Wednesday, October 14, 2026

October 2026 Random Ramblings

October 2026 market commentary covers SOLS’s cancelled merger, a hypothetical Starbucks-Chipotle deal, Russell 2000 weakness and AI premiums for Oura and home builders.

SOLS $9.7BSBUX $109B

Yet Another Value Podcast Oct 14 84 clicks

45h ago NVDA $5.2T

An Interview with Nvidia’s Ian Buck on Why GPUs Keep Winning

Key Context by Tae Kim 3 clicks

Oct 14 COHR $52B

Coherent | Management Call

P Equity Research 17 clicks

From X

@RagingVentures 42h ago 2 clicks

Raging Capital Ventures on X

@orrdavid @merrillmatter To be fair, I asked you *a lot* of questions - $SPCX was far from the hardest! In response, you were fully transparent and didn’t dodge any of my questions. You were great. I can’t wait to share the full cleaned up transcript of our discussion, likely in early November.

@LaughingH20Cap 42h ago 5 clicks

Laughing Water Capital on X

@bufetmastermind @secretlyaninja @mbamcnulty maybe i don't. I'd appreciate if you could explain. they had said 50% FCF margin on $1B in sales. $LQDA is still going to get to $1B in sales. Its just going to take longer. Tell me why 50% FCF margins are not in play. Bonus points if you can tell why they won't reduce costs

@HaydenCapital 44h ago 1 click

Fred Liu on X

Is Tiktok Shop slowing? J&T Express just reported SE Asia parcel volumes, and are flat for the year at ~31M per day for the last few qtrs. They're guiding to 50-55% full year growth, implying Q4 holiday season only ramps to 33-37M parcels. Evidence Shopee's VIP & logistics investments are working? $SE $1519.HK

@hkuppy 44h ago 1 click

Kuppy on X

I’m sure that $CRWV is money good on funding its gazillions of chip purchase orders, as long as someone funds $CRWV…🤭🤭 https://t.co/TOnS6iGurC

@BrokenMoats 46h ago 3 clicks

Broken Moats on X

Hottest trade in the past month.....retail stocks Seems odd with rates and oil and diesel moves over the same time frame. And these are not bounces from being oversold these are double digit moves in most cases to new highs while dpz struggled on their print this week, stocks like DKS collapsed around the time this trade started. Bifurcation in retail in recent weeks that seems to be favoring low quality. Something to watch for a reversal soon $KSS $FIGS $URBN $SHOP

@BlueDuckCap 46h ago 5 clicks

BDC on X

It's been 189 days since @evanspiegel had a confirmed sale. The longest sales void ever, per what we can discern from filings. He's in a blackout window now. If the sales do not resume post Q3 window opening then that would seem bullish. We would love an insider buy, too. Evan buys stock here we would think $SNAP is +10% on that day. At least. Not advice. Just pointing out the cadence of form 4's and lack of historical insider buying.

@ACapitalLP 46h ago 3 clicks

A Capital on X

$KYIV https://t.co/bGd6IJ4Xl0

@DeepSailCapital 47h ago 1 click

Deep Sail Capital on X

$DJT Downside still 100% from here https://t.co/6YIEeHfC3e

My 2028 numbers

ASML’s €11.7 billion quarter benefited from €3.3 billion in installed-base sales and operating leverage, while the MATCH Act threatens…

ASML $660B

Best Anchor Stocks Oct 14 23 clicks

Visa: Unpacking The 7 Powers And Forward Valuation Ahead Of Q4 Earnings

Visa’s network economics support long-term compounding, but a 1.7–1.8 forward PEG and risks to high-margin payment revenues limit near-term…

V $731B

C Jessen Oct 14 35 clicks

Deep Dive: Applied Materials ($AMAT)

Applied Materials leads wafer-fab deposition and ranks third in etch, positioning it for tougher 3D chip manufacturing as investors weigh a…

AMAT $359B

Rebound Capital Oct 14 28 clicks

First Tracks Biotherapeutics: Teva Validated The Pathway, ANB033 May Own The Receptor

First Tracks Biotherapeutics’ ANB033 posted stronger Phase 1b celiac efficacy than Teva’s IL-15 inhibitor, with $168 million funding…

TEVA $48B

Equity Eagle Oct 14 7 clicks

Research Roundup Vol. LVI

Howmet Aerospace is framed as a beneficiary of turbine and aircraft-engine demand, while J.B.

HWM $86BJBHT $22B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 14 12 clicks

Lennar: The Misstep Is Temporary, the Operating Machine Is Not

Lennar cut build times to 116 days and adopted an asset-light land model, while gross margin fell to 15.8% from 27.5% as land costs rose.

LEN $17B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 14 13 clicks

Lennar, Part One: The Story

Lennar grew from a Miami builder into one of America’s two largest homebuilders, controlling land largely through options and land banks…

LEN $17B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 14 13 clicks

Lennar, Part Two: The Deep Dive

Lennar’s second audio program examines the homebuilder’s business for professional investors and housing analysts.

LEN $17B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 14 11 clicks

ASML Q3 FY12/26 Earnings Review

ASML reported Q3 sales of €11.7 billion, up 55% year over year, and guided Q4 sales to €14.2 billion to €15.2 billion amid capacity…

ASML $660B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 14 7 clicks

Eaton: Strong Backlog And Margin Recovery Support The Buy Case

Eaton’s backlog, data-center, grid and aerospace demand, plus a 450–500 bp H2 2026 Electrical Americas margin recovery, support the growth…

ETN $156B

Value Capital Research Oct 14 6 clicks

EEFT · long

Euronet Worldwide INC

Euronet Worldwide (EEFT) is presented as an asymmetric opportunity, citing its strong balance sheet and shareholder-friendly capital…

EEFT $2.4B

Value Investors Club Jun 10 1 click

TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/04/2026)

TSOH Weekly Roundup covers Costco’s $4.99 chicken supply chain, Celsius’s 20% energy-drink share, and California utilities’ wildfire…

CELH $7.2BCOST $433B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 4 5 clicks

Broadcom: The AI Tollbooth Is Becoming An Earnings Machine

Broadcom's AI semiconductor revenue rose 221% year over year as custom silicon programs and VMware software cash flows fund further…

AVGO $1.6T

Simple Investment Ideas Sep 4 3 clicks

Trading Post 9/4/2026

Lululemon reported a 9% global comparable-sales decline, 20% lower leggings sales and mid-single-digit operating-margin guidance, with…

LULU $11B

Cassandra Unchained Sep 4

Short Thoughts - Cassandra in Flames?

Tailored Brands’ bankruptcy erased an asset-backed small-cap thesis, while lululemon has become the portfolio’s largest and most…

LULU $11B

Cassandra Unchained Sep 3

Portfolio Update August 2026

Portfolio update: Honeywell Aerospace was added after a 20% post-earnings drop, while vertical software remains over 35% of holdings amid…

HONA $50BZTS $31B

D Invests Sep 3

Synopsys q3’26 Earnings Update

Synopsys reported 8% EDA and 11% Design IP growth in Q3 2026, with Multiphysics Fusion expected to add revenue from fiscal 2027.

SNPS $96B

Monte Independent Investment Research Sep 3

Mosaic: Potash Is Holding Up, But Phosphate Economics Keep Me On The Sidelines

Mosaic’s potash business remains profitable, but negative phosphate margins, elevated sulfur and ammonia costs, and negative free cash flow…

MOS $6B

DCF Value Investor Sep 3 3 clicks

Sleep Well Portfolio (Aug 2026) - Recovery continues, Cyber Security roared back.

Sleep Well Portfolio’s August gains were led by Veeva, CrowdStrike and cybersecurity, while Cellebrite and WiseTech reported early AI…

VEEV $51BCRWD $267B

Sleep Well Investments Sep 3

Expand Energy: Short-Term Protection From Hedges, Long-Term Upside

Expand Energy’s hedge book and Twin Eagle acquisition support free cash flow through weak gas prices, while LNG export growth could lift…

EXE $21B

Elliott Gue Sep 3 4 clicks

Wednesday, October 14, 2026

Raging Capital Ventures on X

Laughing Water Capital on X

Fred Liu on X

Kuppy on X

Broken Moats on X

BDC on X

A Capital on X

Deep Sail Capital on X

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