Merger Monday & Election Implications
EQT’s $50 billion merger with Range Resources and Ovintiv’s $1.26 billion acquisition of Logan Energy reshape North American oil and gas alongside Brazil and British Columbia election…
EQT’s $50 billion merger with Range Resources and Ovintiv’s $1.26 billion acquisition of Logan Energy reshape North American oil and gas alongside Brazil and British Columbia election…
Who had Hyperscalers accelerating to fastest growth rates since Covid at the same time Anthropic massively decelerates on their bingo card for 3Q26? I think very few 3-6mo ago, but here we are! $MSFT $GOOG $AMZN
The asset base is too large and diversified to ever underwrite loan by loan. The thesis is that the private credit apocalypse is exaggerated, $OWL became the poster child given its reliance on the HNW channel, and the market is assigning far too little value to its non-credit assets and durable fee-generating franchise.
@FrenchV33921 Already there with $CRWV and $IREN IS $NBIS worse?
@kingdomcapadv People aren’t convinced $MNRO gets sold
@sidecarcap This is exactly what I think is happening with $SLM $KSPI and maybe $YB. $KNSL too
@Pembrokestcap But isn’t $OWL reputation, and by extension their ability to raise capital, permanently impaired? Who cares if they own valuable GP stakes and real estate businesses that never tapped the high-net-worth channel? Isn’t the entire franchise structurally compromised?
Shorts that aren't actually that overvalued (a 10+15% grower trading at 30x earnings can be overvalued, but still easily trade to 40-50x). Sizing is very important. Stuff like $CBA, $WDFC, $WMT, $WING have been some of my biggest winners this year with no catalyst.
A Brazilian digital bank with 45 million clients fell 36% after Lula’s election, despite 16.3% ROE, 13 record quarters and a 7.4x earnings…
Truist Financial trades at 10.5x earnings and 1.5x tangible book as new CEO Mike Lyons sells non-core assets and targets 16% to 18% ROTCE.
Intuitive Surgical built da Vinci into a 12,000-system surgical-robotics network performing 10,000 daily procedures, while high-volume…
Build-A-Bear Workshop’s failed pre-made toy line compressed margins, but resilient children’s sales support a $39.39 fair value estimate…
Molina Healthcare and Kinsale Capital’s earnings are reassessed through a long-term lens, emphasizing conviction and detachment during…
Nvidia’s margins, scale and integrated AI systems support a preference over AMD, whose data center CPU business faces Vera competition and…
A four-layer 10-K framework tests revenue timing, receivables, reserves and depreciation against cash flow, using Hertz’s 2012-14…
Netflix’s $51 billion FY26 revenue outlook and global streaming scale underpin its core strategy as management addresses slowing…
CEWE sold its low-margin printing unit and agreed to buy Kodak Moments for €88M, expanding into North America.
Analog Devices generated Q3 revenue of $4.02 billion, up 40% year over year, with AI and data centers contributing under 20% of sales…
DGXX · short
Brazil’s Lula victory leaves Nu and Inter’s thesis intact, while JetBlue heads toward bankruptcy and Mexican airlines pursue a merger.
American Express’s Q3 billed-business growth slowed and cards in force fell sequentially, but management attributes the weakness to…
Getty Images' 2026 Chapter 11 filing is challenged as a prepack after warrant litigation, a failed Shutterstock merger and AI pressure.
Philip Morris posted 7% organic Q3 revenue growth and 10% operating-income growth as 9.1% cigarette pricing offset flat volumes, while IQOS…
Meta posted 26% revenue growth and $9.89 billion in legal charges while funding $35 billion of capex, as AI lifts ad pricing and pressures…
Signet Jewelers cut its share count from 87 million to 38 million since 2012 as short interest reaches 15%, amid a hated diamond market.
Avalo Therapeutics' Abdakibart enters a pivotal hidradenitis suppurativa trial after positive LOTUS data, with monthly dosing and…
Tower Semiconductor’s low-loss photonics chips halve lasers in 1.6T optical modules, supporting a $680 million annualized photonics run…
Super Micro’s 2026 xAI rack orders, GB300 price increases and B300 mix frame its gross-margin outlook.
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