Merger Monday & Election Implications
EQT’s $50 billion merger with Range Resources and Ovintiv’s $1.26 billion acquisition of Logan Energy reshape North American oil and gas alongside Brazil and British Columbia election…
EQT’s $50 billion merger with Range Resources and Ovintiv’s $1.26 billion acquisition of Logan Energy reshape North American oil and gas alongside Brazil and British Columbia election…
Tough end of the year in merger arb land $BATL, $RVNC, $X, $ACI, $CPRI
$NX Rapidly declining levered (4x) commodity biz. Q1’25 guide -12% sales, mgmt hoping for 2H’25 recovery. End-mkts deteriorating ($OC -20% Q4 guide, $JELD), customer losses, internal controls issues, integrating a large acq, 0 prior M&A experience. +30x P/E on best case 2025 #s
We went Long $BIRK this past weekend. The call was timed ahead of this print, which we thought would be well ahead. But the call is much bigger than beating the qtr. No reason why this won't compound to a double+ over TAIL duration.
Where are all the $RH haters/trolls this morning? <crickets> This stock could be $600 in short order, and it will likely STILL be a long!
Pumped about this Well upgrade of $REAL. We've been long and strong this one since a buck. Don't need to rethink my thesis until it's over $10. Quad 2 will likely take it there...It's got the hot hand right now.
Rich Howe hosted me on his new podcast. We talked about some of the spin-offs I've invested in: $VRTS, $JXN, & $VOYA. https://t.co/6jbvrdaj0a
My quarterly investor letter went out a few weeks ago. I wrote a brief investment thesis on $CBNA, a recent IPO. It is a small bank with an excellent, low-cost deposit franchise trading just above tangible book. DM me your email address to receive a copy of the letter.
@Ron284Ron From obscure micro-cap to S&P 500 constituent. Impressive run, and for me the first time to see this happen. $TPL #noposition #sadly
A Brazilian digital bank with 45 million clients fell 36% after Lula’s election, despite 16.3% ROE, 13 record quarters and a 7.4x earnings…
Truist Financial trades at 10.5x earnings and 1.5x tangible book as new CEO Mike Lyons sells non-core assets and targets 16% to 18% ROTCE.
Intuitive Surgical built da Vinci into a 12,000-system surgical-robotics network performing 10,000 daily procedures, while high-volume…
Build-A-Bear Workshop’s failed pre-made toy line compressed margins, but resilient children’s sales support a $39.39 fair value estimate…
Molina Healthcare and Kinsale Capital’s earnings are reassessed through a long-term lens, emphasizing conviction and detachment during…
Nvidia’s margins, scale and integrated AI systems support a preference over AMD, whose data center CPU business faces Vera competition and…
A four-layer 10-K framework tests revenue timing, receivables, reserves and depreciation against cash flow, using Hertz’s 2012-14…
Netflix’s $51 billion FY26 revenue outlook and global streaming scale underpin its core strategy as management addresses slowing…
CEWE sold its low-margin printing unit and agreed to buy Kodak Moments for €88M, expanding into North America.
Analog Devices generated Q3 revenue of $4.02 billion, up 40% year over year, with AI and data centers contributing under 20% of sales…
WRBY · long Warby Parker's $25 valuation does not capture potential upside from smartglasses alongside its core omnichannel eyewear business.
Brazil’s Lula victory leaves Nu and Inter’s thesis intact, while JetBlue heads toward bankruptcy and Mexican airlines pursue a merger.
American Express’s Q3 billed-business growth slowed and cards in force fell sequentially, but management attributes the weakness to…
Philip Morris posted 7% organic Q3 revenue growth and 10% operating-income growth as 9.1% cigarette pricing offset flat volumes, while IQOS…
Meta posted 26% revenue growth and $9.89 billion in legal charges while funding $35 billion of capex, as AI lifts ad pricing and pressures…
Signet Jewelers cut its share count from 87 million to 38 million since 2012 as short interest reaches 15%, amid a hated diamond market.
Avalo Therapeutics' Abdakibart enters a pivotal hidradenitis suppurativa trial after positive LOTUS data, with monthly dosing and…
Tower Semiconductor’s low-loss photonics chips halve lasers in 1.6T optical modules, supporting a $680 million annualized photonics run…
Super Micro’s 2026 xAI rack orders, GB300 price increases and B300 mix frame its gross-margin outlook.
Six Value Line small caps including Blackbaud, Marqeta, Ranger Energy and Definitive Healthcare trade on net cash, buybacks, low multiples…
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