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@kevin__mak 2 clicks

Kevin Mak on X

$MRNA Update on the realtime short-interest from Markit. Note that on 10/8 there was the NDX100 inclusion event, that mechanically increases short interest (due to index arb/basket/swap/etc) type of trades, so don't look at that step-up in short interest as indicative of anything. I am very interested in observing how positioning evolves from this point onwards, now that the "data is out". Most of the "bio experts" say this is massively overvalued, but someone obviously keeps buying. Does that buying come roaring back? Do they all switch to sellers? Time will tell! (I have a tiny short position on from $160ish.) Disclosure: Creek Drive and its affiliated funds holds a short position in MRNA. Views expressed are current opinions for information only, subject to change and are not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Investing involves the risk of loss and past performance is not indicative of future performance. See the disclosures link in my bio for more important information.
@convequity 5 clicks

Convequity on X

We think Huawei's control of lasers, optics and packaging could weaken pricing power at NVIDIA ($NVDA) and Broadcom ($AVGO). Our view: designing these components together lets Huawei choose embedded lasers based on what works best for the whole system, with less need to accommodate separate suppliers' products and margins. That makes lower-power embedded lasers easier to use and reduces dependence on scarce high-power external lasers. Huawei's 7.2 Tb/s Hi-ONE optical engine, which we highlighted in our recent report, shows the progress in connectivity behind this challenge. Better connections between processors can help an AI system use its computing capacity more efficiently, giving Huawei a way to compete beyond the performance of individual chips. If this lowers costs and deployment delays, customers in markets open to Huawei get a stronger alternative to systems built around Nvidia accelerators or Broadcom's custom chips and networking. At Convequity we think that could weaken both companies' ability to command premium prices.

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Microsoft's AI Boom Has A Cost

Microsoft’s Azure grew 48% as AI monetization accelerated, but doubled CapEx, largely for CPUs and GPUs, reduced quarterly free cash flow…

MSFT $3.9T
Yiannis Zourmpanos 2 clicks

CVX Earnings Review

Chevron’s Q3 revenue rose 35% to $65.2 billion and EBITDA 75% to $20.2 billion, while production trailed guidance and refining margins…

CVX $465B
Cestrian Capital Research 3 clicks

SNY Earnings Review

Sanofi raised FY26 guidance after Q3 sales grew 14.3% at constant currency, led by 34.8% Dupixent growth; vaccines declined 6.6%.

SNY $108B
Cestrian Capital Research 1 click

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/30/2026)

Markel spent $315 million repurchasing shares in Q3 as Thrive agreed to buy ADT for $7.6 billion and Hasbro cited rising adult toy demand.

MKL $23B
TSOH Investment Research 1 click

AMZN Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

Amazon reported $201.9 billion Q3 revenue and 39% AWS growth, while $220 billion in 2026 capex drove trailing free cash flow to a $42.4…

AMZN $2.6T
Cestrian Capital Research 3 clicks

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