A Capital on X
Starting to think $MGM is absurdly cheap here at ~$29… Market extrapolating a terrible Vegas quarter (EBITDAR -12%, RevPAR -8%) while largely ignoring Macau share gains, BetMGM profitability and Osaka optionality. More interestingly, the buyback window reopens 10/30 with $1.4bn remaining (~20% of market cap). Management willing to take leverage from ~4x to 4.5–5x. Vegas weakness is real, but the marginal buyer is potentially the company itself, with substantial firepower at precisely the wrong price for sellers. Note: Barry Diller ($PPLI) was willing to pay $48/share for this exact same company a few months ago… Thoughts welcome.
