Monday, October 19, 2026

WD #360: New Trade, Recent Market Action, Brazil/Inter Update

Atlassian is sold after a 130% gain, while iShares MSCI Indonesia ETF is added following the market plunge; the update also assesses the AI-stock selloff and CoreWeave’s collapse.

TEAM $56B

Ian’s Insider Corner Oct 19 14 clicks

Oct 19 NOC $73B

Northrop Grumman (NYSE: NOC) Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Preview - Accumulate Rating, Zones And Stop Inside

Cestrian Capital Research 4 clicks

Oct 19 APP $92B

AppLovin Deep Dive

Speedwell Memos 66 clicks

From X

@DeepSailCapital Oct 19

Deep Sail Capital on X

$ARKK is an excellent alternative hedge short IMO to QQQ. A bit of timing to avoid the massive bubbles but way more follow through to the downside. https://t.co/jyUYhlMit4

@DeepSailCapital Oct 19 5 clicks

Deep Sail Capital on X

$ARKK vs $SPY vs $QQQ by year. https://t.co/XEaaaCTQvL

@Mr_Neutral_Man Oct 19 2 clicks

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

@Menckenist @rippercatcher Very interesting. What's the typical mix of a $WD loan? Is it moslty fixed rate with 5-7 year maturity? How much of it is the type that finance the S2 and Tide capital where deals were done at 3% cap with floating rate debt greatly appreciate this!

@BarbarianCap Oct 19

Barbarian Capital on X

Silgan to Combine With Trivium Packaging in $3.4 Billion Deal $SLGN https://t.co/XWQSkZuUO5

@BarbarianCap Oct 19

Barbarian Capital on X

Germany’s Merck to Buy U.K. Biotech Silence Therapeutics for $1.3 Billion $SLN https://t.co/FXr0mtRMow

@BarbarianCap Oct 19 2 clicks

Barbarian Capital on X

H.B. Fuller Rejects Ancora’s Latest Acquisition Bid, Plans to Consider Selling Noncore Businesses $FUL https://t.co/L8b85qb666

@BarbarianCap Oct 19 6 clicks

Barbarian Capital on X

Unilever Agrees to Sell Welly Bandage Business to Private-Equity Firm $UL https://t.co/yFW742mFrr

@StableBread Oct 19 1 click

Fajasy on X

From June 1 to October 16, Boost Run $BRUN fell 77.3%, vs. 37.4-58.7% for CoreWeave $CRWV, Nebius $NBIS, and $IREN. That drop in AI infra stocks is tied to to rising bets on another Fed rate hike. Higher rates hurt GPU clouds in two ways, since they (1) raise the cost of the debt that pays for their GPUs and (2) lower what investors will pay today for profits that arrive years later. But all three peers kept or raised their 2026 targets: → $CRWV: Raised its 2026 revenue guidance to $12.4-13.2B on its Q2 call. → $IREN: Raised its year-end ARR target to more than $4B on July 20. → $NBIS: Reaffirmed its 2026 guidance with its Q2 results. The problem is that lenders are charging more now. CoreWeave’s 9.625% notes due 2032 yielded 14.74% on October 16, up from 13.19% on October 1, meaning CoreWeave would likely pay ~15%/year to borrow the same way today. So the selloff came from how investors now see the cost of funding the demand for GPU clouds, not from the demand itself.

Investor Letters

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Meta’s GEM, Part 2: Finding the Scaling Law

Meta’s GEM trains smaller ad-ranking models across its platforms, with Kunlun showing performance scaling predictably as compute rises.

META $1.8T

MBI Deep Dives Oct 19 10 clicks

LXS.DE: a 2028 sale it can force

Lanxess can force Advent to buy at least half its Envalior stake in April 2028, potentially raising about €745 million to reduce net debt.

LPTH $525M

Trade Ideas Flow Oct 19 21 clicks

Sell Eagle Point Credit Now - Match The Loss With Portfolio Gains To Lower Income Taxes

Eagle Point Credit's NAV is down 25% YTD and shares nearly 50%, while its expense ratio climbed to 9.21% despite a 25% yield.

ECC $367M

Anthony Cataldo Oct 19 5 clicks

The Agentic AI Roadmap for SaaS

SaaS companies including Salesforce, ServiceNow, CrowdStrike, Synopsys and Veeva are ranked by agentic AI progress, from pilots to…

CRM $199BCRWD $233B

Jimmy's Journal Oct 19 27 clicks

Build-A-Bear: A Narrower Path

Build-A-Bear's push into prestuffed toys and broader retail distribution tests brand stretchability, but recent results warrant caution.

BBW $303M

TSOH Investment Research Oct 19 18 clicks

The Monday Morning Briefing: Meta, Tesla, Netflix, P&G on Deck

Lennar’s land-bank costs pressure homebuilding margins, while Flowers Foods weighs a Tastykake sale after falling branded-bread share,…

LEN $18BFLO $1.3B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 19 34 clicks

LendingTree (NASDAQ: $TREE) – A Cyclical Comeback Story Priced as if the Cycle Never Turns

LendingTree derives roughly two-thirds of revenue from insurance and trades near 4 times expected adjusted earnings despite record revenue,…

TREE $373M

Substack von Philipp Oct 19 10 clicks

Exelon: Shelter From The Storm And Nice Yield As Utilities Catch A Bid

EXC $45B

Michael Fitzsimmons Oct 19 4 clicks

Our Q3 2026 Update: Our Companies (OXY, RIG, VAL)

Occidental Petroleum’s debt should fall further after Q3 oil prices averaged $85 per barrel WTI and $91 Brent.

OXY $63BRIG $6.5B

Open Insights Oct 19 15 clicks

40 Stock Pitches (12th-18th October) 🖨️

Elutia’s antibiotic-eluting surgical matrices target breast-surgery infections, with Minot Light valuing $100 million in sales at a…

ELUT $36M

Capital Employed Oct 19 69 clicks

VISL · long

Vislink Technologies INC

Vislink Technologies trades near cash after turning EBITDA-positive through a defense communications pivot under DoD Trusted Investor…

VISL $9.8M

Value Investors Club May 6 1 click

A Modern Day Delta Duck Club?

Otto Energy trades below cash while winding down Gulf of Mexico oil interests, with a proposed AUD 40M tax-free capital return delayed…

OTTEF $25M

Iggy on Investing Newsletter Apr 10

Brookfield Corp. - Get a Buck for Fifty Cents

Brookfield Corp. trades at 13.2x 2025 distributable earnings and $45.97 against management’s $91.76 sum-of-the-parts Plan Value, discounted…

BN $84B

310 Value’s Newsletter Apr 10 3 clicks

Comeback Season: Evolv Eyes Positive FCF, 40% ARR Growth, and Reputational Revival in '25 ($EVLV)

Evolv ($EVLV) targets positive free cash flow and 40% ARR growth in 2025 as delayed filings, an FTC resolution, and leadership changes seek…

EVLV $801M

Multibagger Monitor Apr 7 8 clicks

FrontView REIT (NYSE: FVR)

FrontView REIT’s 35% selloff after tenant credit problems and a lock-up expiry leaves its net-lease portfolio at a 9.5% cap rate and 10.5x…

FVR $426MFCPT $2.7B

Real Assets, Real Value Apr 7

ILMN: Activism! Part Deux

Illumina appointed activist Keith Meister to its board as an SEC investigation into the Grail acquisition raises questions over 122.5…

ILMN $40BGRAL $5.9B

Nongaap Investing Apr 2

Townsquare Media ($TSQ) One Hour Analysis: High Yielding Radio Company with Differentiated Digital Strategy Provides Stability and Opportunity for Investors

Townsquare Media generates 55% of revenue from digital advertising and marketing services while refinancing its 2026 debt into a 2030 term…

TSQ $68M

Investing 501 Mar 26

[P] ILMN: Activist In, Chairman Out

Illumina adds activist Keith Meister to its board as Chairman Stephan Macmillan resigns.

ILMN $40B

Nongaap Investing Mar 26

Berkshire Hathaway’s 2025 Proxy Statement

Berkshire Hathaway’s 2025 proxy introduces an age-80 director limit, forcing Ronald Olson’s retirement while exempting Warren Buffett and…

BRK.A $1.2T

The Rational Walk Mar 15

Buffett & Munger Unscripted

Buffett & Munger Unscripted organizes three decades of Berkshire annual-meeting commentary on investing, governance and executive pay.

BRK.A $1.2T

The Rational Walk Mar 14

Monday, October 19, 2026

Deep Sail Capital on X

Deep Sail Capital on X

Mr Neutral Man aka "Howard Marks of REITs” on X

Barbarian Capital on X

Barbarian Capital on X

Barbarian Capital on X

Barbarian Capital on X

Fajasy on X

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