Thursday, October 15, 2026

Is The Market Turning The Page?

CoreWeave’s debt and equity price action is framed as a wake-up call for investors amid a broader market discussion.

CRWV $34B

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” Oct 15 51 clicks

Oct 15 MOD $9.2B

Modine Deep Dive

CV's Substack 17 clicks

Oct 15 ASML $631B

ASML Is Building a Hybrid Bonding Tool!

SemiAnalysis 12 clicks

From X

@convequity Sep 29

Convequity on X

Batch size sets the trade-off between speed and cost in AI inference. An AI server answers many users at once by bundling their requests into one batch. Our $CBRS note compares this to running a bus. There are two ways to run it, and each gives something up. 1. Fill the bus. Put as many passengers as possible on every run. More stops slow each passenger's trip, but the cost of the run is spread across more people, so the cost per passenger falls. Larger batches do the same: each user's answer is slower, and the cost per token falls because the system produces more tokens from the same hardware. 2. Carry fewer passengers and stop less. Each trip is faster, but fewer seats mean the cost of the run is spread less well, so the cost per passenger rises. Smaller batches are fast for one user and raise the cost per token. So in the analogy, speed for each user is how fast each passenger arrives. Cost per token is cost per passenger. A system set up for one gives up some of the other. When someone compares two inference systems, check the batch size behind each number. A speed figure or a cost-per-token figure quoted without it cannot be compared fairly.

@AsifSuria Sep 29

Asif Suria on X

@SmallCapVal Was excited to see an insider purchase at $CME filed yesterday but it turned out to be a dividend reinvestment as most of the purchases at $CME tend to be. https://t.co/E7mlsW02I3

@junkbondinvest Sep 29 2 clicks

junkbondinvestor on X

Paramount's $52bn $WBD debt package is FINALLY in the market. Here's the package: $32bn of IG-rated 1L bonds, the 5th-largest US high-grade sale EVER. Plus $7.5bn of loans and $12.4bn of 2L HY bonds. Paramount's existing unsecured bonds? Primed. Back of the line. Good luck and thanks for playing. Where in the cap stack are you playing? $PSKY $PARA

@AsifSuria Sep 29

Asif Suria on X

@accrued_int Yes indeed! Tons of buying In $DKS since August. Retail has generally been a difficult sector for me and so I am approaching this cautiously. https://t.co/sQw6OWE2zl

@finphysnerd Sep 29 1 click

Myles on X

Selling low vol international stuff and buying risk and rate exposure today (with some hedging using $ANGL, $SMH and $QQQ). Purely a sentiment and positioning thesis. Historically I've been too cautious in these sorts of dislocations so im trying something new.

@leevalueroach Sep 29

Lee Roach on X

Fair Isaac $FICO is getting killed today. Looks absolutely hammered. Should deep value guys be buying this today? What’s the worst case scenario here? https://t.co/Ag4mL0lbrS

@junkbondinvest Sep 29

junkbondinvestor on X

Perella Weinberg combining with Piper Sandler is one of those headlines that would have sounded impossible to a banking analyst in 2010. $PWP $PIPR https://t.co/bpmLDTuepn

@negligible_cap Sep 29 1 click

Negligible Capital on X

Is $70B ARR for OpenAI ahead of expectations? I dunno ask $ORCL https://t.co/tNjIjh8Ya1 https://t.co/WBWM3ghxSm

CoreWeave: Why Credit Markets See A 54% Chance Of Default

CoreWeave’s 2032 notes yield over 15%, signaling a 54% default probability as borrowing costs exceed rental yields on AI infrastructure…

CRWV $34B

Dustin Quasney Oct 15 24 clicks

AppLovin Deep Dive

AppLovin rebuilt its ad model with AXON 2.0, lifting LTM revenue to about $7 billion and margins to 77% as Unity competition threatens…

APP $88B

Speedwell Research Oct 15 25 clicks

ASML 3Q’26: 2030 Arrived Four Years Early

ASML reported €11.7 billion in 3Q 2026 sales, up 55%, and raised full-year guidance to €44–45 billion as AI-driven semiconductor demand…

ASML $631B

MBI Deep Dives Oct 15 11 clicks

[scuttleslops] MRVL, APP, AMZN, Chips

Marvell is positioning networking, optical connectivity and server-management chips as AI data centers link GPUs, custom accelerators and…

MRVL $208B

scuttleblurb Oct 15 12 clicks

AeroVironment: The Value Is There, Growth Will Force The Market To Notice

AeroVironment's $465M LOCUST laser award and earnings beat support its 2027 growth outlook despite government budget uncertainty.

AVAV $6.2B

Melissa Tucker Oct 15 6 clicks

Constellation: Stars Aligning?

Constellation Brands trades near $127 at roughly 11x next-twelve-month EV/EBIT, with recent business results offsetting concerns over…

STZ $22B

TSOH Investment Research Oct 15 27 clicks

Breaking: The Offshore Monopoly Is Legal Now!

Transocean’s Valaris merger clears regulators, creating a 68-rig offshore driller controlling four in 10 global drillships.

RIG $6.2BVAL $5.8B

Cannibal Stocks Oct 15 39 clicks

TSMC Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

TSMC reported excellent Q3 results, guided Q4 revenue growth higher and saw its shares slip despite strong AI-driven earnings momentum.

TSM $2.3T

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 15 9 clicks

Why Broadcom Is My Largest Stock Holding Today

AVGO $1.6T

Fundamental Options Oct 15 3 clicks

October 2026 Random Ramblings

October 2026 market commentary covers SOLS’s cancelled merger, a hypothetical Starbucks-Chipotle deal, Russell 2000 weakness and AI…

SOLS $9.7BSBUX $109B

Yet Another Value Podcast Oct 14 87 clicks

SPHR · long

Sphere Entertainment CO

Sphere Entertainment is shifting from construction and startup spending to a high-margin, cash-generative venue-operator model, with…

SPHR $3.7B

Value Investors Club Jul 17 2 clicks

An Interview with Nvidia’s Ian Buck on Why GPUs Keep Winning

Nvidia’s Ian Buck says CUDA’s software ecosystem, GPU flexibility and annual Vera Rubin upgrades lower token costs as agentic AI pushes…

NVDA $5.2T

Key Context by Tae Kim Oct 14 5 clicks

Everyone wants to defend CoreWeave but who really knows

CoreWeave faces fresh skepticism as another AI trade selloff collides with bullish defenses of the company.

CRWV $34B

The Technology Letter Oct 14 6 clicks

A Conversation With Ari Emanuel About Entertainment and AI

Ari Emanuel discusses AI’s impact on Hollywood, live events, social networks and the future of advertising.

TKO $33B

Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. Oct 14 7 clicks

RTX Q3 Preview: Two Growth Engines Make This Aerospace And Defense Leader A 'Buy'

RTX’s $289 billion backlog, including $119 billion in defense, supports growth from defense contracts and commercial aerospace aftermarket…

RTX $247B

Blake Winiecki Oct 14 4 clicks

Coherent | Management Call

COHR $52B

P Equity Research Oct 14 19 clicks

My 2028 numbers

ASML’s €11.7 billion quarter benefited from €3.3 billion in installed-base sales and operating leverage, while the MATCH Act threatens…

ASML $631B

Best Anchor Stocks Oct 14 26 clicks

Visa: Unpacking The 7 Powers And Forward Valuation Ahead Of Q4 Earnings

Visa’s network economics support long-term compounding, but a 1.7–1.8 forward PEG and risks to high-margin payment revenues limit near-term…

V $750B

C Jessen Oct 14 36 clicks

Deep Dive: Applied Materials ($AMAT)

Applied Materials leads wafer-fab deposition and ranks third in etch, positioning it for tougher 3D chip manufacturing as investors weigh a…

AMAT $359B

Rebound Capital Oct 14 30 clicks

First Tracks Biotherapeutics: Teva Validated The Pathway, ANB033 May Own The Receptor

First Tracks Biotherapeutics’ ANB033 posted stronger Phase 1b celiac efficacy than Teva’s IL-15 inhibitor, with $168 million funding…

TEVA $48B

Equity Eagle Oct 14 8 clicks

Thursday, October 15, 2026

Convequity on X

Asif Suria on X

junkbondinvestor on X

Asif Suria on X

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