Sunday, October 25, 2026

WD 361: Brazil, JetBlue Bankruptcy, Mexican Airlines Merger

Brazil’s Lula victory leaves Nu and Inter’s thesis intact, while JetBlue heads toward bankruptcy and Mexican airlines pursue a merger.

NU $60B

Ian’s Insider Corner Oct 25 11 clicks

Oct 25 AXP $211B

American Express: P&L Slowed, Consumer Didn’t

Librarian Capital's Research Library 3 clicks

Oct 25 PM $316B

Philip Morris International: Ho-hum Hrmm?

Invariant 13 clicks

From X

@LaughingH20Cap Sep 24

Laughing Water Capital on X

@darkstarsats fair point - the difference however is that my statement is provably correct (even you agree that low band makes mid worth more), & we know that FCC supports $NN b/c of the draft NPRM. ipso facto there is in fact a readthrough for $NN, despite your declaration otherwise.

@valuedontlie Sep 24

Colin King on X

$PPLI withdraws bid for $MGM Shares of MGM down 11% today (essentially back to where they were before PPLI buyout proposal) Stock trades at less than 10x FCF and PPLI still owns ~27% https://t.co/I9RiOvWkri

@calvinblissett Sep 24 2 clicks

Calvin Blissett on X

Given today’s $ZIM news that the improved offer has been submitted, likely delaying closing of the same $35 acquisition to 1H 2027 I think it is even more relevant to understand why this is a good thing, which I explain in the attached article as well as backing it up with some facts and figures

@LaughingH20Cap Sep 24

Laughing Water Capital on X

@darkstarsats 7/x $NN) happy to have flaws in my logic exposed, but the real point is that the nuance is such that making declarative statements without working through the logic chain is IMHO not additive to the debate.

@LaughingH20Cap Sep 24

Laughing Water Capital on X

@darkstarsats 6/x $NN) thus, as you agreed, mid-band is more valuable if it has low-band to support it. Thus, the FCC is incentivized to support $NN, which we know they are doing b/c they issued a draft NPRM, which is admittedly stuck in OIRA review. For now.

@LaughingH20Cap Sep 24

Laughing Water Capital on X

@darkstarsats 5/x $NN) This is what customers actually care about. You can get around this by building more towers and hanging more radios and using midband for control, but that is less efficient and more expensive.

@LaughingH20Cap Sep 24

Laughing Water Capital on X

@darkstarsats 4/x $NN) Low band carries the control signal that a tells a phone what to do. When to transmit data. When to switch towers etc. B/c low band travels farther than mid band, low band is needed to stitch together the network and make sure calls are not dropped / garbled etc.

@LaughingH20Cap Sep 24

Laughing Water Capital on X

@darkstarsats 3/x $NN) so while you are calling $NN's 15 MHz of low a "small slice" in reality it is not much smaller than what $T bought, and it could be multiples of what they have AVAILABLE

Signet Jewelers (SIG): The Next Dillard’s?

Signet Jewelers cut its share count from 87 million to 38 million since 2012 as short interest reaches 15%, amid a hated diamond market.

SIG $4.4B

Cannibal Stocks Oct 25 15 clicks

Tower Semiconductor Deep Dive

Tower Semiconductor’s low-loss photonics chips halve lasers in 1.6T optical modules, supporting a $680 million annualized photonics run…

TSEM $22B

CV's Substack Oct 24 10 clicks

Expert Call | AI Server OEM: 2026 xAI Orders, GB300 Price Hikes & B300 Margin Gains

Super Micro’s 2026 xAI rack orders, GB300 price increases and B300 mix frame its gross-margin outlook.

SMCI $23B

P Equity Research Oct 24 7 clicks

I went through all 142 companies in Value Line this morning. Here are the 6 that made it

Six Value Line small caps including Blackbaud, Marqeta, Ranger Energy and Definitive Healthcare trade on net cash, buybacks, low multiples…

BLKB $2.5B

Calvin Blissett Oct 24 79 clicks

Ares Capital: This 10%+ Yield Is An Undervalued Buy

Ares Capital’s 10%+ yield is supported by a $30.5 billion portfolio with over 70% floating-rate debt, though dividend coverage remains…

ARCC $13B

Jonathan Weber Oct 24 6 clicks

Margin Call

Petrobras’s Morpho-1 well revived hopes that Brazil’s Equatorial Margin can become a major new oil frontier after hydrocarbons were…

PBR $81B

Doomberg Oct 24 12 clicks

Applied Materials: Buy The Engineering Powerhouse Behind AI

Applied Materials targets AI-driven demand for advanced logic, DRAM and packaging, supported by services revenue and operating leverage…

AMAT $314B

Dhierin Bechai Oct 24 4 clicks

AI Narrative Switched, Debt Yields Spike | The Weekly Wrap

CoreWeave’s rising debt yields and fading confidence in AI data-center economics frame a weekly review of Meta, Tesla, SpaceX, Netflix,…

CRWV $34B

Steve Eisman Oct 23 29 clicks

Our Views on CoreWeave

CoreWeave's financial statements point to a business model familiar to the authors after a closer review of the AI infrastructure company.

CRWV $34B

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” Oct 23 12 clicks

DigitalOcean's AI Flywheel: Unleashing Massive Growth Potential For Bold Investors

DigitalOcean is pivoting toward affordable AI infrastructure and inference workloads, targeting share from AWS and Google Cloud amid…

DOCN $12B

Star Investments Oct 23 9 clicks

JBFCY · long

Jollibee Foods CORP

Jollibee Foods trades at PHP 144, about 56% below its January 2019 high, framing a long thesis on the Philippine restaurant operator.

JBFCY $2.5B

Value Investors Club Jul 27 1 click

SLB Stock: Upgrading Back To A Buy As The Earnings Recovery Takes Shape

SLB’s Q3 beats, sequential margin gains and roughly $10 billion Q4 revenue guide support an earnings recovery despite flat Middle East…

SLB $80B

Steven Fiorillo Oct 24 3 clicks

Bloom Energy (NYSE: BE) Q3 FY12/26 Earnings - Revenue Up 138% On The Datacenter Power Race

Bloom Energy’s Q3 FY26 revenue rose 138% to $1.24 billion as datacenter power orders lifted operating margin to 18%; capex drove $181…

BE $67B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 23 9 clicks

Philip Morris: Taking the Fight to the U.S.

Philip Morris reported Q3 growth across heated tobacco, combustibles and e-vapor in Europe while gaining U.S. nicotine-pouch share.

PM $316B

Librarian Capital's Research Library Oct 23 4 clicks

Capital Wars

CoreWeave’s $35 billion to $39 billion 2026 spending plan relies on debt as unsecured yields reach 15%, making its GPU cloud expansion a…

CRWV $34B

Net Interest Oct 23 12 clicks

Spotify 3Q’26: Built for the Background

Spotify's third-quarter results met or exceeded guidance, with 306 million Premium subscribers and €672 million operating income, while…

SPOT $114B

MBI Deep Dives Oct 23 3 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/23/2026)

TSOH Weekly Roundup covers Ally’s improving credit and capital returns, Pepsi’s weak beverage brands, and Match Group’s plan to revive…

ALLY $12BMTCH $10B

TSOH Investment Research Oct 23 4 clicks

Texas Instruments (NASDAQ: TXN) Stock Rating: HOLD After Q3 FY12/26 Earnings

Texas Instruments reported Q3 revenue of $6.06 billion, up 28%, with 47% operating margin and Q4 guidance above seasonal norms; Cestrian…

TXN $283B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 23 7 clicks

Tempus AI: Moderna's New Cancer Vaccine Partner Is The Pick Of The AI Biotech Bunch

Tempus AI targets $1.6 billion of 2026 revenue through AI diagnostics, data licensing and cancer-testing partnerships, with Personalis…

TEM $13BMRNA $83B

Edmund Ingham Oct 23 6 clicks

Putting bear cases to rest

Medpace authorized $1 billion of buybacks through 2028 after Q3 revenue rose 8.5% to $716 million; service revenue grew roughly 12% as…

MEDP $19B

Best Anchor Stocks Oct 23 15 clicks

Sunday, October 25, 2026

Laughing Water Capital on X

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