Warrior (HCC): Q3 2026 Earnings
Warrior Met Coal’s Blue Creek mine cut costs to about $93 a ton, offsetting a wider discount for High Vol A coking coal as US supply expands.
Wednesday, November 4, 2026
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Chris Camillo on X
@PostmodernRogue @fkon1u @DumbMoneyTV what exactly do you think is priced in? >37M launch-quarter units? >45M? >50M? what ARPU? “priced in” isn’t an argument without numbers. There is upside and downside. Been crushing $TTWO GTA trades since ’99. Always happy to compare notes.
RiverRoadPartners on X
Why does he think hedge fund analysts “missed” $NVDA? Every fund I know has been long for some part of the last 5+ years. Did he think it became the most valuable stock in the world from just him (the only hedge fund to own it) and mutual funds? Bull market genius. https://t.co/mS6HJQX61L
A Capital on X
This was 11 days ago… $AXTI https://t.co/6bZEW5HJUQ
SG on X
I know one company that won't be sad August is coming to an end $BURL https://t.co/uOtSFz7nCf
David Orr on X
Market already confirming this idea. $GOOG $AMZN $MSFT up since that beat. "Neoclouds" should be big winners too. I prefer to bet on the proven big, scale advantaged operators. But if the neoclouds are much cheaper per unit of compute, they could be the better risk adjusted return.
David Orr on X
$SOXX $NVDA down since the big beat... sure looks like a news failure event. I think it'll be electricity bottlenecks that kill the AI hardware bubble. The hyperscalers controlling that bottleneck should be the biggest winner.
Chris Camillo on X
@Kcon2026 didn’t miss that. i was long calls going into $NVDA earnings. my comment was about other investors making outsized bets long or short based mostly on vibes.
Investor Letters
All letters- Protean Funds October 2026 AAK $4.6BLFABF $13B
- YCG Investments Q3 2026 AMZN $2.9TAON $73B
- Westfield Capital Management Third Quarter 2026 ADPT $4.3BBROS $6.1B
- TimesSquare Capital Management 3Q 2026 CRDO $22BCRS $14B
- Spyglass Capital Management Third Quarter 2026 AAON $5.7BAPP $118B
- Stewart Asset Management Third Quarter 2026 AMZN $2.9TGOOGL $3.5T
- Seafarer Capital Partners third quarter 2026 006400 $32B028260 $33B
- ROCKLINC Investment Partners Q3 2026 RPRX $39BOR $6.4B
New Ideas From The Road
Aurelion Research increased healthcare exposure and sees opportunities in banking and defense, alongside research on Alcoa, Nike, ONON and…
L3Harris (LHX) Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review
L3Harris booked $19.3 billion of Q3 orders, lifting backlog to $53.2 billion, raised FY26 guidance and cut its 2028 free-cash-flow target…
Oracle: The Party Is Almost Over
Oracle’s CDS spreads exceed 320 basis points as debt approaches $135 billion and fiscal 2027 capex targets $95 billion, amid heavy reliance…
David Desjardins 1 click
Site Centers (NYSE:SITC)
Site Centers' $3 per-share return-of-capital distribution and December delisting leave a discounted liquidation stub, with two properties…
Coupang: 3Q26 Business Recap
Coupang’s product-commerce growth rose 9% as data-leak effects fade, while management expects margins to return to pre-incident levels by…
Hedge Fund Manager David Orr Shares His Approach to Investing & Risk Management
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3Q26 Recap: Margin at Trough, Recovery In-sight
Coupang expects Product Commerce margins to return to pre-data incident levels by mid-2027 as customer spending recovers and Taiwan…
Novo Nordisk (NVO) Q3 FY 12/26 Earnings Review
Novo Nordisk beat Q3 consensus as Wegovy pill sales reached DKK 5.4bn, raised 2026 guidance again and reported DKK 79.2bn revenue.
Shopify 3Q’26: Closing In on Half of Amazon
Shopify's 3Q 2026 GMV grew 30% FX-neutral, reaching 46% of Amazon retail GMV after merchants captured nearly half of incremental U.S.
update on Gartner
Gartner’s growth has stalled after federal contract losses and cautious commercial spending, raising questions about its competitive…
Recycle Bin
Used aircraft engines can be repurposed as gas turbines, easing data center power constraints while tightening aviation supply.
Intel: Why Didn’t We See This Coming?
Intel’s 30% stock collapse followed guidance for a more than 20% sequential Q4 client revenue decline, server CPU packaging constraints and…
AMRZ · long Amrize
Amrize (AMRZ) produces aggregates, cement and roofing materials across the US and Canada.
Builders FirstSource: Built To Last Until Housing Turns
Builders FirstSource's buybacks halved its share count since 2021, while 4.1x leverage, fixed-rate debt and post-2030 maturities support it…
Tim Travis 
AMD Earnings Review
AMD reported $13.4 billion in Q3 revenue, with Data Center sales up 97% to $8.5 billion, and guided Q4 revenue to $17 billion.
TWLO Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review
Twilio's Q3 revenue rose 20% to $1.56 billion, but Q4 organic growth guidance fell to 11% to 12% and RPO declined 28%.
Merck and Co. (MRK) Q3 FY 12/26 Earnings Review
Merck reported Q3 revenue of $18.1 billion, up 5%, and raised 2026 guidance as Keytruda sales reached $8.6 billion ahead of its 2028 patent…
Matt Murphy and Michael Hurlston Fireside Chat: Irrational Recap
Marvell and Lumentum’s merger targets uVCSEL scale-in optics, combining Marvell’s DSP and analog IP with Lumentum’s laser manufacturing for…
Stevanato down 30%. Yikes.
Stevanato fell 30% after forecasting low-single-digit 2027 growth as lower Nexa syringe volumes from a GLP-1 customer offset solid Q3…
Marvell And Lumentum Merger Doesn't Make Any Sense To Me
Marvell’s all-stock Lumentum deal exposes LITE holders to MRVL volatility while paying peak-cycle AI multiples, with US and China antitrust…
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