Saturday, October 31, 2026

Expert Call | Optical Module Ramps, Lumentum vs. Coherent Momentum, Server CPU, and Advanced Packaging Constraints

AAOI, Lumentum and Coherent 800G ramps, NVIDIA Rubin timing, and AMD, Intel and Arm server CPU demand frame an expert call on AI data-center supply constraints.

LITE $62BCOHR $41B

P Equity Research Oct 31 2 clicks

Oct 31 FTAI $20B

FTAI 3Q26: Aero margins in focus

Stock Thoughts 5 clicks

Oct 30 CVX $423B

CVX Earnings Review

Cestrian Capital Research 4 clicks

From X

@MultiplesCap Sep 1

Multiples Capital on X

"BNPL will eventually die"? $AFRM (Affirm) says otherwise. Q4 GMV +43% to $10.4B, Rev +33% to $876M. EPS flipped –$0.14 → +$0.20, Op inc +$58M. Company executing with Amazon/Shopify/Costco partnerships, Affirm physical card and Stripe integration (for SMB market reach). With AI/ML underwriting + 0% plans, Affirm is scaling up profitably for now. As CEO Max Levchin put it: “We love math.” Execution > narrative.

@HaydenCapital Aug 11 1 click

Fred Liu on X

Shopee's SPX Express reminds me of $PDD's community group buy pick-up point locations. $SE "They are a familiar sight in Singapore. The retired “uncle” in flip-flops, slinging parcels across a housing block in an ever-practical blue Ikea bag. Or an entrepreneurial homemaker busily sorting a makeshift Shopee kiosk beside the lift. They are the human backbone of SPX Express, which now handles most of Shopee’s several billion parcels annually... With SPX Express, 90 per cent of its parcels are delivered the next day in Singapore. In the rest of Asia, almost half of SPX Express orders are delivered within two days." https://t.co/oyQtg6SZ5i

@MultiplesCap Aug 10

Multiples Capital on X

The AI disruptions no one seems to be talking about, ytd stock performances $TTD -54% $IT -53% $HUBS -35% $ACN -32% $TEAM -31% $CRM -28% $ADBE -23% $NOW -18% $WDAY -14%

@catechwilliams Jul 31 1 click

catechwilliams on X

$RDDT I don't make bold predictions. I'm a conservative doctor but it will likely be the next $META or $GOOG. Look at those companies 8-10 years ago. Very similar fact pattern. Now $RDDT is dominating search w highly valuable AI. +78% rev on tough comp and just getting started.

@ValueSituations Jul 15

Conor Maguire | Value Situations on X

As #copper industry execs talk of the greatest trade they've ever seen, its interesting to see that my recently published Euro-listed copper idea is the top performing name in the sector since I published it, alongside $FCX, --> $NDA $NDA.GR 👇 https://t.co/3kyp2k7VWl https://t.co/Kjp3Hlssgb

@Adam_Wyden Jul 1

Adam D. Wyden on X

3/ $RICK $PAR $APG $GFL $TIC

@MultiplesCap Jun 24

Multiples Capital on X

$EXPE has always been a much slower grower than $BKNG, won't be surprised if it's a fav pair trade of hedge fund (long booking, short expe). Over the years though Expedia has been going through internal changes, sold some businesses (Egencia to AmEx travel and few other sites), went through a technology transformation for internal sites (Expedia, https://t.co/ap3OIandej, Vrbo). 50% improvement in operating margin since 2019. But not as profitable as Booking (operating margin at 12% vs 32% for bkng). Mainly a US focused player (unlike bkng) with a very strong B2B segment that's growing mid teens and about 30% of total revenue), now looking to expand internationally. To be seen if that would drive higher margin given the much fragmented hotel market internationally vs US. Bkng on the other hand seeing revenue growth slowing down to high single digit and mid teens eps growth with margins declining since 2019. Expedia needs to show higher top line growth but possible still delivers mid teens eps growth. Travel is cyclical but these OTA are very robust, they saw revenue growth even in the financial crisis, as more ppl look for deals. AI is an unknown, Expedia is embracing it. Finding a hotel with the right deal is not same as getting an answer to a question from LLM, distribution/platform should remain valuable. Interesting to see how the pieces fall for Expedia, PEG < 1 and these multiples should atleast provide downside protection

@ValueSituations Jun 16

Conor Maguire | Value Situations on X

Value Sits name $BG up another +6% today, as market starts to price in the transformative #Viterra acquisition.. https://t.co/SsAL2gOw6A https://t.co/wwN5ZUrkYz

AstraZeneca (AZN) Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

AstraZeneca reported $16.2 billion Q3 revenue, up 7%, as oncology grew 17% and Farxiga fell 25% after US generics.

AZN $285B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 30 3 clicks

SNY Earnings Review

Sanofi raised FY26 guidance after Q3 sales grew 14.3% at constant currency, led by 34.8% Dupixent growth; vaccines declined 6.6%.

SNY $114B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 30 1 click

Bloom: Chinese Scandium Supply Route Restarts

Bloom may have reopened imports of scandium-containing components from China to the United States, according to new trade data.

BE $63B

Hunterbrook Oct 30 4 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/30/2026)

Markel spent $315 million repurchasing shares in Q3 as Thrive agreed to buy ADT for $7.6 billion and Hasbro cited rising adult toy demand.

MKL $24B

TSOH Investment Research Oct 30 1 click

Wall Street Erased $16 Billion From a Legal Monopoly Over an AI Myth.

Verisk Analytics’ 40 petabytes of proprietary insurance data and regulatory infrastructure shield its underwriting business from generative…

VRSK $25B

First Strike Research Oct 30 7 clicks

Applied Materials: A 51% Growth Quarter At 23x Forward Earnings

Applied Materials posted 51% growth while trading near 23 times forward earnings; memory spending and fab construction support orders, but…

AMAT $260B

Capital Minded Oct 30 1 click

What a Marvell-Lumentum Deal Means for DSPs, Lasers, and Modules

Marvell’s reported Lumentum bid would combine DSPs, lasers and optical modules, but $4 billion of cash and $5 billion of debt point to a…

MRVL $150BLITE $62B

Vik's Newsletter Oct 30 1 click

Another Haircut with Avy the Barber

SoFi’s stock case hinges on interest rates, tangible book value and private-credit loan sales after its $1.5 billion equity offering.

SOFI $22B

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” Oct 29 3 clicks

Intel Q3 2026: Dead Inside

Intel’s Q3 2026 datacenter CPU shortage reflects wafer-start planning failures, not substrate constraints, after demand shifted from client…

INTC $287B

Irrational Analysis Oct 29 2 clicks

Bloody Thursday: Defending Alphabet, now Amazon and Intel in the penalty box

Alphabet, Amazon and Intel face market pressure as the big three cloud giants reaffirm AI spending plans.

INTC $287B

The Technology Letter Oct 29 1 click

Regeneron (REGN) Q3 FY 12/26 Earnings Review

Regeneron’s Q3 revenue rose 36% to $5.1 billion, driven by a 68% jump in Sanofi collaboration revenue, while operating income doubled to…

REGN $101B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 30 2 clicks

SAP · long

Sap Se

SAP shares are down 45% since February 2025 as AI disruption fears create a long thesis on its risk-reward.

SAP $277B

Value Investors Club Aug 1 2 clicks

INTC Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

Intel's Q3 revenue rose 21% to $16.5 billion, led by 78% data-center and AI growth, but Q4 guidance of $15.5 billion trailed consensus.

INTC $287B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 29 4 clicks

Twilio CEO: ‘Buy the dip!’

Twilio CEO Khozema Shipchandler urged investors to “buy the dip” after earnings sent the software maker’s shares down 17% after hours.

TWLO $33B

The Technology Letter Oct 29 2 clicks

Incyte (INCY) Q3 FY 12/26 Earnings Review

Incyte reported Q3 FY26 revenue of $1.56 billion, up 14%, while a $1.23 billion Vega acquisition charge drove a $708 million operating loss.

INCY $24B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 29 2 clicks

CoStar: 3Q26 Business Recap

CoStar’s 3Q26 revenue growth slowed to 14% as bookings fell to $37 million, while cost cuts lifted EBIT margin to 8.8%.

CSGP $13B

Speedwell Memos Oct 29 3 clicks

Ex-Goldman Oil Derivatives Trader: Every Trading Strategy Is Momentum or Mean Reversion

Simran Jeet Singh recounts pricing oil through WTI’s -$37.63 collapse, then explains crypto perpetual funding arbitrage, market making and…

GS $268B

Odds on Open Oct 29 5 clicks

Carpenter Technology (CRS) Q1'27: The Sell-Off Resets the Entry Point

Carpenter Technology fell 25% after Q1 2027 despite revenue rising 9%, EPS up 34%, and commercial aerospace bookings up 25%.

CRS $15B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 29 3 clicks

[scuttleslops] GOOGL, AMZN, BRO, KNSL, ODFL, MCO, SPGI

Google’s AI search could improve ad economics, while Amazon protects its retail ad funnel from shopping agents and specialty insurers face…

BRO $23B

scuttleblurb Oct 29 1 click

Earnings Review: GOOG, MSFT, KLAC, LRCX

Alphabet’s $200B 2026 capex and weaker AI-search monetization contrast with Microsoft’s accelerating Copilot and Azure momentum; the review…

KLAC $193B

Rebound Capital Oct 29 1 click

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Saturday, October 31, 2026

Multiples Capital on X

Fred Liu on X

Multiples Capital on X

catechwilliams on X

Conor Maguire | Value Situations on X

Adam D. Wyden on X

Multiples Capital on X

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