Sunday, October 25, 2026

WD 361: Brazil, JetBlue Bankruptcy, Mexican Airlines Merger

Brazil’s Lula victory leaves Nu and Inter’s thesis intact, while JetBlue heads toward bankruptcy and Mexican airlines pursue a merger.

JBLU $1.3BNU $58B

Ian’s Insider Corner Oct 25 11 clicks

Oct 25 AXP $218B

American Express: P&L Slowed, Consumer Didn’t

Librarian Capital's Research Library 4 clicks

Oct 25 PM $325B

Philip Morris International: Ho-hum Hrmm?

Invariant 13 clicks

From X

@LaughingH20Cap Oct 31

Laughing Water Capital on X

@yummyCenturyEgg @MGardnerDA1235 @dylan55917 4/x) for tolls, why slightly moving part of 2 of the 3 technologies by a few mhz crazy? $NN has said this would cost "tens of millions." no big deal. Not to mention that half of toll reading is already done by camera an AI. Why use limited spectrum when better tech is available? https://t.co/75Yxn4PCu4

@LaughingH20Cap Oct 31

Laughing Water Capital on X

@yummyCenturyEgg @MGardnerDA1235 @dylan55917 3/x) beyond the pros view, consider for RFID in Europe they get 6 mhz. Japan 6. China 5. Why does US need 28? why aren't the 11 mhz between $NN's proposed 5 up and 10 down enough? not to mention that NN has already demonstrated they don't interfere with part 15

@LaughingH20Cap Oct 31

Laughing Water Capital on X

@yummyCenturyEgg @MGardnerDA1235 @dylan55917 1/x ) $NN it is not me that says the spectrum is considered clean. it is industry pros with decades of experience across engineering and valuation that consider it clean. I am happy to change my mind if you feel your use of ChatGPT should be weighted more heavily than pros.

@LaughingH20Cap Oct 31

Laughing Water Capital on X

@yummyCenturyEgg @MGardnerDA1235 @dylan55917 thank you for the work you did on $NN. I can see why you reached the conclusion you did when only looking at the trees you wanted to see. However, industry pros will tell you that the forest is very different, and that this spectrum is likely to be quite valuable. We will see.

@FriendlyBearSA Oct 31 1 click

The Friendly Bear on X

$BFAM this is quickly becoming Kindercare...a part time day care business with plenty of hair...at a massive premium valuation https://t.co/Qyl0hbcakL https://t.co/lcYfNKtUaI

@HedgeyeRetail Oct 30

Brian McGough on X

This $FND print is a VERY weak quality beat. Revs missed, with an increasingly negative exit rate for the quarter, which carried into 4Q. Pre-opening expenses lower, opex barely grew at an inflationary rate, and a lower tax rate accounted for all the upside.

@HedgeyeRetail Oct 29

Brian McGough on X

$BOOT just took up its unit growth goal from 900 stores to 1,200. This is a joke. The company needs to cap units at 500. It's building a fleet of long-lived assets for a transitory fashion trend. Management at $BOOT is delusional... CEO left for good reason.

@HedgeyeRetail Oct 29

Brian McGough on X

These $CVNA numbers suggest profitability is unraveling. Units looked good, in line w alt data...revenue accel, but massive EBITDA deceleration. Something ain't right here...

Signet Jewelers (SIG): The Next Dillard’s?

Signet Jewelers cut its share count from 87 million to 38 million since 2012 as short interest reaches 15%, amid a hated diamond market.

SIG $4.5B

Cannibal Stocks Oct 25 20 clicks

Avalo Therapeutics: Contrarian 'Buy' Ahead Of Abdakibart's Phase 3

Avalo Therapeutics' Abdakibart enters a pivotal hidradenitis suppurativa trial after positive LOTUS data, with monthly dosing and…

AVTX $379M

Myriam Alvarez Oct 25 3 clicks

Tower Semiconductor Deep Dive

Tower Semiconductor’s low-loss photonics chips halve lasers in 1.6T optical modules, supporting a $680 million annualized photonics run…

TSEM $15B

CV's Substack Oct 24 10 clicks

Expert Call | AI Server OEM: 2026 xAI Orders, GB300 Price Hikes & B300 Margin Gains

Super Micro’s 2026 xAI rack orders, GB300 price increases and B300 mix frame its gross-margin outlook.

SMCI $17B

P Equity Research Oct 24 8 clicks

I went through all 142 companies in Value Line this morning. Here are the 6 that made it

Six Value Line small caps including Blackbaud, Marqeta, Ranger Energy and Definitive Healthcare trade on net cash, buybacks, low multiples…

BLKB $2.4BMQ $1.9B

Calvin Blissett Oct 24 81 clicks

Deep Dive: $ASML

ASML’s €230 million EUV machines underpin advanced AI chip production, with demand booked through 2028 after nearly $9 billion and two…

ASML $575B

Rebound Capital Oct 24 9 clicks

Netflix's Apocalypse Fears Overly Done - Cash Cow With Renewal Prospects

Netflix pairs international engagement, free cash flow and buybacks with plans for double-digit revenue growth, margin expansion and larger…

NFLX $511B

Juxtaposed Ideas Oct 24 12 clicks

Margin Call

Petrobras’s Morpho-1 well revived hopes that Brazil’s Equatorial Margin can become a major new oil frontier after hydrocarbons were…

PBR $76B

Doomberg Oct 24 13 clicks

Applied Materials: Buy The Engineering Powerhouse Behind AI

Applied Materials targets AI-driven demand for advanced logic, DRAM and packaging, supported by services revenue and operating leverage…

AMAT $260B

Dhierin Bechai Oct 24 5 clicks

AI Narrative Switched, Debt Yields Spike | The Weekly Wrap

CoreWeave’s rising debt yields and fading confidence in AI data-center economics frame a weekly review of Meta, Tesla, SpaceX, Netflix,…

CRWV $27BTSLA $1.5T

Steve Eisman Oct 23 29 clicks

JBFCY · long

Jollibee Foods CORP

Jollibee Foods trades at PHP 144, about 56% below its January 2019 high, framing a long thesis on the Philippine restaurant operator.

JBFCY $2.6B

Value Investors Club Jul 27 1 click

Ares Capital: This 10%+ Yield Is An Undervalued Buy

Ares Capital’s 10%+ yield is supported by a $30.5 billion portfolio with over 70% floating-rate debt, though dividend coverage remains…

ARCC $14B

Jonathan Weber Oct 24 6 clicks

Our Views on CoreWeave

CoreWeave's financial statements point to a business model familiar to the authors after a closer review of the AI infrastructure company.

CRWV $27B

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” Oct 23 13 clicks

DigitalOcean's AI Flywheel: Unleashing Massive Growth Potential For Bold Investors

DigitalOcean is pivoting toward affordable AI infrastructure and inference workloads, targeting share from AWS and Google Cloud amid…

DOCN $11B

Star Investments Oct 23 9 clicks

Bloom Energy (NYSE: BE) Q3 FY12/26 Earnings - Revenue Up 138% On The Datacenter Power Race

Bloom Energy’s Q3 FY26 revenue rose 138% to $1.24 billion as datacenter power orders lifted operating margin to 18%; capex drove $181…

BE $63B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 23 10 clicks

Philip Morris: Taking the Fight to the U.S.

Philip Morris reported Q3 growth across heated tobacco, combustibles and e-vapor in Europe while gaining U.S. nicotine-pouch share.

PM $325B

Librarian Capital's Research Library Oct 23 5 clicks

Amazon’s Trainium Takes a Strike at the Training King

Amazon’s Trainium3 adds native PyTorch training support, targeting CUDA-trained researchers with standard APIs, eager mode and…

AMZN $2.9T

SemiAnalysis Oct 23 8 clicks

Alphabet: Gemini 4 Argon Is Coming For ChatGPT's Lunch

Alphabet's Gemini 4 Argon aims to undercut rival AI models using proprietary TPUs, while Android, Siri and Google Cloud distribution…

GOOGL $3.5T

Dustin Quasney Oct 23 3 clicks

Capital Wars

CoreWeave’s $35 billion to $39 billion 2026 spending plan relies on debt as unsecured yields reach 15%, making its GPU cloud expansion a…

CRWV $27B

Net Interest Oct 23 12 clicks

Spotify 3Q’26: Built for the Background

Spotify's third-quarter results met or exceeded guidance, with 306 million Premium subscribers and €672 million operating income, while…

SPOT $129B

MBI Deep Dives Oct 23 4 clicks

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Sunday, October 25, 2026

Laughing Water Capital on X

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