Thursday, October 29, 2026

Another Haircut with Avy the Barber

SoFi’s stock case hinges on interest rates, tangible book value and private-credit loan sales after its $1.5 billion equity offering.

SOFI $22B

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” Oct 29 3 clicks

Oct 29 INTC $348B

Intel Q3 2026: Dead Inside

Irrational Analysis 2 clicks

Oct 29 INTC $348B

INTC Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

Cestrian Capital Research 4 clicks

From X

@StableBread Oct 29

Fajasy on X

The first thing I said I’d watch on Quantum $QMCO in my August 16 update was $IBM’s tape drive supply, since CEO Hugues Meyrath said on the June-quarter call that “customers’ demand remains stronger than our ability to fulfill it.” The LTO Program, the group of $HPE, $IBM, and $QMCO that sets the LTO tape standard, reported on September 1, 2026 that tape capacity shipped in Q1 2026 rose 57% from Q1 2025. The 57% measures data capacity, and each new LTO generation holds more data per cartridge, so capacity shipped can grow faster than the number of cartridges sold. Meyrath said on the June-quarter call that $QMCO’s $82.0M ±$2M revenue guidance for the September quarter is only “mildly up” because tape drive supply had stayed “flat for the past handful of months.” $IBM, which supplies the drives, had told $QMCO it would increase production toward the back half of the year, but Meyrath said the increase still hadn’t shown up as of August. So by Meyrath’s account, $IBM’s drive supply, not demand, limits how much $QMCO can sell for now. $QMCO’s quarterly revenue has risen from $62.7M in the September 2025 quarter to $80.8M in the June quarter. Secondary storage, which $QMCO’s 10-K describes as “primarily tape storage systems,” drove the growth. It doubled from a year earlier to $37.0M in the June quarter, 46% of total revenue, up from 29%. That $18.5M increase was more than the $16.5M rise in total revenue, since primary storage, $QMCO’s file and object storage systems, fell to $8.5M from $12.5M.

@BrokenMoats Oct 29

Broken Moats on X

Interesting but not surprising to see the lack of follow through on software names today in the wake of $NOW numbers and 26% decline (+ ftnt). I guess we can expect more tape bombs in this sector until it rerates. Many stocks that are more exposed to ai disruption with higher multiples, lower growth and have rallied more than Servicenow did into the print. And several are barely off, some actually positive on the day..

@BarbarianCap Oct 29

Barbarian Capital on X

the Marlboro Ranch with Marlboro miles but in 2026 how many of you are going? "Nicotine pouch brand Zyn is holding private concerts for customers who accumulate enough points through its loyalty program. [Garbage Day]" via WSJ $PM

@stockgutter Oct 29

SG on X

@DeepSailCapital $CD looks pretty good technically with this week's lower high. https://t.co/RpwLMUnS0P

@stockgutter Oct 29

SG on X

$INMD InMode finally fills gap from the Steel Partners announcement. Still a shitco with a lot of cash. Regrettably, I still own. https://t.co/ZzEVAxYYmm

@david_katunaric Oct 29

Mikro Kap David on X

$MCS cinema business has knocked it out of the park this year, and the movie slate suggests that momentum should carry through year-end. But how much better can things realistically get from there? https://t.co/drBuoF9j79 https://t.co/OZYCVEt7PE

@leevalueroach Oct 29

Lee Roach on X

GameStop $GME has just launched a power pack to buy luxury watches. They have just gamified the luxury watch market. For $5k you can gamble to see if you can win a $70k watch. This is incredible. GameStop appears to be building a betting market for real live goods. They could scale this up like crazy.

@DeepSailCapital Oct 29

Deep Sail Capital on X

Honestly $AI might be a good entry as well. Its up 100% from the lows and revenues are flat and they are still burning cash like crazy and dishing out more SBC then they have revenue.

Incyte (INCY) Q3 FY 12/26 Earnings Review

Incyte reported Q3 FY26 revenue of $1.56 billion, up 14%, while a $1.23 billion Vega acquisition charge drove a $708 million operating loss.

INCY $24B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 29 2 clicks

Merck and Co. (MRK) Q3 FY 12/26 Earnings Review

Merck reported Q3 FY26 revenue of $18.1 billion, led by $8.6 billion in KEYTRUDA sales and 93% WINREVAIR growth, while raising and…

MRK $347B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 29 2 clicks

CoStar: 3Q26 Business Recap

CoStar’s 3Q26 revenue growth slowed to 14% as bookings fell to $37 million, while cost cuts lifted EBIT margin to 8.8%.

CSGP $12B

Speedwell Memos Oct 29 3 clicks

Ex-Goldman Oil Derivatives Trader: Every Trading Strategy Is Momentum or Mean Reversion

Simran Jeet Singh recounts pricing oil through WTI’s -$37.63 collapse, then explains crypto perpetual funding arbitrage, market making and…

GS $265B

Odds on Open Oct 29 5 clicks

Carpenter Technology (CRS) Q1'27: The Sell-Off Resets the Entry Point

Carpenter Technology fell 25% after Q1 2027 despite revenue rising 9%, EPS up 34%, and commercial aerospace bookings up 25%.

CRS $15B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 29 3 clicks

GE Vernova: 3 Straight Guidance Raises, And Wall Street Still Doubts It

GE Vernova raised guidance for a third straight quarter as Power and Electrification drove backlog growth, while Wind showed an early…

GEV $234B

Melissa Tucker Oct 29 1 click

Build-A-Bear (BBW) Part II: The Scion Capital Analyst Tempate and the All Map

Build-A-Bear’s lease overhaul, off-mall expansion and partner-led wholesale growth reshaped a debt-free retailer with $80 million EBITDA,…

BBW $327M

Cassandra Unchained Oct 29 1 click

[scuttleslops] GOOGL, AMZN, BRO, KNSL, ODFL, MCO, SPGI

Google’s AI search could improve ad economics, while Amazon protects its retail ad funnel from shopping agents and specialty insurers face…

BRO $23B

scuttleblurb Oct 29 1 click

Earnings Review: GOOG, MSFT, KLAC, LRCX

Alphabet’s $200B 2026 capex and weaker AI-search monetization contrast with Microsoft’s accelerating Copilot and Azure momentum; the review…

KLAC $208B

Rebound Capital Oct 29 1 click

This Week in Special Situations: Mattel, Winnebago, PayPal

Mattel, Winnebago and PayPal lead 37 special situations spanning activist campaigns, buybacks, M&A and strategic alternatives.

MAT $4.3BWGO $842M

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 29 2 clicks

ServiceNow Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

ServiceNow’s Q3 revenue rose 20.5% to $4.11 billion, while non-GAAP EPS missed consensus and fourth-quarter cRPO growth guidance slowed to…

NOW $155B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 29 2 clicks

Alamos Gold: Minor Delays With Island Gold Growth, But There Is Still A Lot Of Value Here

Alamos Gold targets nearly 1 Moz of annual production by decade-end as Island Gold shaft commissioning offsets recent Young-Davidson…

AGI $13B

Bang For The Buck Oct 29 1 click

Why So Much Copper?

Amphenol and other copper-connectivity suppliers benefit as copper remains essential inside AI racks, where low-voltage, high-current power…

APH $193B

Jimmy's Journal Oct 29 3 clicks

Undercovered Dozen: Micron, i-80 Gold, Hercules Capital, And More

Undercovered Dozen profiles 12 lesser-covered stocks, including i-80 Gold, Hercules Capital’s 11.5% yield and sector-specific catalysts at…

IAUX $1.3BHTGC $3.2B

The Undercovered Dozen Oct 29 3 clicks

Fortinet (NASDAQ: FTNT) - Do Nothing - Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

Fortinet’s revenue rose 20% to $2.08 billion, but its 15% Q4 growth guide drove a 25% post-earnings stock drop as product, billings and…

FTNT $102B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 28 5 clicks

An Interview with Palantir CTO Shyam Sankar About the AI Religious War

Palantir CTO Shyam Sankar argues AI diffusion and systems engineering matter more than model-building, and explains forward-deployed…

PLTR $472B

Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. Oct 28 1 click

Culper Research vs Cerebras: A Neutral Engineering-Driven View

Cerebras’ alleged electromigration issues hinge on temperature and voltage limits, not total power draw, while thermal variation and…

CBRS $27B

Irrational Analysis Oct 28 3 clicks

CoStar 3Q26 Recap: Cost Decreases Cost of Growth

CoStar’s 14% revenue growth, $37 million in net new bookings and 14% stock drop sharpen doubts that sales and marketing cuts can coexist…

CSGP $12B

Speedwell Research Oct 28 1 click

ORCL Update

Oracle rose about 12% intraday on October 28, 2026 as AI infrastructure and cloud-demand sentiment improved and credit-spread concerns…

ORCL $438B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 28 2 clicks

Group 1 Automotive (GPI): Q3 2026 Earnings

Group 1 Automotive trades at 5.5 times earnings as aging gasoline vehicles and EV repairs sustain service profits; insiders bought while…

GPI $3.1BPAG $14B

Cannibal Stocks Oct 28 1 click

Thursday, October 29, 2026

Fajasy on X

Broken Moats on X

Barbarian Capital on X

SG on X

SG on X

Mikro Kap David on X

Lee Roach on X

Deep Sail Capital on X

Investor Letters

Publications we follow

Newsletters 109

YouTube 4

Blogs 15

Seeking Alpha 67 of 266

X accounts we follow

Investor letters we follow

Sectors