Monday, October 26, 2026

Merger Monday & Election Implications

EQT’s $50 billion merger with Range Resources and Ovintiv’s $1.26 billion acquisition of Logan Energy reshape North American oil and gas alongside Brazil and British Columbia election…

EQT $34BRRC $13B

Bison Insights Oct 26 7 clicks

Oct 26 IREN $11B

The Data Center Bridge

CV's Substack 16 clicks

Oct 26 AMKR $10B

Amkor Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

Cestrian Capital Research 4 clicks

From X

@ChrisCamillo Sep 24 3 clicks

Chris Camillo on X

@RiduFly how do u follow me and not know i want $AMZN down, not up

@ActAccordingly Sep 24 2 clicks

PAA Research on X

All trading below their 200-day moving averages right now: - Dow transports ($DJT) - Industrials $XLI - Retail $XRT - $GS Right at the 200-day MA - $KRE. $RUT seems destined to test the 200-day. Normal late September action, but it doesn't feel good. I guess we're setting the state for some golden crosses come late October/November or we're going lower. $MAGS carrying the day like 2024 when we dreamed of lower deficits and lower rates....

@negligible_cap Sep 24 2 clicks

Negligible Capital on X

*BLUE ORIGIN RAISES $10B AT $140B VALUATION: WSJ Blue Origin’s first ever outside capital raise. Per WSJ they’re expecting to do $1.4B in revenue this year, and over $30B by 2030. That puts their valuation at 100x this year’s sales. $SPCX is valued at only around 45x FY26 sales estimate. SPCX looking like a steal

@leevalueroach Sep 24

Lee Roach on X

Disclosing a large short position in $META. Thesis: Muse is offered free of charge with no meaningful cap on inference consumption. Meta is absorbing the full cost of compute, memory, and power on every query in pursuit of user growth. We believe this subsidy is unsustainable under adversarial usage. Position: We have deployed 10,000 endpoints running maximally compute-intensive workloads on a continuous basis. Deployment is scaling at 10,000 units per day. Unit economics: Our marginal cost per endpoint is approximately $300, incurred once. Meta's cost per endpoint is recurring and uncapped. We view this as a highly asymmetric trade. Channel checks: Retail sources confirm unusual laptop demand in the region. We are the source of that demand. Risks: Rate limiting, supply constraints at our primary vendor, and rising operating expenses on our side. Outlook: We expect material margin compression, a miss on next quarter's earnings, and elevated data center thermal risk. This is called activist investing.

@negligible_cap Sep 24

Negligible Capital on X

*AKAMAI SHARES SURGE OVER 20% POSTMARKET ON ANTHROPIC PACT $AKAM reported an $11.6B multi-year pact with Anthropic – deal may expand upp to $20B total, and AKAM issues warrants to Anthropic for up to 5% of the company. $AKAM sees $5.5B in capex tied to the pact https://t.co/8a9xf4uJfX

@ChrisCamillo Sep 24 1 click

Chris Camillo on X

if u thought Zuck’s metaverse spending was insane, wait until we see $META’s $AMZN Bedrock and graviton bill to keep Muse running.

@ACapitalLP Sep 24

A Capital on X

$FSLR @ $173 way too cheap. Thx.

@leevalueroach Sep 24 2 clicks

Lee Roach on X

Very superficial analysis on $GME here Jim. Dig into the unit economics and the massive increase in traffic. Who gives a shit about lapping Nintendo Switch 2. How about the recent store openings? Lots of stuff you missed. https://t.co/97nylsGSLC https://t.co/mfS804OMOq

Quick Value #335 - Truist Financial (TFC)

Truist Financial trades at 10.5x earnings and 1.5x tangible book as new CEO Mike Lyons sells non-core assets and targets 16% to 18% ROTCE.

TFC $59B

Value Don't Lie Oct 26 4 clicks

Intuitive Surgical: The Long Road to Everyday Surgery

Intuitive Surgical built da Vinci into a 12,000-system surgical-robotics network performing 10,000 daily procedures, while high-volume…

ISRG $150B

MBI Deep Dives Oct 26 8 clicks

Molina & Kinsale

Molina Healthcare and Kinsale Capital’s earnings are reassessed through a long-term lens, emphasizing conviction and detachment during…

MOH $11B

Bearstone Oct 26 8 clicks

“Our Strategy Is Unchanged”

Netflix’s $51 billion FY26 revenue outlook and global streaming scale underpin its core strategy as management addresses slowing…

NFLX $511B

TSOH Investment Research Oct 26 7 clicks

The Monday Morning Briefing: Key Hyperscaler Test, as Alphabet, Microsoft, and Amazon Report

CEWE sold its low-margin printing unit and agreed to buy Kodak Moments for €88M, expanding into North America.

GOOGL $4TMSFT $3.9T

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 26 11 clicks

Analog Devices: A Diversified Route To AI Growth

Analog Devices generated Q3 revenue of $4.02 billion, up 40% year over year, with AI and data centers contributing under 20% of sales…

ADI $201B

Narek Hovhannisyan Oct 26 7 clicks

WD 361: Brazil, JetBlue Bankruptcy, Mexican Airlines Merger

Brazil’s Lula victory leaves Nu and Inter’s thesis intact, while JetBlue heads toward bankruptcy and Mexican airlines pursue a merger.

NU $60B

Ian’s Insider Corner Oct 25 11 clicks

American Express: P&L Slowed, Consumer Didn’t

American Express’s Q3 billed-business growth slowed and cards in force fell sequentially, but management attributes the weakness to…

AXP $217B

Librarian Capital's Research Library Oct 25 4 clicks

Philip Morris International: Ho-hum Hrmm?

Philip Morris posted 7% organic Q3 revenue growth and 10% operating-income growth as 9.1% cigarette pricing offset flat volumes, while IQOS…

PM $316B

Invariant Oct 25 13 clicks

Meta: A Strong Quarter Behind A $9.9 Billion Legal Charge And $35 Billion Of Capex

Meta posted 26% revenue growth and $9.89 billion in legal charges while funding $35 billion of capex, as AI lifts ad pricing and pressures…

META $1.6T

Tim Travis Oct 25 1 click

DLTR · long

Dollar Tree INC

Dollar Tree is long after divesting Family Dollar, separating its stronger banner from its weaker business.

DLTR $23B

Value Investors Club Jul 27

Tower Semiconductor Deep Dive

Tower Semiconductor’s low-loss photonics chips halve lasers in 1.6T optical modules, supporting a $680 million annualized photonics run…

TSEM $22B

CV's Substack Oct 24 10 clicks

Expert Call | AI Server OEM: 2026 xAI Orders, GB300 Price Hikes & B300 Margin Gains

Super Micro’s 2026 xAI rack orders, GB300 price increases and B300 mix frame its gross-margin outlook.

SMCI $22B

P Equity Research Oct 24 7 clicks

Deep Dive: $ASML

ASML’s €230 million EUV machines underpin advanced AI chip production, with demand booked through 2028 after nearly $9 billion and two…

ASML $610B

Rebound Capital Oct 24 8 clicks

Netflix's Apocalypse Fears Overly Done - Cash Cow With Renewal Prospects

Netflix pairs international engagement, free cash flow and buybacks with plans for double-digit revenue growth, margin expansion and larger…

NFLX $511B

Juxtaposed Ideas Oct 24 8 clicks

Margin Call

Petrobras’s Morpho-1 well revived hopes that Brazil’s Equatorial Margin can become a major new oil frontier after hydrocarbons were…

PBR $81B

Doomberg Oct 24 12 clicks

Applied Materials: Buy The Engineering Powerhouse Behind AI

Applied Materials targets AI-driven demand for advanced logic, DRAM and packaging, supported by services revenue and operating leverage…

AMAT $310B

Dhierin Bechai Oct 24 4 clicks

AI Narrative Switched, Debt Yields Spike | The Weekly Wrap

CoreWeave’s rising debt yields and fading confidence in AI data-center economics frame a weekly review of Meta, Tesla, SpaceX, Netflix,…

CRWV $34BTSLA $1.6T

Steve Eisman Oct 23 29 clicks

Our Views on CoreWeave

CoreWeave's financial statements point to a business model familiar to the authors after a closer review of the AI infrastructure company.

CRWV $34B

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” Oct 23 13 clicks

DigitalOcean's AI Flywheel: Unleashing Massive Growth Potential For Bold Investors

DigitalOcean is pivoting toward affordable AI infrastructure and inference workloads, targeting share from AWS and Google Cloud amid…

DOCN $12B

Star Investments Oct 23 9 clicks

Monday, October 26, 2026

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Negligible Capital on X

Lee Roach on X

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