Monday, October 19, 2026

WD #360: New Trade, Recent Market Action, Brazil/Inter Update

Atlassian is sold after a 130% gain, while iShares MSCI Indonesia ETF is added following the market plunge; the update also assesses the AI-stock selloff and CoreWeave’s collapse.

TEAM $56B

Ian’s Insider Corner Oct 19 14 clicks

Oct 19 NOC $73B

Northrop Grumman (NYSE: NOC) Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Preview - Accumulate Rating, Zones And Stop Inside

Cestrian Capital Research 4 clicks

Oct 19 APP $92B

AppLovin Deep Dive

Speedwell Memos 69 clicks

From X

@stockgutter Aug 27 1 click

SG on X

$MRNA offering $2B of Rule 144 convertible notes but says conversion price tbd. No 8-K so far. Great governance, guys. Keep up the insider sales. https://t.co/JK9PyjstS4

@pennycheck Aug 27 2 clicks

⚽️📡 on X

$SRAD already has deep partnership with Kalshi now adds poly Every other competitor will likely have to follow suit to keep up https://t.co/4zOwxX7fKZ

@valuedontlie Aug 27

Colin King on X

Mean reversion idea: $CALM 1) consistently trades at ~2x BV vs. ~1.5x today 2) consistent BV compounding (~18% CAGR since '06) 3) mid-teens ROEs justify 2x BV 4) net cash >30% BV / >20% market cap (fortress B/S) Cyclical but very short cycle time (supply driven) I own some

@negligible_cap Aug 27

Negligible Capital on X

70% FY28 revenue growth is incredible, but if you were an $NVDA bear before that call, it’s very unlikely that view has changed (sure maybe funding shorts get covered) The bear argument is more intact than ever. Nvidia’s demand, while very robust, still comes in part from largely unprofitable companies/labs which are of course dependent on Nvidia for financing Jensen addressed these concerns directly, saying "frontier labs sales are skyrocketing, their margins are fantastic…they're generating profitable tokens…they're only limited by the amount of compute” The bear argument isn't going to be solved by fantastic numbers in any given quarter, it will take lots of time to be proven right or wrong

@leevalueroach Aug 27 1 click

Lee Roach on X

Hey @elonmusk. Can you DM me $SPCX next quarter EPS? I’m trying to forecast the company in my DCF model. I promise to not trade on this information.

@OddDiligence Aug 26

Odd Diligence on X

“SoftBank in Talks to Buy Majority Stake in Humanoid Maker 1X at $6 Billion Valuation” SoftBank also has position in Agility Robotics $CCXI … maybe throw them some more $$ someday? https://t.co/kC4EZPENaD

@pennycheck Aug 26 1 click

⚽️📡 on X

$OKTA and $CRWD confirmed the agentic inflection has officially begun https://t.co/p9lToGNBvH

@RagingVentures Aug 26

Raging Capital Ventures on X

CEO of $PANW https://t.co/GtFSdnj25W

Investor Letters

All letters

Meta’s GEM, Part 2: Finding the Scaling Law

Meta’s GEM trains smaller ad-ranking models across its platforms, with Kunlun showing performance scaling predictably as compute rises.

META $1.8T

MBI Deep Dives Oct 19 10 clicks

LXS.DE: a 2028 sale it can force

Lanxess can force Advent to buy at least half its Envalior stake in April 2028, potentially raising about €745 million to reduce net debt.

LPTH $492M

Trade Ideas Flow Oct 19 21 clicks

Sell Eagle Point Credit Now - Match The Loss With Portfolio Gains To Lower Income Taxes

Eagle Point Credit's NAV is down 25% YTD and shares nearly 50%, while its expense ratio climbed to 9.21% despite a 25% yield.

ECC $367M

Anthony Cataldo Oct 19 5 clicks

The Agentic AI Roadmap for SaaS

SaaS companies including Salesforce, ServiceNow, CrowdStrike, Synopsys and Veeva are ranked by agentic AI progress, from pilots to…

CRM $199BCRWD $245B

Jimmy's Journal Oct 19 27 clicks

Build-A-Bear: A Narrower Path

Build-A-Bear's push into prestuffed toys and broader retail distribution tests brand stretchability, but recent results warrant caution.

BBW $303M

TSOH Investment Research Oct 19 18 clicks

The Monday Morning Briefing: Meta, Tesla, Netflix, P&G on Deck

Lennar’s land-bank costs pressure homebuilding margins, while Flowers Foods weighs a Tastykake sale after falling branded-bread share,…

LEN $20BFLO $1.3B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 19 36 clicks

LendingTree (NASDAQ: $TREE) – A Cyclical Comeback Story Priced as if the Cycle Never Turns

LendingTree derives roughly two-thirds of revenue from insurance and trades near 4 times expected adjusted earnings despite record revenue,…

TREE $373M

Substack von Philipp Oct 19 10 clicks

Exelon: Shelter From The Storm And Nice Yield As Utilities Catch A Bid

EXC $45B

Michael Fitzsimmons Oct 19 4 clicks

Our Q3 2026 Update: Our Companies (OXY, RIG, VAL)

Occidental Petroleum’s debt should fall further after Q3 oil prices averaged $85 per barrel WTI and $91 Brent.

OXY $63BRIG $6.5B

Open Insights Oct 19 15 clicks

40 Stock Pitches (12th-18th October) 🖨️

Elutia’s antibiotic-eluting surgical matrices target breast-surgery infections, with Minot Light valuing $100 million in sales at a…

ELUT $36M

Capital Employed Oct 19 71 clicks

SKIN · long

Skinhealth Systems INC

SkinHealth Systems owns a dominant professional skincare consumables franchise but trades at roughly $115 million market cap and $255…

SKIN $73M

Value Investors Club Jul 21 3 clicks

Undercovered Dozen: Hess Midstream, Iovance Biotherapeutics, Netlist, And More

Hess Midstream, Iovance Biotherapeutics, Netlist and nine other lesser-covered stocks make this week’s Undercovered Dozen.

HESM $6.2BIOVA $6.6B

The Undercovered Dozen Oct 18 16 clicks

Zscaler CEO and CFO: We have the opportunity of a lifetime

Zscaler CEO Jay Chaudhry and CFO Kevin Rubin discuss the cybersecurity company’s growth prospects and valuation.

ZS $38B

The Technology Letter Oct 18 7 clicks

Do You Trust Apple?

Apple’s HomeView strategy ties Siri, privacy and smart-home control to consumer trust in its vision for the home.

AAPL $5T

Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. Oct 18 3 clicks

What Lies Beneath: The Developer Building a Data Center on a Former Army Dump Laced With Munitions and Carcinogens

Digital Realty paid $120 million for Atlanta-area parcels including a former Army dump with buried carcinogens and military ordnance.

DLR $60B

Hunterbrook Oct 18 23 clicks

Wells Fargo Earnings Aren't Inspiring Enough, But A 7% Income Opportunity Is

Wells Fargo’s Q3 EPS beat and $12.5 billion net interest income failed to move shares, while WFC.PZ preferreds yield 7.10%.

WFC $250B

Jeremy LaKosh Oct 18 7 clicks

Semtech Analyst Day Review

Semtech raised Q3 guidance and targets $3.2 billion of fiscal 2030 revenue, excluding upside from its AI data-center optical and copper…

SMTC $13B

CV's Substack Oct 17 14 clicks

DigitalOcean CEO: ‘We are not going to be extraordinarily leveraged like some others’

DigitalOcean’s CEO says the cloud company will not take on extraordinary leverage to fund its AI push.

DOCN $12B

The Technology Letter Oct 17 27 clicks

Expert Call | Q3 2026 Optical Components Market Dynamics, Vendor Market Share, & 2027 Growth Outlook

Optical-component vendor call covers 800G and 1.6T demand, AI cluster optical density, market share, pricing and 2027 growth for Coherent,…

COHR $46BLITE $75B

P Equity Research Oct 17 14 clicks

PayPal: Market's Extreme Mispricing Is Starting To Unwind

PayPal’s 10.3x forward earnings multiple and more than $6 billion in free cash flow frame a turnaround driven by cost cuts, Venmo and BNPL…

PYPL $48B

JR Research Oct 17 12 clicks

Monday, October 19, 2026

SG on X

⚽️📡 on X

Colin King on X

Negligible Capital on X

Lee Roach on X

Odd Diligence on X

⚽️📡 on X

Raging Capital Ventures on X

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