Thursday, October 29, 2026

Another Haircut with Avy the Barber

SoFi’s stock case hinges on interest rates, tangible book value and private-credit loan sales after its $1.5 billion equity offering.

SOFI $22B

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” Oct 29 3 clicks

Oct 29 INTC $348B

Intel Q3 2026: Dead Inside

Irrational Analysis 2 clicks

Oct 29 INTC $348B

INTC Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

Cestrian Capital Research 4 clicks

From X

@irbezek Sep 29

Ian Bezek on X

@PythiaR I think $SRPT is the undisputed king in this regard, at least over a full career. https://t.co/fOpmysh4yC

@negligible_cap Sep 29 1 click

Negligible Capital on X

Is $70B ARR for OpenAI ahead of expectations? I dunno ask $ORCL https://t.co/tNjIjh8Ya1 https://t.co/WBWM3ghxSm

@convequity Sep 29

Convequity on X

As per our SaaS Survival Scorecard series, $DDOG is one of the strongest. The only risk is the model labs making a telemetry agent that feedbacks to coding agents regarding what’s going wrong and needs optimizing in production. If they brought this to market, new application stacks with there observability requirements might go to the model labs instead of DDOG.

@stockgutter Sep 29

SG on X

@everyonehatesp1 I like $EGHT and may join you on the long side soon. However, it needs to grow revenue substantially. Otherwise, its slow but serial dilution will continue to eat away at sales per share. https://t.co/yWYRKPdXTe

@TidefallCapital Sep 29

Trevor Scott on X

72% drawdown on $FICO https://t.co/PUmZEyBrqV

@DOMOCAPITAL Sep 29

DOMO Capital Management, LLC on X

Why a $MNRO sale is likely imminent: The quarter after the Chairman, Solomon,received millions of shares in exchange for giving up his right to veto a sale of the company - the company initiated a strategic review that was in "preliminary stages." Last quarter that changed to "well underway" and the "financial and legal advisors" became "independent financial advisors Bank of America and Solomon Partners." In regards to valuation. The CEO has a comp package that essentially doubles his outstanding shares if the stock hits $25 and triples them if the stock hits $30. An announcement of a sale of $MNRO appears to be imminent (before year end) especially since Icahn just closed on Pep Boys sale to Mavis and a sale price of $MNRO of at least $25 but possibly $30+ seems probable.

@irbezek Sep 29

Ian Bezek on X

I think the $FICO bulls have finally suffered enough. We still don't need any more articles about how it's a great compounder, though. https://t.co/WScp286m47 https://t.co/FBul5wCehN

@calvinblissett Sep 29

Calvin Blissett on X

In your opinion Drew does part of the end buyer most still hold due to the years of data and hence better prepayment risk that a $FICO score allows for? In addition I haven’t looked to much but if it’s clear it’s a VS 740 and a FICO 740 won’t buyers still reflect that differential in price because they aren’t completely the same

Incyte (INCY) Q3 FY 12/26 Earnings Review

Incyte reported Q3 FY26 revenue of $1.56 billion, up 14%, while a $1.23 billion Vega acquisition charge drove a $708 million operating loss.

INCY $24B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 29 2 clicks

Merck and Co. (MRK) Q3 FY 12/26 Earnings Review

Merck reported Q3 FY26 revenue of $18.1 billion, led by $8.6 billion in KEYTRUDA sales and 93% WINREVAIR growth, while raising and…

MRK $369B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 29 2 clicks

CoStar: 3Q26 Business Recap

CoStar’s 3Q26 revenue growth slowed to 14% as bookings fell to $37 million, while cost cuts lifted EBIT margin to 8.8%.

CSGP $13B

Speedwell Memos Oct 29 3 clicks

Ex-Goldman Oil Derivatives Trader: Every Trading Strategy Is Momentum or Mean Reversion

Simran Jeet Singh recounts pricing oil through WTI’s -$37.63 collapse, then explains crypto perpetual funding arbitrage, market making and…

GS $260B

Odds on Open Oct 29 5 clicks

Carpenter Technology (CRS) Q1'27: The Sell-Off Resets the Entry Point

Carpenter Technology fell 25% after Q1 2027 despite revenue rising 9%, EPS up 34%, and commercial aerospace bookings up 25%.

CRS $15B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 29 3 clicks

GE Vernova: 3 Straight Guidance Raises, And Wall Street Still Doubts It

GE Vernova raised guidance for a third straight quarter as Power and Electrification drove backlog growth, while Wind showed an early…

GEV $241B

Melissa Tucker Oct 29 2 clicks

Build-A-Bear (BBW) Part II: The Scion Capital Analyst Tempate and the All Map

Build-A-Bear’s lease overhaul, off-mall expansion and partner-led wholesale growth reshaped a debt-free retailer with $80 million EBITDA,…

BBW $363M

Cassandra Unchained Oct 29 2 clicks

[scuttleslops] GOOGL, AMZN, BRO, KNSL, ODFL, MCO, SPGI

Google’s AI search could improve ad economics, while Amazon protects its retail ad funnel from shopping agents and specialty insurers face…

BRO $23B

scuttleblurb Oct 29 1 click

Earnings Review: GOOG, MSFT, KLAC, LRCX

Alphabet’s $200B 2026 capex and weaker AI-search monetization contrast with Microsoft’s accelerating Copilot and Azure momentum; the review…

KLAC $193B

Rebound Capital Oct 29 1 click

This Week in Special Situations: Mattel, Winnebago, PayPal

Mattel, Winnebago and PayPal lead 37 special situations spanning activist campaigns, buybacks, M&A and strategic alternatives.

MAT $4.4BWGO $903M

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 29 3 clicks

ServiceNow Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

ServiceNow’s Q3 revenue rose 20.5% to $4.11 billion, while non-GAAP EPS missed consensus and fourth-quarter cRPO growth guidance slowed to…

NOW $110B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 29 2 clicks

Alamos Gold: Minor Delays With Island Gold Growth, But There Is Still A Lot Of Value Here

Alamos Gold targets nearly 1 Moz of annual production by decade-end as Island Gold shaft commissioning offsets recent Young-Davidson…

AGI $12B

Bang For The Buck Oct 29 1 click

Why So Much Copper?

Amphenol and other copper-connectivity suppliers benefit as copper remains essential inside AI racks, where low-voltage, high-current power…

APH $196B

Jimmy's Journal Oct 29 3 clicks

Undercovered Dozen: Micron, i-80 Gold, Hercules Capital, And More

Undercovered Dozen profiles 12 lesser-covered stocks, including i-80 Gold, Hercules Capital’s 11.5% yield and sector-specific catalysts at…

IAUX $1.2BHTGC $3.2B

The Undercovered Dozen Oct 29 3 clicks

Fortinet (NASDAQ: FTNT) - Do Nothing - Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

Fortinet’s revenue rose 20% to $2.08 billion, but its 15% Q4 growth guide drove a 25% post-earnings stock drop as product, billings and…

FTNT $94B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 28 5 clicks

An Interview with Palantir CTO Shyam Sankar About the AI Religious War

Palantir CTO Shyam Sankar argues AI diffusion and systems engineering matter more than model-building, and explains forward-deployed…

PLTR $429B

Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. Oct 28 1 click

Culper Research vs Cerebras: A Neutral Engineering-Driven View

Cerebras’ alleged electromigration issues hinge on temperature and voltage limits, not total power draw, while thermal variation and…

CBRS $24B

Irrational Analysis Oct 28 3 clicks

CoStar 3Q26 Recap: Cost Decreases Cost of Growth

CoStar’s 14% revenue growth, $37 million in net new bookings and 14% stock drop sharpen doubts that sales and marketing cuts can coexist…

CSGP $13B

Speedwell Research Oct 28 1 click

ORCL Update

Oracle rose about 12% intraday on October 28, 2026 as AI infrastructure and cloud-demand sentiment improved and credit-spread concerns…

ORCL $383B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 28 2 clicks

Group 1 Automotive (GPI): Q3 2026 Earnings

Group 1 Automotive trades at 5.5 times earnings as aging gasoline vehicles and EV repairs sustain service profits; insiders bought while…

GPI $3.2BPAG $14B

Cannibal Stocks Oct 28 1 click

Thursday, October 29, 2026

Ian Bezek on X

Negligible Capital on X

Convequity on X

SG on X

Trevor Scott on X

DOMO Capital Management, LLC on X

Ian Bezek on X

Calvin Blissett on X

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