Thursday, November 5, 2026

Trading Post November 5, 2026

MercadoLibre’s logistics expansion cut margins by 60 basis points, while Mercado Pago grew credit 62% with 7% NPLs.

Uber: The Robotaxi Discount Has Truly Gone Too Far (Earnings Review)

UBER $147B

SA Luca Socci Nov 5 4 clicks

Intel: The CPU Comeback, Discounted

Intel's Q3 2026 results were hit by memory costs and an Israel shutdown, but enterprise AI inference could lift CPU demand as server…

Problems at Twist Bioscience (TWST)

Twist Bioscience’s $200 rebound followed an Anthropic-linked short squeeze, yet its DNA and protein services face broad competition while…

VSH Earnings Review

Vishay reported record Q3 revenue of $979 million, up 24%, and guided Q4 to about $990 million as rising backlog and margins contrast with…

This Week in Special Situations: Lear, AutoNation, NexPoint, AudioCodes, Xponential Fitness

AutoNation, Lear, NexPoint, AudioCodes and Xponential Fitness lead a 52-situation screen spanning buybacks, insider purchases, M&A and…

Telkom Indonesia (TLKM/TLK): 9x P/E, 11% dividend, separable assets ≈80–95% of market cap, stub at ~2x EBITDA. Industry went from 11 operators to 3, a new rule kills the price war, and MSCI is forcing the sellers.

Telkom Indonesia trades at 9x earnings and an 11% yield as MSCI-driven selling obscures telecom consolidation, price increases and…

Thursday Tailwinds #13: Nov 5, 2026

Florida marinas are 92% full as boat counts rise and permits constrain new supply, creating pricing power for existing operators such as…

Delta Air Lines Is Worth Buying Despite Near-Term Pressure

Delta Air Lines' premium, loyalty and ancillary businesses generate 61% of revenue as cash flow supports debt reduction despite fuel and…

DAL $57B

SA Motti Sapir Nov 5

Warrior (HCC): Q3 2026 Earnings

Warrior Met Coal’s Blue Creek mine cut costs to about $93 a ton, offsetting a wider discount for High Vol A coking coal as US supply…

AAON · long

Aaon INC (aaon)

AAON is presented as a long investment idea, revisiting a company written up as a short nearly a decade ago.

Evolution: 4Q25 Business Update

Evolution's fourth-quarter revenue fell 4% as Asia cyber disruption and European channelization outweighed U.S.

Mispriced Kalshi Contract: Snapchat Family Center

Kalshi’s 87% odds of “Family Center” on Snap’s earnings call far exceed its 2.9% historical mention rate and a 15–20% street-adjusted…

CrowdStrike: A Glass DeathStar during SaaSmageddon | Short Thesis

CrowdStrike faces a renewal cliff after its July 2024 outage, with Microsoft Defender bundling, litigation, SEC and DOJ scrutiny, and a…

Portfolio Update January 2026

DInvests sold Thermo Fisher, Dollar General, Dollar Tree and Edwards Lifesciences, then bought Pool Corp and Kraft Heinz while adding to…

How We Made 233% Trading a Starbucks Condiment Bar

A Kalshi contract on whether Starbucks would mention “condiment bar” on its earnings call rose from 30 cents to $1 after the term went…

Ryanair’s €256M Fine May Be Tip of The Iceberg

Ryanair’s €256 million Italian antitrust fine targets its OTA-blocking system, while internal documents raise questions about Michael…

LVMH: 4Q25 Business Recap

LVMH’s 2025 revenue fell 5% and operating profit 9% amid forex and luxury weakness, while Fashion & Leather Goods improved in the second…

Market Leader in a Growing Industry Trading at 6x EBIT

Stride operates 89 virtual and blended public K-12 schools in 31 states and trades at 6x EBIT after an operational setback.

Lincoln Post: NFLX and Theaters, FCNCA Earnings

Netflix’s proposed Warner Bros. acquisition could preserve or expand theatrical releases, supporting cinema chains such as Cinemark and…