Monday, October 19, 2026

WD #360: New Trade, Recent Market Action, Brazil/Inter Update

Atlassian is sold after a 130% gain, while iShares MSCI Indonesia ETF is added following the market plunge; the update also assesses the AI-stock selloff and CoreWeave’s collapse.

TEAM $56B

Ian’s Insider Corner Oct 19 14 clicks

Oct 19 NOC $73B

Northrop Grumman (NYSE: NOC) Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Preview - Accumulate Rating, Zones And Stop Inside

Cestrian Capital Research 4 clicks

Oct 19 APP $92B

AppLovin Deep Dive

Speedwell Memos 69 clicks

From X

@negligible_cap Sep 3

Negligible Capital on X

$LULU comp sales fell 9% compared to last year. Jesus https://t.co/HkUK6ym4oR

@HedgeyeRetail Sep 3

Brian McGough on X

$LULU...what a joke. We've been short since $470. And anyone listening to #TheCall this week heard @KeithMcCullough and I going back and forth about how The Signal and the Fundamentals weakening were aligning in a way that got this stock on our Top 5 Most actionable shorts earlier this week. #boom

@irbezek Sep 3 1 click

Ian Bezek on X

@burningbushcap $CIB is a quarter of the Colombia ETF, $AVAL is 4%. Need folks to go stock-picking in individual names, right now, people are mostly buying the index.

@KEDM_COM Sep 3

KEDM.com on X

Icon $ICLR finally published their restated financials. The revenue had been overstated by roughly 1% in 2024 and 2025. With shares up 40 percent since we added this name, we're declaring victory and will remove this from the monitor. We doubt AI will fully disrupt the others; this narrative will probably pressure the multiple going forward.

@ChrisCamillo Sep 3 2 clicks

Chris Camillo on X

@SkillJoy_00 how many GTA VI launch month, quarter, yr 1 units and what eventual online ARPU do you think the market is currently pricing in to $TTWO ? And how does your analysis differ from those expectations?

@DeepSailCapital Sep 3 1 click

Deep Sail Capital on X

Anti Software trade. Short $OKTA and $TWLO. Both are up 80-120% this year. If software trends down they both will get crushed 30%.

@DeepSailCapital Sep 3

Deep Sail Capital on X

$CRDO It’s pretty rare you find such a high moat business with massive growth that has been managed so well to keep extending their growth pathways. Three years ago they were just copper, now much more. The optics position: Credo isn’t just an AEC (copper) story anymore — they now own the full AI interconnect stack: • Optical DSPs (record Q1 revenue, 50G/100G-per-lane shipping now, 1.6T ramping later this FY) • ZeroFlap Optics • Silicon Photonics PICs (first revenue post-DustPhotonics deal) Management’s guiding >$600m in optical revenue for FY27 alone, with each of DSP/ZeroFlap/SiPho individually clearing $100m As AI clusters scale and speeds push past 800G toward 1.6T, connectivity becomes the bottleneck, everyone knows this. Credo sits at nearly every layer of that bottleneck, it’s been really thoughtful about product expansion so far. Management deserves more credit.

@DOMOCAPITAL Sep 3

DOMO Capital Management, LLC on X

$CPB is completely uninvestible for as long as Marc Lautenbach remains on the Board of Directors. Have been telling people this for over a year now... Just look at $PBI performance over his career and then from the moment he "left" the CEO position... https://t.co/Px6gacUNjZ

Meta’s GEM, Part 2: Finding the Scaling Law

Meta’s GEM trains smaller ad-ranking models across its platforms, with Kunlun showing performance scaling predictably as compute rises.

META $1.8T

MBI Deep Dives Oct 19 10 clicks

LXS.DE: a 2028 sale it can force

Lanxess can force Advent to buy at least half its Envalior stake in April 2028, potentially raising about €745 million to reduce net debt.

LPTH $492M

Trade Ideas Flow Oct 19 21 clicks

Sell Eagle Point Credit Now - Match The Loss With Portfolio Gains To Lower Income Taxes

Eagle Point Credit's NAV is down 25% YTD and shares nearly 50%, while its expense ratio climbed to 9.21% despite a 25% yield.

ECC $367M

Anthony Cataldo Oct 19 5 clicks

The Agentic AI Roadmap for SaaS

SaaS companies including Salesforce, ServiceNow, CrowdStrike, Synopsys and Veeva are ranked by agentic AI progress, from pilots to…

CRM $199BCRWD $245B

Jimmy's Journal Oct 19 27 clicks

Build-A-Bear: A Narrower Path

Build-A-Bear's push into prestuffed toys and broader retail distribution tests brand stretchability, but recent results warrant caution.

BBW $303M

TSOH Investment Research Oct 19 18 clicks

The Monday Morning Briefing: Meta, Tesla, Netflix, P&G on Deck

Lennar’s land-bank costs pressure homebuilding margins, while Flowers Foods weighs a Tastykake sale after falling branded-bread share,…

LEN $20BFLO $1.3B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 19 36 clicks

LendingTree (NASDAQ: $TREE) – A Cyclical Comeback Story Priced as if the Cycle Never Turns

LendingTree derives roughly two-thirds of revenue from insurance and trades near 4 times expected adjusted earnings despite record revenue,…

TREE $373M

Substack von Philipp Oct 19 10 clicks

Exelon: Shelter From The Storm And Nice Yield As Utilities Catch A Bid

EXC $45B

Michael Fitzsimmons Oct 19 4 clicks

Our Q3 2026 Update: Our Companies (OXY, RIG, VAL)

Occidental Petroleum’s debt should fall further after Q3 oil prices averaged $85 per barrel WTI and $91 Brent.

OXY $63BRIG $6.5B

Open Insights Oct 19 15 clicks

Zscaler CEO and CFO: We have the opportunity of a lifetime

Zscaler CEO Jay Chaudhry and CFO Kevin Rubin discuss the cybersecurity company’s growth prospects and valuation.

ZS $38B

The Technology Letter Oct 18 7 clicks

SKIN · long

Skinhealth Systems INC

SkinHealth Systems owns a dominant professional skincare consumables franchise but trades at roughly $115 million market cap and $255…

SKIN $73M

Value Investors Club Jul 21 3 clicks

Do You Trust Apple?

Apple’s HomeView strategy ties Siri, privacy and smart-home control to consumer trust in its vision for the home.

AAPL $5T

Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. Oct 18 3 clicks

What Lies Beneath: The Developer Building a Data Center on a Former Army Dump Laced With Munitions and Carcinogens

Digital Realty paid $120 million for Atlanta-area parcels including a former Army dump with buried carcinogens and military ordnance.

DLR $60B

Hunterbrook Oct 18 23 clicks

Wells Fargo Earnings Aren't Inspiring Enough, But A 7% Income Opportunity Is

Wells Fargo’s Q3 EPS beat and $12.5 billion net interest income failed to move shares, while WFC.PZ preferreds yield 7.10%.

WFC $250B

Jeremy LaKosh Oct 18 7 clicks

Semtech Analyst Day Review

Semtech raised Q3 guidance and targets $3.2 billion of fiscal 2030 revenue, excluding upside from its AI data-center optical and copper…

SMTC $13B

CV's Substack Oct 17 14 clicks

DigitalOcean CEO: ‘We are not going to be extraordinarily leveraged like some others’

DigitalOcean’s CEO says the cloud company will not take on extraordinary leverage to fund its AI push.

DOCN $12B

The Technology Letter Oct 17 27 clicks

Expert Call | Q3 2026 Optical Components Market Dynamics, Vendor Market Share, & 2027 Growth Outlook

Optical-component vendor call covers 800G and 1.6T demand, AI cluster optical density, market share, pricing and 2027 growth for Coherent,…

COHR $46BLITE $75B

P Equity Research Oct 17 14 clicks

PayPal: Market's Extreme Mispricing Is Starting To Unwind

PayPal’s 10.3x forward earnings multiple and more than $6 billion in free cash flow frame a turnaround driven by cost cuts, Venmo and BNPL…

PYPL $48B

JR Research Oct 17 12 clicks

SiriusXM: Dirt Cheap, Looming Catalysts, Short Squeeze Candidate

SiriusXM trades at 6.5 times free cash flow, a 15% yield, with high short interest and catalysts that could drive a short squeeze.

SIRI $9B

Eagle Point Capital Oct 17 60 clicks

Meritage Homes: Cheaper On Book Than Any Year-End In A Decade

MTH $4.1B

Tim Travis Oct 17 12 clicks

Monday, October 19, 2026

Negligible Capital on X

Brian McGough on X

Ian Bezek on X

KEDM.com on X

Chris Camillo on X

Deep Sail Capital on X

Deep Sail Capital on X

DOMO Capital Management, LLC on X

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