Merger Monday & Election Implications
EQT’s $50 billion merger with Range Resources and Ovintiv’s $1.26 billion acquisition of Logan Energy reshape North American oil and gas alongside Brazil and British Columbia election…
Monday, October 26, 2026
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From X
Brian McGough on X
Is anybody looking at $REAL NOLs? I bet $EBAY is. EBAY has failed in luxury authentication. It NEEDS REAL. They could use $2/share in realized NOLs with the stock trading at $3. Maybe they buy this when it's a $10 stock, but at $3 it's a slam dunk.
Brian McGough on X
$REAL CEO gets an A+ for executing on the model. But a D- for communicating on last night's call. The reality is that supply growth -- THE KEY to GMV/Cash Flow -- is ACCELERATING. Stock getting tagged today in a Quad4 tape on a sloppy guide. But this story 100% on track.
Brian McGough on X
Our call has been to be Short Retail, and Long 'boring' retailers -- things like $BBWI, $GIL, $VVV, $DRVN. Revenue inflecting positive on all three, stocks should grind higher through 2H, while the rest of retail melts down. https://t.co/4HTXOpOsaz
Brian McGough on X
Best Idea Short $FND should literally be down 20% on this print alone. Across the board guide-down and cutting unit growth AGAIN. Winners don't cut unit growth when times are tough, they LEAN-IN and accelerate investment. But in FND's case it's about cash preservation. Bulls are having major thesis drift here.
Brian McGough on X
Nice blowup today on Best Idea Short $ONEW. But this name should literally be down 40%+ on these horrible numbers. Stock has been a nice 50% gain short side. But Crime Dog wants more...
Brian McGough on X
And in other news, John Donahoe got paid $29MILLION for all that value he created last year as CEO of $NKE.
catechwilliams on X
$CVGW USDA crackdown on Mexican avocado corruption significantly erroding import vols (region where $CVGW sources all product). S. America taking share at accelerating rate as customers (ie. $CMG, grocers) shift suppliers. $CVGW sales vol -13% MRQ. Current Q could be a disaster. https://t.co/KJgK8fXbM4
catechwilliams on X
$PLUS Earnings on 8/5, expectations & stock disconnected from reality. Suppliers ($CSCO – 50% of product sales), competitors & customers all reporting sharp sales declines. Non-event PR today re a service they’ve been offering for 3 yrs is pumping stock; suggests mgmt is grasping
Investor Letters
All letters- Polaris Capital Management Third Quarter 2026 DNBBF $50BMUFG $243B
- Langdon Equity Partners Q3 2026 LOECF $726MATS $1.6B
- Halvio Capital Q3 2026 CZBS $126MMCCK $468M
- Bretton Fund 3rd Quarter 2026 MBGL $5.8BSPGI $136B
- GreensKeeper Asset Management Q3 2026 ABANF $234MCFRHF $129B
- Miller Value Partners third quarter 2026 CNXC $1.9BFOSL $451M
- EdgePoint Wealth Management 3rd quarter, 2026 HD $357BROST $75B
- Guinness Global Investors third quarter of 2026 ABBNY $149BAFL $62B
Lula wins, Brazil panics, then rallies. It’s happened every time. A 16% ROE bank at 7.4x earnings and book value, down 36% in a day. Up to 3.8x
A Brazilian digital bank with 45 million clients fell 36% after Lula’s election, despite 16.3% ROE, 13 record quarters and a 7.4x earnings…
Quick Value #335 - Truist Financial (TFC)
Truist Financial trades at 10.5x earnings and 1.5x tangible book as new CEO Mike Lyons sells non-core assets and targets 16% to 18% ROTCE.
Intuitive Surgical: The Long Road to Everyday Surgery
Intuitive Surgical built da Vinci into a 12,000-system surgical-robotics network performing 10,000 daily procedures, while high-volume…
Build-A-Bear Workshop: The Price Assumes Its Worst Quarter Lasts Forever
Build-A-Bear Workshop’s failed pre-made toy line compressed margins, but resilient children’s sales support a $39.39 fair value estimate…
Rafa F. Oliver, CFA 4 clicks
Molina & Kinsale
Molina Healthcare and Kinsale Capital’s earnings are reassessed through a long-term lens, emphasizing conviction and detachment during…
Nvidia Or AMD On This Dip? Pick The Safest
Nvidia’s margins, scale and integrated AI systems support a preference over AMD, whose data center CPU business faces Vera competition and…
Nova Capital 4 clicks
How to Read a 10-K Like a Short Seller
A four-layer 10-K framework tests revenue timing, receivables, reserves and depreciation against cash flow, using Hertz’s 2012-14…
“Our Strategy Is Unchanged”
Netflix’s $51 billion FY26 revenue outlook and global streaming scale underpin its core strategy as management addresses slowing…
The Monday Morning Briefing: Key Hyperscaler Test, as Alphabet, Microsoft, and Amazon Report
CEWE sold its low-margin printing unit and agreed to buy Kodak Moments for €88M, expanding into North America.
Analog Devices: A Diversified Route To AI Growth
Analog Devices generated Q3 revenue of $4.02 billion, up 40% year over year, with AI and data centers contributing under 20% of sales…
Narek Hovhannisyan 7 clicks
DGXX · short Digi Power X INC
WD 361: Brazil, JetBlue Bankruptcy, Mexican Airlines Merger
Brazil’s Lula victory leaves Nu and Inter’s thesis intact, while JetBlue heads toward bankruptcy and Mexican airlines pursue a merger.
American Express: P&L Slowed, Consumer Didn’t
American Express’s Q3 billed-business growth slowed and cards in force fell sequentially, but management attributes the weakness to…
💥Is Getty a Prepack in Name Only?💥
Getty Images' 2026 Chapter 11 filing is challenged as a prepack after warrant litigation, a failed Shutterstock merger and AI pressure.
Philip Morris International: Ho-hum Hrmm?
Philip Morris posted 7% organic Q3 revenue growth and 10% operating-income growth as 9.1% cigarette pricing offset flat volumes, while IQOS…
Meta: A Strong Quarter Behind A $9.9 Billion Legal Charge And $35 Billion Of Capex
Meta posted 26% revenue growth and $9.89 billion in legal charges while funding $35 billion of capex, as AI lifts ad pricing and pressures…
Tim Travis 1 click
Signet Jewelers (SIG): The Next Dillard’s?
Signet Jewelers cut its share count from 87 million to 38 million since 2012 as short interest reaches 15%, amid a hated diamond market.
Avalo Therapeutics: Contrarian 'Buy' Ahead Of Abdakibart's Phase 3
Avalo Therapeutics' Abdakibart enters a pivotal hidradenitis suppurativa trial after positive LOTUS data, with monthly dosing and…
Myriam Alvarez 3 clicks
Tower Semiconductor Deep Dive
Tower Semiconductor’s low-loss photonics chips halve lasers in 1.6T optical modules, supporting a $680 million annualized photonics run…
Expert Call | AI Server OEM: 2026 xAI Orders, GB300 Price Hikes & B300 Margin Gains
Super Micro’s 2026 xAI rack orders, GB300 price increases and B300 mix frame its gross-margin outlook.
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Conor Maguire | Value Situations
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DOMO Capital Management, LLC
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- Wedgewood Partners
- Weitz Investment Management
- Wellington Management — Quarterly Market Review
- WestEnd Capital Management
- Westfield Capital Management
- Westwood — Quality SmallCap Fund
- White Brook Capital
- White Falcon Capital Management
- YCG Investments
Sectors
Ordered by how often our editor reaches for them.
