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Wednesday, November 4, 2026

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The Buyback Shows Up (ESRT Q3 2026)

Empire State Realty Trust repurchased $85.8 million of shares at $4.56 each, using 1359 Broadway sale proceeds to fund buybacks and debt reduction.

From X

@david_katunaric 1 click

Mikro Kap David on X

Yesterday I dug deeper into an 🇦🇺 special situation that reminds me of when I first found $ICCC back in September 2025. In both cases, a high-quality core business is taking share in an oligopolistic niche with a superior product, yet its underlying economics are obscured by a legacy development program that has consumed decades of spending and exhausted nearly everyone who has ever owned the stock. As was the case with ImmuCell, I don’t think this setup requires regulatory approval to work. FAA approval would create significant upside, while abandonment would remove the cost burden, allowing management to focus entirely on the core business and letting its underlying economics shine through. There is also a less “dramatic” but plausible third path: the legacy program’s drag on profitability continues to diminish while the attractive aerospace business grows around it. Both situations also brought experienced industry executives into senior leadership at a potentially important turning point. And, so far, I believe the new management team is making the right moves. There are several ways this could play out, but I believe the favorable outcomes are more likely, while the unfavorable ones shouldn’t carry much downside at the current valuation. I wrote up this company now so that, as new information emerges, you’ll know what matters, what doesn’t, and how each development changes the risk-reward. That should put you in a position to act while others are still parsing headlines and catching up. Link in the comment below.

New Ideas From The Road

Aurelion Research increased healthcare exposure and sees opportunities in banking and defense, alongside research on Alcoa, Nike, ONON and…

Oracle: The Party Is Almost Over

Oracle’s CDS spreads exceed 320 basis points as debt approaches $135 billion and fiscal 2027 capex targets $95 billion, amid heavy reliance…

Site Centers (NYSE:SITC)

Site Centers' $3 per-share return-of-capital distribution and December delisting leave a discounted liquidation stub, with two properties…

Coupang: 3Q26 Business Recap

Coupang’s product-commerce growth rose 9% as data-leak effects fade, while management expects margins to return to pre-incident levels by…

update on Gartner

Gartner’s growth has stalled after federal contract losses and cautious commercial spending, raising questions about its competitive…

Recycle Bin

Used aircraft engines can be repurposed as gas turbines, easing data center power constraints while tightening aviation supply.

AMRZ · long

Amrize

Amrize (AMRZ) produces aggregates, cement and roofing materials across the US and Canada.

AMD Earnings Review

AMD reported $13.4 billion in Q3 revenue, with Data Center sales up 97% to $8.5 billion, and guided Q4 revenue to $17 billion.

TWLO Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

Twilio's Q3 revenue rose 20% to $1.56 billion, but Q4 organic growth guidance fell to 11% to 12% and RPO declined 28%.

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