Thursday, October 29, 2026

Another Haircut with Avy the Barber

SoFi’s stock case hinges on interest rates, tangible book value and private-credit loan sales after its $1.5 billion equity offering.

SOFI $22B

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” Oct 29 3 clicks

Oct 29 INTC $348B

Intel Q3 2026: Dead Inside

Irrational Analysis 2 clicks

Oct 29 INTC $348B

INTC Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

Cestrian Capital Research 4 clicks

From X

@John_Hempton Oct 21 2 clicks

John_Hempton on X

How long until Irontown is sold for scrap? $PCT https://t.co/EIF9X1fAEf

@AsifSuria Oct 21

Asif Suria on X

"We believe mgmt. wants to make sure it gets credit for that ramp, which could happen by letting the next 1-4 quarters play out." Management at $LION has been deeply entrenched and the company has become an "activist black hole". Carl Icahn's protege Mark Rachesky disappeared into it and it also swallowed our former Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin. At least after Mnuchin got involved, we managed to get rid of the dual class structure and Starz $STRZ was spun out. Like @valuedontlie I should have doubled down on Starz instead of $LION. Still long Lionsgate Studios and still willing to be patient but it feels like Feltheimer has perfected the art of moving the goal post.

@ActAccordingly Oct 21 9 clicks

PAA Research on X

So Maverick pitched $INTC as a new long at the Robin Hood conference? Seriously, what happened to this industry?

@marginofdanger Oct 21 3 clicks

marginofdanger on X

Some drama at the $BWEL annual meeting. They refused to take any questions! Wonder if something is coming.

@HaydenCapital Oct 21

Fred Liu on X

And this is the ramp for scaled stores (top 1M shopify stores). Excluding the influx of HK/China sellers, we can clearly see the Black Friday ramp these last few weeks. $APP (Chart from our internal tracking tool) https://t.co/2Exb8qRUjI https://t.co/AigrDesxYq

@hkuppy Oct 21

Kuppy on X

@JoshYoung Is $CRWV doing a convert or something..??🤣

@stockgutter Oct 21

SG on X

the spoon will keep bending until the gap is filled $BSP https://t.co/1KYtWCmB7L

@KEDM_COM Oct 21

KEDM.com on X

Middle Coast Investing @DanielShortman said it owned Trimas $TRS, a metal and plastic packaging company, for over a year and added significantly this quarter. Under activist pressure to break up its conglomerate structure, the company sold two units, most recently its aerospace unit last March. Remainco is a $1.5bn market-cap packaging business that, according to the fund, is in a sweet spot to acquire or even be acquired. Based on Middle Coast’s estimate, it trades at 9.2x EV/EBITDA after spinning off its aerospace unit. (We note that TRS hired a CEO in 2025 with packaging experience, and he’s more likely to be an acquirer than to be acquired).

Incyte (INCY) Q3 FY 12/26 Earnings Review

Incyte reported Q3 FY26 revenue of $1.56 billion, up 14%, while a $1.23 billion Vega acquisition charge drove a $708 million operating loss.

INCY $24B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 29 2 clicks

Merck and Co. (MRK) Q3 FY 12/26 Earnings Review

Merck reported Q3 FY26 revenue of $18.1 billion, led by $8.6 billion in KEYTRUDA sales and 93% WINREVAIR growth, while raising and…

MRK $369B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 29 2 clicks

CoStar: 3Q26 Business Recap

CoStar’s 3Q26 revenue growth slowed to 14% as bookings fell to $37 million, while cost cuts lifted EBIT margin to 8.8%.

CSGP $12B

Speedwell Memos Oct 29 3 clicks

Ex-Goldman Oil Derivatives Trader: Every Trading Strategy Is Momentum or Mean Reversion

Simran Jeet Singh recounts pricing oil through WTI’s -$37.63 collapse, then explains crypto perpetual funding arbitrage, market making and…

GS $260B

Odds on Open Oct 29 5 clicks

Carpenter Technology (CRS) Q1'27: The Sell-Off Resets the Entry Point

Carpenter Technology fell 25% after Q1 2027 despite revenue rising 9%, EPS up 34%, and commercial aerospace bookings up 25%.

CRS $15B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 29 3 clicks

GE Vernova: 3 Straight Guidance Raises, And Wall Street Still Doubts It

GE Vernova raised guidance for a third straight quarter as Power and Electrification drove backlog growth, while Wind showed an early…

GEV $241B

Melissa Tucker Oct 29 1 click

Build-A-Bear (BBW) Part II: The Scion Capital Analyst Tempate and the All Map

Build-A-Bear’s lease overhaul, off-mall expansion and partner-led wholesale growth reshaped a debt-free retailer with $80 million EBITDA,…

BBW $363M

Cassandra Unchained Oct 29 2 clicks

[scuttleslops] GOOGL, AMZN, BRO, KNSL, ODFL, MCO, SPGI

Google’s AI search could improve ad economics, while Amazon protects its retail ad funnel from shopping agents and specialty insurers face…

BRO $23B

scuttleblurb Oct 29 1 click

Earnings Review: GOOG, MSFT, KLAC, LRCX

Alphabet’s $200B 2026 capex and weaker AI-search monetization contrast with Microsoft’s accelerating Copilot and Azure momentum; the review…

KLAC $208B

Rebound Capital Oct 29 1 click

This Week in Special Situations: Mattel, Winnebago, PayPal

Mattel, Winnebago and PayPal lead 37 special situations spanning activist campaigns, buybacks, M&A and strategic alternatives.

MAT $4.4BWGO $903M

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 29 3 clicks

ServiceNow Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

ServiceNow’s Q3 revenue rose 20.5% to $4.11 billion, while non-GAAP EPS missed consensus and fourth-quarter cRPO growth guidance slowed to…

NOW $110B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 29 2 clicks

Alamos Gold: Minor Delays With Island Gold Growth, But There Is Still A Lot Of Value Here

Alamos Gold targets nearly 1 Moz of annual production by decade-end as Island Gold shaft commissioning offsets recent Young-Davidson…

AGI $12B

Bang For The Buck Oct 29 1 click

Why So Much Copper?

Amphenol and other copper-connectivity suppliers benefit as copper remains essential inside AI racks, where low-voltage, high-current power…

APH $196B

Jimmy's Journal Oct 29 3 clicks

Undercovered Dozen: Micron, i-80 Gold, Hercules Capital, And More

Undercovered Dozen profiles 12 lesser-covered stocks, including i-80 Gold, Hercules Capital’s 11.5% yield and sector-specific catalysts at…

IAUX $1.2BHTGC $3.2B

The Undercovered Dozen Oct 29 3 clicks

Fortinet (NASDAQ: FTNT) - Do Nothing - Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

Fortinet’s revenue rose 20% to $2.08 billion, but its 15% Q4 growth guide drove a 25% post-earnings stock drop as product, billings and…

FTNT $102B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 28 5 clicks

An Interview with Palantir CTO Shyam Sankar About the AI Religious War

Palantir CTO Shyam Sankar argues AI diffusion and systems engineering matter more than model-building, and explains forward-deployed…

PLTR $429B

Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. Oct 28 1 click

Culper Research vs Cerebras: A Neutral Engineering-Driven View

Cerebras’ alleged electromigration issues hinge on temperature and voltage limits, not total power draw, while thermal variation and…

CBRS $24B

Irrational Analysis Oct 28 3 clicks

CoStar 3Q26 Recap: Cost Decreases Cost of Growth

CoStar’s 14% revenue growth, $37 million in net new bookings and 14% stock drop sharpen doubts that sales and marketing cuts can coexist…

CSGP $12B

Speedwell Research Oct 28 1 click

ORCL Update

Oracle rose about 12% intraday on October 28, 2026 as AI infrastructure and cloud-demand sentiment improved and credit-spread concerns…

ORCL $383B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 28 2 clicks

Group 1 Automotive (GPI): Q3 2026 Earnings

Group 1 Automotive trades at 5.5 times earnings as aging gasoline vehicles and EV repairs sustain service profits; insiders bought while…

GPI $3.1BPAG $14B

Cannibal Stocks Oct 28 1 click

Thursday, October 29, 2026

John_Hempton on X

Asif Suria on X

PAA Research on X

marginofdanger on X

Fred Liu on X

Kuppy on X

SG on X

KEDM.com on X

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