Thursday, October 29, 2026

Another Haircut with Avy the Barber

SoFi’s stock case hinges on interest rates, tangible book value and private-credit loan sales after its $1.5 billion equity offering.

SOFI $22B

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” Oct 29 3 clicks

Oct 29 INTC $287B

Intel Q3 2026: Dead Inside

Irrational Analysis 2 clicks

Oct 29 INTC $287B

INTC Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

Cestrian Capital Research 4 clicks

From X

@TheBenSchmark Sep 21

JabroniCoin.USD on X

Bernstein on CXMT: “We believe a new fab of max capacity at 100k wpm is being built in Shanghai now, & is due to begin production early next year. There is no mention of this fab in any company filings” Models capex rising 70% YoY through ‘28 to $35B CXMT capex is $ACMR revenue https://t.co/rQXi6eh7PX

@ChrisCamillo Sep 21

Chris Camillo on X

$META Muse https://t.co/6kIAS8EU9B https://t.co/XV1iNrv3US

@ChrisCamillo Sep 21

Chris Camillo on X

$META Muse is a textbook Social Arb setup as early traction is a genuine surprise. $META is the obvious beneficiary. The off-radar derivative: $AMZN. Meta already uses Amazon Bedrock at scale and has committed to tens of millions of AWS Graviton CPU cores for its agentic AI workloads.

@TheBenSchmark Sep 21

JabroniCoin.USD on X

$ACMR seems to be the simplest way to play the inevitable CXMT/YMTC ramp https://t.co/NlvTBGCZSr

@aleabitoreddit Sep 21

Serenity on X

The main duo $SKHY and Samsung are having a fun day. I'm still long memory (eg. $EWY / $DRAM ) since if capacity agreements extend 3-5 years... and your analysts model 2.8-3.3x 2027E. Risk/reward is attractive over time. But I think legacy memory a very interesting trade currently due to ASP hike potential.. It also just so happens these same companies procure memory from even smaller memory companies (that might have higher sensitivity)... So if you want to, you can track $PSMC wafer allocations, and find some interesting companies that likely replace $MU discontinued legacy memory through Alliance or supply directly to Samsung. Won't mention them on X, but just throwing out some research ideas.

@DeepSailCapital Sep 20

Deep Sail Capital on X

@marketplunger1 A majority of them are in Japan or Korea $OUST - LiDAR leader. $NOVT - Drives, motion, medical. M&A strategy in robotics end market. It’s really expensive though.

@OddDiligence Sep 20

Odd Diligence on X

@jukan05 Sounds like $PENG

@marginofdanger Sep 20 1 click

marginofdanger on X

Fundamental issue with $HHH is there is no return of capital to shareholders and no consistent base of earnings either. I strongly preferred the company as a real estate only situation. He massively overpaid for Vantage too. Will trade cheap to NAV until it’s truly shareholder friendly.

Alphabet: Why I'm Buying The Free Cash Flow Scare

Alphabet's EPS miss came from a SpaceX stake loss, while 24.7% revenue growth and a $561 billion Cloud backlog counter free cash flow…

GOOGL $3.5T

Cain Lee Oct 29 1 click

Incyte (INCY) Q3 FY 12/26 Earnings Review

Incyte reported Q3 FY26 revenue of $1.56 billion, up 14%, while a $1.23 billion Vega acquisition charge drove a $708 million operating loss.

INCY $24B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 29 2 clicks

Merck and Co. (MRK) Q3 FY 12/26 Earnings Review

Merck reported Q3 FY26 revenue of $18.1 billion, led by $8.6 billion in KEYTRUDA sales and 93% WINREVAIR growth, while raising and…

MRK $371B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 29 2 clicks

Alphabet 3Q’26: Search Worries Weighing In

Alphabet’s Search growth slowed to 12% as Cloud revenue more than doubled, while quarterly free cash flow stayed negative amid the capex…

GOOGL $3.5T

MBI Deep Dives Oct 29 2 clicks

CoStar: 3Q26 Business Recap

CoStar’s 3Q26 revenue growth slowed to 14% as bookings fell to $37 million, while cost cuts lifted EBIT margin to 8.8%.

CSGP $13B

Speedwell Memos Oct 29 3 clicks

Ex-Goldman Oil Derivatives Trader: Every Trading Strategy Is Momentum or Mean Reversion

Simran Jeet Singh recounts pricing oil through WTI’s -$37.63 collapse, then explains crypto perpetual funding arbitrage, market making and…

GS $268B

Odds on Open Oct 29 5 clicks

Carpenter Technology (CRS) Q1'27: The Sell-Off Resets the Entry Point

Carpenter Technology fell 25% after Q1 2027 despite revenue rising 9%, EPS up 34%, and commercial aerospace bookings up 25%.

CRS $14B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 29 3 clicks

GE Vernova: 3 Straight Guidance Raises, And Wall Street Still Doubts It

GE Vernova raised guidance for a third straight quarter as Power and Electrification drove backlog growth, while Wind showed an early…

GEV $241B

Melissa Tucker Oct 29 2 clicks

Alphabet Inc Earnings Update: Fiscal Q1 2027

Alphabet reported $127.6 billion in revenue, up 25%, as Google Cloud doubled to $30.7 billion and 36.2% margins.

GOOGL $3.5T

SixSigmaCapital: Navigating the Financial Markets Oct 29 1 click

Alamos Gold: Minor Delays With Island Gold Growth, But There Is Still A Lot Of Value Here

Alamos Gold targets nearly 1 Moz of annual production by decade-end as Island Gold shaft commissioning offsets recent Young-Davidson…

AGI $13B

Bang For The Buck Oct 29 1 click

ServiceNow Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

ServiceNow’s Q3 revenue rose 20.5% to $4.11 billion, while non-GAAP EPS missed consensus and fourth-quarter cRPO growth guidance slowed to…

NOW $106B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 29 2 clicks

What I'm Watching In November: Midterm Madness, Nvidia, And Walmart

November markets hinge on U.S. midterms, CPI, payrolls and OPEC+, with Nvidia guidance and Walmart sales testing the AI trade and consumer…

NVDA $4.6TWMT $1T

Passage Research Oct 29 1 click

[scuttleslops] GOOGL, AMZN, BRO, KNSL, ODFL, MCO, SPGI

Google’s AI search could improve ad economics, while Amazon protects its retail ad funnel from shopping agents and specialty insurers face…

GOOGL $3.5TAMZN $2.9T

scuttleblurb Oct 29 1 click

Earnings Review: GOOG, MSFT, KLAC, LRCX

Alphabet’s $200B 2026 capex and weaker AI-search monetization contrast with Microsoft’s accelerating Copilot and Azure momentum; the review…

GOOGL $3.5TMSFT $4T

Rebound Capital Oct 29 1 click

This Week in Special Situations: Mattel, Winnebago, PayPal

Mattel, Winnebago and PayPal lead 37 special situations spanning activist campaigns, buybacks, M&A and strategic alternatives.

MAT $4.3BPYPL $49B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 29 3 clicks

Meta: A Clearer Roadmap

Meta's non-cancelable commitments reached $455 billion as FY26 capex approaches $140 billion, driving expense growth and 700-basis-point…

META $1.6T

TSOH Investment Research Oct 29 3 clicks

Kevin Warsh Calmed AI Fears, Then Alphabet's Jaw-Dropper Arrived

Alphabet’s Q3 long-term debt jumped 479% amid AI spending, reviving concerns over AI-funded leverage even as a Fed policy update lifted…

GOOGL $3.5T

Uttam Dey Oct 29

Why So Much Copper?

Amphenol and other copper-connectivity suppliers benefit as copper remains essential inside AI racks, where low-voltage, high-current power…

APH $195B

Jimmy's Journal Oct 29 3 clicks

Undercovered Dozen: Micron, i-80 Gold, Hercules Capital, And More

Undercovered Dozen profiles 12 lesser-covered stocks, including i-80 Gold, Hercules Capital’s 11.5% yield and sector-specific catalysts at…

MU $743BHTGC $3.2B

The Undercovered Dozen Oct 29 3 clicks

Fortinet (NASDAQ: FTNT) - Do Nothing - Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

Fortinet’s revenue rose 20% to $2.08 billion, but its 15% Q4 growth guide drove a 25% post-earnings stock drop as product, billings and…

FTNT $94B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 28 5 clicks

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Thursday, October 29, 2026

JabroniCoin.USD on X

Chris Camillo on X

Chris Camillo on X

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Deep Sail Capital on X

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