with global online bidding, supporting insurer returns and a durable moat…

It Pays to be a Winner: Our ML model and social research layer just went 14-for-16 on Nike’s Q3 call. (Kalshi, Mentions)

First Strike Research’s ML and social-sentiment system correctly called 14 of 16 Nike Q3 Kalshi contracts, reporting 208¢ net P&L.

Hasbro Isn't a Toy Company Anymore. That's the Problem.

Hasbro’s shift beyond toys is framed as the core problem for the company.

Notes On Next PLC FY26 Results

Next reported FY26 EPS growth of 17% and free-cash-flow growth of 11%, with international expansion, third-party commissions and online…

Nike Earnings Mentions Contracts: Our Analysis, and Fair Value Pricing Model.

First Strike prices Nike’s Q3 “Express Lane” mention at 20-25¢ versus Kalshi’s 66¢, citing the retired Mark Parker-era supply-chain program…