Friday, October 30, 2026

CVX Earnings Review

Chevron’s Q3 revenue rose 35% to $65.2 billion and EBITDA 75% to $20.2 billion, while production trailed guidance and refining margins drove 46% of segment earnings.

CVX $423B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 30 3 clicks

Oct 30 AZN $285B

AstraZeneca (AZN) Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

Cestrian Capital Research 2 clicks

Oct 30 SNY $114B

SNY Earnings Review

Cestrian Capital Research 1 click

From X

@evantindell Aug 3

Evan Tindell on X

Finally got a chance to go through the $UMG earnings... Obviously, a disappointment on revenue growth and margins, which saw the stock drop like 20%. Subscription revenue was 6.7% organically, and the street was looking for >9%. So, a big miss. Still, I think things should improve. Apple, Spotify, Amazon, and YouTube music have all raised prices this year, and a portion of that will go to UMG. CFO Matt Ellis said on the call that these prices and "better market share to start the third quarter" make them "cautiously optimistic" (really sticking his neck out there!!) that growth will improve in H2 of 2026. Interestingly, Warner Music $WMG managed to grow revenue 12% in CC and adjusted OIBDA by 24%, so clearly this is a UMG-only problem, at least for this quarter. $UMG trades at 14x earnings on a NTM basis now... this seems pretty reasonable if not downright cheap for a company that has grown EBIT from EUR 1b in 2019 to around 2b today (11% organic EBITDA CAGR). We own this through Bollore, which currently has an NAV of just above 11 EUR by my calculation vs a last price of under 4 EUR. Notably, JPM thinks new AI tiers in Spotify and Apple Music will drive ARPU growth of 300 bps per year. Their price target was 48 EUR prior to the recent earnings release...

@TheBenSchmark Aug 2 1 click

JabroniCoin.USD on X

Semrush found that Reddit citations collapsed in ChatGPT through 2025. And in AI responses in general. Different reasons have been proffered, but I for one am glad SEO spam and human-generated nonsense is being weighted less $RDDT https://t.co/J1qIjVsvlO

@DevinLaSarre Aug 2

Devin LaSarre on X

Newest out. British American Tobacco: Narrowed $BTI $PM $MO $IMBBY $HAYPP $STG https://t.co/EPt01RC0Kk

@orrdavid Aug 1 4 clicks

David Orr on X

@FixedIncQuant @nickgiva1 $IBIT has a $46 billion AUM.

@RagingVentures Aug 1 1 click

Raging Capital Ventures on X

Sold my $BILL on this 50%+ run off the lows, and continue to actively trade around core $HUBS and $WDAY positions by regularly writing calls or shorting puts (and sometimes boxing my longs). The volatility has been insane. Sold $ESTC for now. Also, I’m now short a small amount of $ADBE, $NOW, $TEAM, $CXM and $YEXT into July’s de-grossing/de-leveraging squeeze.

@RagingVentures Aug 1 1 click

Raging Capital Ventures on X

Another ugly quarter at $MO. Still struggling to gain traction in the all-important new smokeless markets, while Marlboro bleeds market share and overall smoking volumes continue to collapse. This has been a good trading short with all of the funky rotation and factor moves. https://t.co/SK4WwXsiiZ

@RagingVentures Aug 1

Raging Capital Ventures on X

OpenAI “ARR” apparently run rating at $60 b, and (for the most part) they haven’t yet monetized their 1 billion weekly consumer actives. Bullish $ORCL. https://t.co/pBDIrTTAqV

@AsifSuria Jul 31 2 clicks

Asif Suria on X

If Newsom has aspirations to run for president, he can’t be perceived as being bad for big business. The Warner Bros. $WBD situation is not the same as Sable Offshore $SOC and I am sure there is tremendous political pressure through the Ellisons. Larry didn’t get to where he is by backing down from a fight and we saw this in action during the acquisition of Peoplesoft by Oracle $ORCL more than two decades ago.

Bloom: Chinese Scandium Supply Route Restarts

Bloom may have reopened imports of scandium-containing components from China to the United States, according to new trade data.

BE $63B

Hunterbrook Oct 30 4 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/30/2026)

Markel spent $315 million repurchasing shares in Q3 as Thrive agreed to buy ADT for $7.6 billion and Hasbro cited rising adult toy demand.

MKL $23B

TSOH Investment Research Oct 30 1 click

Wall Street Erased $16 Billion From a Legal Monopoly Over an AI Myth.

Verisk Analytics’ 40 petabytes of proprietary insurance data and regulatory infrastructure shield its underwriting business from generative…

VRSK $25B

First Strike Research Oct 30 7 clicks

Applied Materials: A 51% Growth Quarter At 23x Forward Earnings

Applied Materials posted 51% growth while trading near 23 times forward earnings; memory spending and fab construction support orders, but…

AMAT $310B

Capital Minded Oct 30 1 click

What a Marvell-Lumentum Deal Means for DSPs, Lasers, and Modules

Marvell’s reported Lumentum bid would combine DSPs, lasers and optical modules, but $4 billion of cash and $5 billion of debt point to a…

MRVL $150BLITE $62B

Vik's Newsletter Oct 30 1 click

Another Haircut with Avy the Barber

SoFi’s stock case hinges on interest rates, tangible book value and private-credit loan sales after its $1.5 billion equity offering.

SOFI $22B

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” Oct 29 3 clicks

Intel Q3 2026: Dead Inside

Intel’s Q3 2026 datacenter CPU shortage reflects wafer-start planning failures, not substrate constraints, after demand shifted from client…

INTC $348B

Irrational Analysis Oct 29 2 clicks

Bloody Thursday: Defending Alphabet, now Amazon and Intel in the penalty box

Alphabet, Amazon and Intel face market pressure as the big three cloud giants reaffirm AI spending plans.

INTC $348B

The Technology Letter Oct 29 1 click

Twilio CEO: ‘Buy the dip!’

Twilio CEO Khozema Shipchandler urged investors to “buy the dip” after earnings sent the software maker’s shares down 17% after hours.

TWLO $31B

The Technology Letter Oct 29 2 clicks

CoStar: 3Q26 Business Recap

CoStar’s 3Q26 revenue growth slowed to 14% as bookings fell to $37 million, while cost cuts lifted EBIT margin to 8.8%.

CSGP $13B

Speedwell Memos Oct 29 3 clicks

Regeneron (REGN) Q3 FY 12/26 Earnings Review

Regeneron’s Q3 revenue rose 36% to $5.1 billion, driven by a 68% jump in Sanofi collaboration revenue, while operating income doubled to…

REGN $101B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 30 2 clicks

SAP · long

Sap Se

SAP shares are down 45% since February 2025 as AI disruption fears create a long thesis on its risk-reward.

SAP $271B

Value Investors Club Aug 1 2 clicks

INTC Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

Intel's Q3 revenue rose 21% to $16.5 billion, led by 78% data-center and AI growth, but Q4 guidance of $15.5 billion trailed consensus.

INTC $348B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 29 4 clicks

Incyte (INCY) Q3 FY 12/26 Earnings Review

Incyte reported Q3 FY26 revenue of $1.56 billion, up 14%, while a $1.23 billion Vega acquisition charge drove a $708 million operating loss.

INCY $24B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 29 2 clicks

Ex-Goldman Oil Derivatives Trader: Every Trading Strategy Is Momentum or Mean Reversion

Simran Jeet Singh recounts pricing oil through WTI’s -$37.63 collapse, then explains crypto perpetual funding arbitrage, market making and…

GS $260B

Odds on Open Oct 29 5 clicks

Carpenter Technology (CRS) Q1'27: The Sell-Off Resets the Entry Point

Carpenter Technology fell 25% after Q1 2027 despite revenue rising 9%, EPS up 34%, and commercial aerospace bookings up 25%.

CRS $15B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 29 3 clicks

GE Vernova: 3 Straight Guidance Raises, And Wall Street Still Doubts It

GE Vernova raised guidance for a third straight quarter as Power and Electrification drove backlog growth, while Wind showed an early…

GEV $241B

Melissa Tucker Oct 29 2 clicks

[scuttleslops] GOOGL, AMZN, BRO, KNSL, ODFL, MCO, SPGI

Google’s AI search could improve ad economics, while Amazon protects its retail ad funnel from shopping agents and specialty insurers face…

BRO $23B

scuttleblurb Oct 29 1 click

Earnings Review: GOOG, MSFT, KLAC, LRCX

Alphabet’s $200B 2026 capex and weaker AI-search monetization contrast with Microsoft’s accelerating Copilot and Azure momentum; the review…

KLAC $193B

Rebound Capital Oct 29 1 click

This Week in Special Situations: Mattel, Winnebago, PayPal

Mattel, Winnebago and PayPal lead 37 special situations spanning activist campaigns, buybacks, M&A and strategic alternatives.

PYPL $49B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 29 3 clicks

Friday, October 30, 2026

Evan Tindell on X

JabroniCoin.USD on X

Devin LaSarre on X

David Orr on X

Raging Capital Ventures on X

Raging Capital Ventures on X

Raging Capital Ventures on X

Asif Suria on X

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