Wednesday, October 14, 2026

October 2026 Random Ramblings

October 2026 market commentary covers SOLS’s cancelled merger, a hypothetical Starbucks-Chipotle deal, Russell 2000 weakness and AI premiums for Oura and home builders.

SOLS $9.6BSBUX $113B

Yet Another Value Podcast Oct 14 87 clicks

Oct 14 NVDA $5.2T

An Interview with Nvidia’s Ian Buck on Why GPUs Keep Winning

Key Context by Tae Kim 6 clicks

Oct 14 COHR $52B

Coherent | Management Call

P Equity Research 19 clicks

From X

@irbezek Aug 19 3 clicks

Ian Bezek on X

@SandBrandyn I bought a basket of software and adjacent in Feb/March. $TEAM most ridiculous example both to the down and now upside... I don't trust the management teams enough to make a concentrated bet on any of these.

@BrokenMoats Aug 19

Broken Moats on X

$mrna secondary coming in 21.05 minutes

@valuedontlie Aug 19

Colin King on X

$FOUR Wrote about this one recently… seems like an interesting roll-up with a story that’s getting less complex (former Up-C structure) https://t.co/CV5VPUekSL https://t.co/llyNFPKqsD

@AsifSuria Aug 19

Asif Suria on X

And over the last week we saw insider buying both by the COO and more importantly the firm that was a key pre-IPO investor in $SUJA Reminds me an opportunity I missed with $COCO a few years ago. https://t.co/EkfKdOYRSG https://t.co/DbSGfl1Slo

@AsifSuria Aug 19

Asif Suria on X

Sometimes we come across the same company multiple times due to different events. Noticed insider buying by a director of TechnipFMC $FTI while combing through insider transactions last night. Name rang a bell and so I looked up my brief note when I added it to my internal watchlist last year after a large stock buyback announcement. It went on to gain an additional 120% over the last year and is now up 1,163% over the last five years. And that too for an oil & gas services business.

@irbezek Aug 19 2 clicks

Ian Bezek on X

Atlassian $TEAM now up 214% since April, and +5% YTD. Market very efficiently determining future discounted cash flows from software companies, I see.

@irbezek Aug 19 2 clicks

Ian Bezek on X

@LocalHero55 @OtterMarket @gatorcapital Post on an even more obscure MHC bank. And yes, $TFSL is a great income instrument, with (eventually) a chunky cap gain exit when they finally convert.

@BrokenMoats Aug 19

Broken Moats on X

Continue to believe that expiration this week will be the culmination in the software squeeze. Money will want to come off the table ahead of earnings season for the sector, and I think that will be followed with an acknowledgment from earnings that while their revenues are not at risk today - these companies still do face increased competition, lower barriers, higher costs for cloud/inference, and seat based model problems that will be challenging moving forward. The $WDAY rumor news was not the floor, it was the peak counter narrative to AI disruption.

My 2028 numbers

ASML’s €11.7 billion quarter benefited from €3.3 billion in installed-base sales and operating leverage, while the MATCH Act threatens…

ASML $631B

Best Anchor Stocks Oct 14 26 clicks

Visa: Unpacking The 7 Powers And Forward Valuation Ahead Of Q4 Earnings

Visa’s network economics support long-term compounding, but a 1.7–1.8 forward PEG and risks to high-margin payment revenues limit near-term…

V $750B

C Jessen Oct 14 36 clicks

Deep Dive: Applied Materials ($AMAT)

Applied Materials leads wafer-fab deposition and ranks third in etch, positioning it for tougher 3D chip manufacturing as investors weigh a…

AMAT $329B

Rebound Capital Oct 14 31 clicks

First Tracks Biotherapeutics: Teva Validated The Pathway, ANB033 May Own The Receptor

First Tracks Biotherapeutics’ ANB033 posted stronger Phase 1b celiac efficacy than Teva’s IL-15 inhibitor, with $168 million funding…

TEVA $48B

Equity Eagle Oct 14 8 clicks

Research Roundup Vol. LVI

Howmet Aerospace is framed as a beneficiary of turbine and aircraft-engine demand, while J.B.

HWM $88BJBHT $21B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 14 15 clicks

Lennar: The Misstep Is Temporary, the Operating Machine Is Not

Lennar cut build times to 116 days and adopted an asset-light land model, while gross margin fell to 15.8% from 27.5% as land costs rose.

LEN $18B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 14 16 clicks

Lennar, Part One: The Story

Lennar grew from a Miami builder into one of America’s two largest homebuilders, controlling land largely through options and land banks…

LEN $18B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 14 15 clicks

Lennar, Part Two: The Deep Dive

Lennar’s second audio program examines the homebuilder’s business for professional investors and housing analysts.

LEN $18B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 14 13 clicks

ASML Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

ASML reported Q3 sales of €11.7 billion, up 55% year over year, and guided Q4 sales to €14.2 billion to €15.2 billion amid capacity…

ASML $631B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 14 10 clicks

Eaton: Strong Backlog And Margin Recovery Support The Buy Case

Eaton’s backlog, data-center, grid and aerospace demand, plus a 450–500 bp H2 2026 Electrical Americas margin recovery, support the growth…

ETN $156B

Value Capital Research Oct 14 9 clicks

Insider activity September 2026

Asian insider buying rose 19% to US$2.4 billion across 930 September transactions, led by Grab CEO Anthony Tan’s US$30 million purchase…

GRAB $12B

Asian Century Stocks Oct 14 8 clicks

WDC · long

Western Digital CORP

Western Digital, a hard-disk manufacturer, is pitched as a long after significant share-price moves deter investors.

WDC $124B

Value Investors Club Jul 16 7 clicks

Scarcity is the boogey man for ASML, Applied Materials

ASML’s strong quarterly results failed to prevent a selloff, as AI investors focused on scarcity fears facing chip-equipment makers…

ASML $631BAMAT $329B

The Technology Letter Oct 13 9 clicks

Apple HomeView, The New Apple TV, The App Story

Apple HomeView raises questions about demand for expensive Apple devices built around subpar AI.

AAPL $5T

Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. Oct 13 8 clicks

Expert Call | Corning

Corning’s NVIDIA-backed 10x fiber expansion, enterprise connector demand and carrier capacity plans frame its optical communications…

GLW $115B

P Equity Research Oct 13 38 clicks

Apple and LG, The House For Everyone Else, Agent Standards and Amazon

Apple is leaning on partner integration for the smart home, while Amazon faces strategic choices around AI agents.

AAPL $5TAMZN $2.7T

Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. Oct 13 6 clicks

Nvidia’s Investor Meeting

Nvidia’s investor meeting features CFO Colette Kress and IR and Strategic Finance VP Toshiya Hari.

NVDA $5.2T

P Equity Research Oct 13 12 clicks

OCP Day One: AMD CEO Sees Strong Demand for AI Inference and CPUs

AMD CEO Lisa Su says demand for AI inference and CPUs continues to rise as computing capacity becomes more valuable.

AMD $887B

Key Context by Tae Kim Oct 13 4 clicks

Rollins (ROL), Verisure (VSURE), and the cost of standing still (Part 2, Verisure)

Verisure’s 6.38 million monitored-alarm subscribers generate 90% recurring revenue, while its disclosed acquisition costs and 6%-8% churn…

ROL $16B

Best Anchor Stocks Oct 13 24 clicks

CarGurus ($CARG): The Auto Trader of America, Priced Like a Used Car

CarGurus, the largest U.S. auto-shopping marketplace, trades near $29 despite roughly $1 billion in expected revenue, $300 million in free…

CARG $2.7B

Substack von Philipp Oct 13 11 clicks

Wednesday, October 14, 2026

Ian Bezek on X

Broken Moats on X

Colin King on X

Asif Suria on X

Asif Suria on X

Ian Bezek on X

Ian Bezek on X

Broken Moats on X

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