Wednesday, October 14, 2026

October 2026 Random Ramblings

October 2026 market commentary covers SOLS’s cancelled merger, a hypothetical Starbucks-Chipotle deal, Russell 2000 weakness and AI premiums for Oura and home builders.

SOLS $9.7BCMG $39B

Yet Another Value Podcast Oct 14 85 clicks

Oct 14 SHEN $556M

Private Equity Prints Multibaggers With This Pattern. No One is Talking About It.

Phynvesting 18 clicks

Oct 14 COHR $52B

Coherent | Management Call

P Equity Research 18 clicks

From X

@LaughingH20Cap 45h ago 5 clicks

Laughing Water Capital on X

@bufetmastermind @secretlyaninja @mbamcnulty maybe i don't. I'd appreciate if you could explain. they had said 50% FCF margin on $1B in sales. $LQDA is still going to get to $1B in sales. Its just going to take longer. Tell me why 50% FCF margins are not in play. Bonus points if you can tell why they won't reduce costs

@HaydenCapital 47h ago 1 click

Fred Liu on X

Is Tiktok Shop slowing? J&T Express just reported SE Asia parcel volumes, and are flat for the year at ~31M per day for the last few qtrs. They're guiding to 50-55% full year growth, implying Q4 holiday season only ramps to 33-37M parcels. Evidence Shopee's VIP & logistics investments are working? $SE $1519.HK

@hkuppy 47h ago 1 click

Kuppy on X

I’m sure that $CRWV is money good on funding its gazillions of chip purchase orders, as long as someone funds $CRWV…🤭🤭 https://t.co/TOnS6iGurC

@gnoble79 Oct 14 8 clicks

George Noble on X

Keith, you are a total POS. You belong in jail for securities fraud. I own you. You laughed at me first shorting $OOEN at 8. You are such a pathetic, odious pile of garbage. So pathetic. The entire world is laughing at you. Thanks for playing. $OPEN @rabois @ericjackson @APompliano @

@BrokenMoats Oct 14 3 clicks

Broken Moats on X

Hottest trade in the past month.....retail stocks Seems odd with rates and oil and diesel moves over the same time frame. And these are not bounces from being oversold these are double digit moves in most cases to new highs while dpz struggled on their print this week, stocks like DKS collapsed around the time this trade started. Bifurcation in retail in recent weeks that seems to be favoring low quality. Something to watch for a reversal soon $KSS $FIGS $URBN $SHOP

@calvinblissett Oct 14 2 clicks

Calvin Blissett on X

@valuedontlie Forgive me I haven’t done the work I may soon, isn’t the whole point of $VITL is having a brand and being specialized to insulate it from cyclicality to see degree? I’m one of those people who pay up for pasture raised no matter what

@BlueDuckCap Oct 14 5 clicks

BDC on X

It's been 189 days since @evanspiegel had a confirmed sale. The longest sales void ever, per what we can discern from filings. He's in a blackout window now. If the sales do not resume post Q3 window opening then that would seem bullish. We would love an insider buy, too. Evan buys stock here we would think $SNAP is +10% on that day. At least. Not advice. Just pointing out the cadence of form 4's and lack of historical insider buying.

@finphysnerd Oct 14

Myles on X

Bizarre update at $HTT with the company facing a large tax liability on behalf of the CEO. I'm genuinely puzzled with how to perceive this. Chatgpt suggests that the explanation is reasonable, but the company paying taxes for the CEO feels like such an obvious red flag. The stock https://t.co/cl7C0ai5XB https://t.co/z7fcATOYXe

Morgan Stanley Direct Lending: Discount Is Attractive, But Credit Has Not Stabilized; Hold

Morgan Stanley Direct Lending trades at a 32% NAV discount as non-accruals reach 2.9%, NII and NAV decline, and dividend coverage falls to…

MSDL $1.5B

Rubicon Associates Oct 14 1 click

Research Roundup Vol. LVI

Howmet Aerospace is framed as a beneficiary of turbine and aircraft-engine demand, while J.B.

HWM $86BJBHT $22B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 14 13 clicks

Lennar: The Misstep Is Temporary, the Operating Machine Is Not

Lennar cut build times to 116 days and adopted an asset-light land model, while gross margin fell to 15.8% from 27.5% as land costs rose.

LEN $17B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 14 14 clicks

Lennar, Part One: The Story

Lennar grew from a Miami builder into one of America’s two largest homebuilders, controlling land largely through options and land banks…

LEN $17B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 14 14 clicks

Lennar, Part Two: The Deep Dive

Lennar’s second audio program examines the homebuilder’s business for professional investors and housing analysts.

LEN $17B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 14 12 clicks

Insider activity September 2026

Asian insider buying rose 19% to US$2.4 billion across 930 September transactions, led by Grab CEO Anthony Tan’s US$30 million purchase…

GRAB $12B

Asian Century Stocks Oct 14 6 clicks

Rollins (ROL), Verisure (VSURE), and the cost of standing still (Part 2, Verisure)

Verisure’s 6.38 million monitored-alarm subscribers generate 90% recurring revenue, while its disclosed acquisition costs and 6%-8% churn…

ROL $15B

Best Anchor Stocks Oct 13 23 clicks

SED Energy: The 40% Dividend. Signal or Noise?

SED Energy's proposed Ventura merger projects a 22% to 40% dividend yield, but idle tender barges, debt and repayments materially reduce…

SBDXF $498M

Cannibal Stocks Oct 13 7 clicks

BridgeBio: Maintaining 'Strong Buy' Additional Encaleret Data ADH1 And Three Expected FDA Reviews

BridgeBio Pharma reported Q2 revenue of $243.7 million and has three Priority Review NDAs, while $1 billion in convertible preferred…

BBIO $13B

Terry Chrisomalis Oct 13 2 clicks

Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXXI

Park Aerospace reported 27% revenue growth and 72% EPS growth, supported by composite materials for Airbus engines and PAC-3 rocket motors.

PKE $592M

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 13 4 clicks

GTLB · long

Gitlab INC

GTLB $8.9B

Value Investors Club Jun 18

“Clarity and the rally are the same event” (NOTW#105)

Moderna and Merck reported positive Phase III INTerpath-001 results for a personalized cancer vaccine, turning clinical clarity into a…

MRNA $86B

Best Anchor Stocks Aug 22

The Non-linear Economics of Grocery Delivery Basket

Instacart’s larger grocery baskets create disproportionately better delivery economics than DoorDash’s, making half the basket size worth…

DASH $84B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 22 9 clicks

Guest Post: Eton Pharmaceuticals (ETON)

Eton Pharmaceuticals licensed rare-disease medicines, raised revenue guidance twice and climbed more than fourfold from its February 2026…

ETON $1.5B

Rebound Capital Aug 22

TGTX 2026-08-22

TG Therapeutics: Briumvi's Growth Attracts Buyout Rumors

TG Therapeutics' Briumvi growth and subcutaneous formulation progress have fueled takeover rumors, with Biogen, Incyte and Sanofi cited as…

TGTX $8.6B

ONeil Trader Aug 22 1 click

Churchill Downs: Doubling Down

Churchill Downs is selling regional casinos to focus on horse racing and historical racing machines, where Exacta software and racetrack…

CHDN $5.6B

Eagle Point Capital Aug 22

Updating The Real Brokerage And Re/Max Numbers

Re/Max’s outstanding share count is revised after previously omitted shares under its holding-company structure, alongside updated Real…

REAX $577M

Emerging Moats Research Aug 21

SOXX 2026-08-21

SOXX: Growth And Profitability May Be Peaking

SOXX holdings Nvidia, AMD and Broadcom signal slowing growth and peak-margin risk after the sector’s steep July selloff.

SOXX $1.4B

Mauro Caversazzi Aug 21 1 click

Walmart’s Evolution

Walmart says Medicare Maximum Fair Price rules will cut FY27 US comps by 125 basis points, while pharmacy margins and prescription volumes…

PYPL $48B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 21 4 clicks

VISN 2026-08-21

Vistance Networks: The Valuation Makes This Stock A Strong Buy

Vistance Networks trades at $11 after a $5 special distribution, with a DOCSIS 4.0 upgrade cycle, cash reserves and a $160 million tax…

VISN $1.4B

Investor Overview Aug 21 1 click

Wednesday, October 14, 2026

Laughing Water Capital on X

Fred Liu on X

Kuppy on X

George Noble on X

Broken Moats on X

Calvin Blissett on X

BDC on X

Myles on X

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