Tuesday, November 3, 2026

TWLO Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

Twilio's Q3 revenue rose 20% to $1.56 billion, but Q4 organic growth guidance fell to 11% to 12% and RPO declined 28%.

TWLO $33B

Cestrian Capital Research Nov 3 3 clicks

Nov 3 MRK $369B

Merck and Co. (MRK) Q3 FY 12/26 Earnings Review

Cestrian Capital Research 2 clicks

Nov 3 INCY $24B

Incyte (INCY) Q3 FY 12/26 Earnings Review

Cestrian Capital Research 2 clicks

From X

@aleabitoreddit 46h ago 1 click

Serenity on X

The rhetoric on X and from Elon leans overwhelmingly apocalyptic on Democrats winning. It's a mini bubble here, but I think people forget AI is bipartisan national security priority, and that $NVDA's historic rally + AI buildout acceleration happened under the Biden admin. Anyone can extrapolate a politician's negative view on AI to doompost indexes or that " $CRWV is going to go down". But in all reality, even with a Democratic governor, we'll likely just see some headwinds to individual developers, and incentives like "clean-energy tax credits" moving to other areas in AI like solar manufacturing. Rather than any market-wide doomsday scenario that the opposing party likes to portray. Even Bitcoin/Ethereum performed better under the negatively perceived regulation of Gary Gensler. Just like any major event, everyone looks at the worst case scenario like helium disruption shutting down Samsung, $TSM, and the memory trade... Then markets move on few weeks later.

@finphysnerd Nov 3

Myles on X

I reckon a portfolio of short $WMT, $KO (safety trade), $TSLA, $SPCX, $DJT, $UMAC, $GEO (Trump trade) long $SPY probably beats most things over the next 3 months.

@BarbarianCap Nov 3

Barbarian Capital on X

CVS Will Break Off Its Namesake Pharmacies $CVS https://t.co/MYacYG8iRD

@BarbarianCap Nov 3

Barbarian Capital on X

"revenue rose to $19.95 billion, up from $5.02 billion a year prior" Super Micro Computer Revenue Surges on AI Infrastructure Demand $SMCI https://t.co/EZJhYAospA

@BarbarianCap Nov 3

Barbarian Capital on X

3M Announces $7.4 Billion Settlement in ‘Forever Chemicals’ Injuries Case $MMM https://t.co/PcrK3KhEJT

@finphysnerd Nov 3 1 click

Myles on X

3 10% or larger falls in $QQQ this year and still up 11% YTD. This is why this year has felt so exhausting. No consistent theme or narrative. Sentiment getting whipsawed everywhere. Huge factor rotations. I hope things settle down a bit post midterms. https://t.co/4ztHVmzqYd

@John_Hempton Nov 3

John_Hempton on X

@LucrativeLuApe No ladder attacks. My biggest long is $REGN and I have had a few good days. (Position is >100m.)

@ACapitalLP Nov 3

A Capital on X

My favorite part of the monthly HF return tables is the inevitable unsophisticated retail investor coming out of the woodwork to explain why Millennium’s returns are pathetic. Kid made 80% YOLO’ing $ASTS calls on Robinhood, has absolutely no idea how a multistrat operates, but genuinely believes Izzy Englander should fire 300 PMs and let him run the whole book from his iPhone...

Matt Murphy and Michael Hurlston Fireside Chat: Irrational Recap

Marvell and Lumentum’s merger targets uVCSEL scale-in optics, combining Marvell’s DSP and analog IP with Lumentum’s laser manufacturing for…

LITE $62BMRVL $150B

Irrational Analysis Nov 3 4 clicks

Marvell And Lumentum Merger Doesn't Make Any Sense To Me

Marvell’s all-stock Lumentum deal exposes LITE holders to MRVL volatility while paying peak-cycle AI multiples, with US and China antitrust…

MRVL $150BLITE $62B

Dustin Quasney Nov 3 2 clicks

Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXXIV

Intel maintained after its post-earnings sell-off, with AI inference CPU demand and foundry customer announcements expected to drive a…

INTC $287B

Monte Independent Investment Research Nov 3 3 clicks

Marvellous Value Destruction

Marvell’s proposed Lumentum deal risks alienating Cloudlight customers and losing engineering talent, despite limited optical integration…

MRVL $150BLITE $62B

Irrational Analysis Nov 3 2 clicks

Ignore The Noise And Buy Western Digital

Western Digital's Q1 2027 revenue rose 55% to $4.38 billion as hyperscaler demand lifted non-GAAP EPS 161% to $4.64.

WDC $137B

The Curious Analyst Nov 3 1 click

Stellar results lift shares of AMD, Arista

AMD and Arista beat consensus on quarterly results and outlook, lifting shares and easing AI-growth concerns.

ANET $226B

The Technology Letter Nov 2 1 click

Marvell for Lumentum: a new JDS-Uniphase?

Marvell Technology and Lumentum fell sharply after announcing a historic merger, reviving comparisons with JDS-Uniphase.

MRVL $150BLITE $62B

The Technology Letter Nov 2 1 click

Apple and Palantir are powerful businesses, maybe not great returns from here

Apple and Palantir reported very strong earnings, but their stocks may deliver weak returns from current levels.

PLTR $429B

The Technology Letter Nov 2 2 clicks

FTAI Aviation Update, Part Two

FTAI Aviation’s $234 million Jereh JV deposit funds Power inventory, while customer concentration, lower cash guidance and pending U.S.

FTAI $20B

CV's Substack Nov 2 4 clicks

Grab: Discount To Uber Makes Little Sense

Grab’s Southeast Asian delivery business nears a profitability inflection point, while consolidation and a potential GoTo deal challenge…

GRAB $12BUBER $147B

Wavelength Research Nov 2 2 clicks

SYK · long

Stryker CORP

Stryker (SYK) trades near a 52-week low after a late-Q1 cyberattack disrupted revenue and earnings, framing a long-term compounder…

SYK $118B

Value Investors Club May 4 4 clicks

Artificial Bloom

Bloom Energy’s AI data-center fuel-cell growth plans face scrutiny over scandium supply, with Hunterbrook alleging China dependence and…

BE $63B

Doomberg Jul 14 1 click

Credo Technology Deep Dive

Credo Technology sells active copper cables for AI data centers, with revenue rising 126% then 206% as Amazon, Microsoft, Meta, Oracle and…

CRDO $28B

CV's Substack Jul 13

Quick Value #322 - FuboTV (FUBO)

Fubo's Hulu Live merger leaves Disney with 70% ownership and resets its 2028 EBITDA target to $300 million; at $10, it trades at 4.2 times…

DIS $196B

Value Don't Lie Jul 13

In Conversation: Cerebras Systems (CBRS)

Cerebras Systems sells WSE-3 wafer-scale AI chips and cloud capacity, with cloud and services rising to 43% of revenue after an OpenAI…

CBRS $24B

Aurelion Research Jul 13 1 click

Salesforce Can Lose the Interface and Still Win

Salesforce's 8.62x forward cash flow valuation discounts AI seat cannibalization, while Agentforce, Data 360 and MuleSoft aim to retain…

CRM $187B

Modern Value Investing Jul 12

July NPO/CPO Update: Stupidity Singularity

Nvidia shifted its optical interconnect plan from TSMC CPO to Tower Semiconductor NPO, increasing laser requirements that favor Lumentum…

LITE $62BTSEM $18B

Irrational Analysis Jul 11

Three Tempting Ideas with Major Caveats

Molson Coors trades at 6.2x free cash flow and offers a roughly 15% shareholder yield, but declining beer volumes could make it a value…

DPZ $11B

Eagle Point Capital Jul 11

The King Bleeds, Long Live The King

Nvidia's Groq deal responded to OpenAI's Cerebras inference partnership, preserving its AI-chip lead through supply-chain control and rapid…

CBRS $24B

Irrational Analysis Jul 11

MercadoLibre: Valuation Model

MercadoLibre’s sum-of-the-parts model values commerce and payments on FCFF, credit on equity returns, producing a $1,980 base-case target…

MELI $77B

Hated Moats Jul 10

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Tuesday, November 3, 2026

Serenity on X

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Myles on X

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A Capital on X

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